Posted on 09/30/2006 1:45:49 PM PDT by new yorker 77
FYI
So, wada R da stats on TRADESPORT being correct?
MSM fantasy hasn't been working out well for them in the last few elections. I guess they are not willing to put their money on line. Smart move......Losers
Is TradeSports to be illegal under the new internet gambling ban? How ironic if true.
Items to bet on in 2004:
George Bush wins Florida
George Bush or John Kerry Wins the Election
George Bush wins more than 270 Electoral College Votes
George Bush wins Iowa
George Bush wins Minnesota
George Bush wins Nevada
George Bush wins New Hampshire
George Bush wins New Mexico
George Bush wins Ohio
George Bush wins Pennsylvania
George Bush wins Wisconsin
Check out the charts below on the link in my previous post.
Tradesports.com got all these states right.
Is this site for real? Has anyone here made a bet and been paid?
I bet the House took a big hit yesterday because of Tom Foley. I don't think the news story will have much legs, but that will likely be one more seat lost. I hope we don't end up losing the house because of that creep.
Was this taken before or after the Mark Foley fiasco?
If it had happened the last week of October it would have been worse.
There's enough time to recover. As long as there's not too many more Foleys out there. (Or if there are let them be on the Dem side.)
Tradesports tends to be pretty good ... better than "polls".
However, there are very clear tendencies for some skewing of the odds toward a more liberal line than a "reality" line would show. That is certainly due to the perception bettors worldwide are given by the way the Old Media FRAUDcasters tend to slant things to favor the Demodogs. Take a look at the Lieberman/ Lamont race for example: though it is very clear that Lieberman is going to win this thing right from the first polls after the August nomination, it has taken over a month for the price paid "for a Lamont win" to fall from 40 to 20 - and that's still pretty pricey as it is highly suspicious that 4:1 odds are justified by any honest analysis of the race. There's a whole lot of liberal hopes and dreams in that "20" number.
Closer to an election, tradesports really gets these things nailed down pretty well, as people stop buying their hopes, and start trading based on reality.
And while we are talking about odds, I would bet that there is much more than even odds on the Dims having more thsn a few rotten apples in their basket.
So we hold the senate with what 50? 51? Hold house with one or two? well better thn the other choice..
There is also the IEM.
That's the Iowa Electronic Market.
GOP Senate hold is at 62.1.
GOP House hold is at 47.5.
GOP House loss is at 40.6.
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/congress06_quotes.html
The MSM will make sure the story has legs just as the William J. Jefferson - DEMOCRAT, Louisiana story will be buried.
Why will Repubs vote against Foley replacement? (excluding the fact that they will need to check the "Foley" box on the ballot)
I thought Foley won his seat with 68% of the vote last election.
Sadly Kerry won New Hampshire
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