Tradesports.com has GOP Holding Senate: 80.5%; GOP Holding House: 53.2%

tradesports.com ^ | September 30, 2006

[new yorker 77]

Last Price: 80.5

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Last Price: 53.2

[new yorker 77]

People are not willing to place there hard earned money on MSM Democrat driven fantasy.

[new yorker 77]

FYI

[litehaus]

So, wada R da stats on TRADESPORT being correct?

[1035rep]

People are not willing to place there hard earned money on MSM Democrat driven fantasy.

MSM fantasy hasn't been working out well for them in the last few elections.  I guess they are not willing to put their money on line.  Smart move......Losers 

[new yorker 77]

http://www.arikiart.com/blog/2004/10/Tradesports-2004-Presidential-Election-Trade-History.htm

[montag813]

Is TradeSports to be illegal under the new internet gambling ban? How ironic if true.

[new yorker 77]

Items to bet on in 2004:

George Bush wins Florida
George Bush or John Kerry Wins the Election
George Bush wins more than 270 Electoral College Votes
George Bush wins Iowa
George Bush wins Minnesota
George Bush wins Nevada
George Bush wins New Hampshire
George Bush wins New Mexico
George Bush wins Ohio
George Bush wins Pennsylvania
George Bush wins Wisconsin

Check out the charts below on the link in my previous post.

Tradesports.com got all these states right.

[montag813]

Is this site for real? Has anyone here made a bet and been paid?

[KoRn]

I bet the House took a big hit yesterday because of Tom Foley. I don't think the news story will have much legs, but that will likely be one more seat lost. I hope we don't end up losing the house because of that creep.

[Clintonfatigued]

Was this taken before or after the Mark Foley fiasco?

[new yorker 77]

I was listening to Larry Kudlow on 77WABC radio in NYC with John McIntyre of RealClearPolitics.

Kudlow mentioned the tradesports.com website.

How the GOP fell 7.5 points after the Foley scandal became public, but rebounded 3 points there after.

[what's up]

Well, Foley is a hit, but the timing might be just right.

If it had happened the last week of October it would have been worse.

There's enough time to recover. As long as there's not too many more Foleys out there. (Or if there are let them be on the Dem side.)

[AFPhys]

Tradesports tends to be pretty good ... better than "polls".

However, there are very clear tendencies for some skewing of the odds toward a more liberal line than a "reality" line would show. That is certainly due to the perception bettors worldwide are given by the way the Old Media FRAUDcasters tend to slant things to favor the Demodogs. Take a look at the Lieberman/ Lamont race for example: though it is very clear that Lieberman is going to win this thing right from the first polls after the August nomination, it has taken over a month for the price paid "for a Lamont win" to fall from 40 to 20 - and that's still pretty pricey as it is highly suspicious that 4:1 odds are justified by any honest analysis of the race. There's a whole lot of liberal hopes and dreams in that "20" number.

Closer to an election, tradesports really gets these things nailed down pretty well, as people stop buying their hopes, and start trading based on reality.

[ScaniaBoy]

There's enough time to recover. As long as there's not too many more Foleys out there. (Or if there are let them be on the Dem side.)

And while we are talking about odds, I would bet that there is much more than even odds on the Dims having more thsn a few rotten apples in their basket.

[skaterboy]

So we hold the senate with what 50? 51? Hold house with one or two? well better thn the other choice..

[new yorker 77]

I think the Foley deal is bad for Republicans and Democrats.

Bad for GOP: Foley will cause a seat to be lost.

Bad for Dems: Foley will also turn off Independents who were leaning Dem. The "Maybe" voter will just stay home.

Bad for Dems: Furthermore, the whole Woodward deal will be conflicted with this story. People will tune out all of the above and Dem hopes of a propaganda onslaught will go no where.

[new yorker 77]

There is also the IEM.

That's the Iowa Electronic Market.

GOP Senate hold is at 62.1.

GOP House hold is at 47.5.

GOP House loss is at 40.6.

http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/congress06_quotes.html

[quantim]

don't think the news story will have much legs,

The MSM will make sure the story has legs just as the William J. Jefferson - DEMOCRAT, Louisiana story will be buried.

[frankjr]

Why will Repubs vote against Foley replacement? (excluding the fact that they will need to check the "Foley" box on the ballot)

I thought Foley won his seat with 68% of the vote last election.

[CptRepublican]

Sadly Kerry won New Hampshire