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The Global Housing Boom: In come the waves (a cautionary tale)
The Economist ^ | 06/16/2005

Posted on 09/21/2006 8:02:27 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts

The worldwide rise in house prices is the biggest bubble in history. Prepare for the economic pain when it pops

NEVER before have real house prices risen so fast, for so long, in so many countries. Property markets have been frothing from America, Britain and Australia to France, Spain and China. Rising property prices helped to prop up the world economy after the stockmarket bubble burst in 2000. What if the housing boom now turns to bust?

According to estimates by The Economist, the total value of residential property in developed economies rose by more than $30 trillion over the past five years, to over $70 trillion, an increase equivalent to 100% of those countries' combined GDPs. Not only does this dwarf any previous house-price boom, it is larger than the global stockmarket bubble in the late 1990s (an increase over five years of 80% of GDP) or America's stockmarket bubble in the late 1920s (55% of GDP). In other words, it looks like the biggest bubble in history.

(Excerpt) Read more at economist.com ...


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand; Business/Economy; Japan; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: 2005article; bahog; comedyhour; depression; despair; doom; dustbowl; grapesofwrath; housing; housingbubble; lieabouttheagenda; whataretheyselling
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To: Mase

Bubbles burst for a lot of reasons, some of them having nothing to do with the quantifiable fundamentals. One day a bunch of people wake up and decide that the $600,000 two bedroom condo may be worth $550,000 in six months or banks decide not to over extend themselves. Bubbles have to do with individual and institutional perception of value.


121 posted on 09/21/2006 9:21:49 PM PDT by durasell (!)
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To: Mase; martin_fierro

Do not mock their shiny metal god!


122 posted on 09/21/2006 9:22:31 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: GodGunsGuts

Which only means that YOU are a johnny-come-lately to this topic and are battling the old hands at it, who have seen it all for FOUR years and watched as goldbug after goldbug has been banned. LOL


123 posted on 09/21/2006 9:23:13 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: GodGunsGuts

Hmmmm

I bought Los Angeles area condo in 1995 for 78K. It is now worth $410K.

My 5.0% (15 year with 10 years left[ mortgage payment is apx. $700 a month] ).

But who the heck knows?


124 posted on 09/21/2006 9:23:34 PM PDT by freedumb2003 (Insultification is the polar opposite of Niceosity)
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To: Petronski

Oh I get it. When we say real estate is in a bubble, it's goldpimpery, etc. But when you say talk of a real estate bubble is false, were supposed to take that as gospel. Hypocrite, hypocrite, hypocrite!


125 posted on 09/21/2006 9:23:49 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: GodGunsGuts
tsk, tsk, tsk...............

Did you stamp your foot, as you wrote that? *snicker*

126 posted on 09/21/2006 9:26:15 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: GodGunsGuts
But when you say talk of a real estate bubble is false...

It's got nothing to do with what I say...

Your ludicrous premises remain unproven. You seek to motivate by fear, not informed fact.

127 posted on 09/21/2006 9:26:56 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: Mase

Total BS. Gold is the thing to be in right now. Someday down the road it will be something else. Get real.


128 posted on 09/21/2006 9:27:02 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: nopardons

You guythe are thilly and irrelevant! Theriethely!


129 posted on 09/21/2006 9:27:45 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: Petronski

That's twice. You're finally starting to get it. I'm shocked! Is someone telling you what to write?


130 posted on 09/21/2006 9:28:18 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: Petronski

LOL


131 posted on 09/21/2006 9:28:29 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: GodGunsGuts
Gold is the thing to be in right now...

The hard sell isn't working. Go back to the soft sell, it had at least a snowball's chance in hell of getting to close.

132 posted on 09/21/2006 9:29:07 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: durasell
Bubbles have to do with individual and institutional perception of value.

Can you identify the last real estate bubble that burst without any quantifiable fundamentals? Your suggestion may work in a local or small regional situation but cannot be applied to a broader market. Perceptions, rational or not are driven my something that can be identified.

133 posted on 09/21/2006 9:29:49 PM PDT by Mase
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To: GodGunsGuts

How's that margin going for you? LOL


134 posted on 09/21/2006 9:29:55 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Petronski

Oh I get it now. You don't like people buying and selling your idols.


135 posted on 09/21/2006 9:30:15 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts
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To: Petronski

Oh hush up, or I'll hit you with my purse! hehehehehehehehehehe


136 posted on 09/21/2006 9:30:39 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: GodGunsGuts
Is someone telling you what to write?

Sure. You are.

I take the posts in which you're blatantly MakingShitUp™ and turn it around for sarcastic comedic effect.

Have you noticed that you're the only one not laughing?

137 posted on 09/21/2006 9:30:40 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: nopardons

I give hithe potht Three Thnapth Up!


138 posted on 09/21/2006 9:31:33 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: GodGunsGuts

Not my idol, but definitely your shiny metal god.


139 posted on 09/21/2006 9:32:10 PM PDT by Petronski (Living His life abundantly.)
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To: Petronski

Stop, oh stop it....I'm really laughing so hard, I just might "PIMP".


140 posted on 09/21/2006 9:32:43 PM PDT by nopardons
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