TS/Hurricane/TS Ernesto

NWS/NHC ^ | 28 August 2006 | NHC

[NautiNurse]

Florida Governor Jeb Bush ordered a state of emergency in advance of Ernesto's anticipated Florida landfall as a hurricane. During his press briefing, Governor Bush emphasized the need to, "Have your family plan in place. Be prepared to be on your own for 72 hours. I know it sounds like a broken record." Jeb then repeated his message in Spanish.

All of the South Florida peninsula and Keys are under a hurricane watch, and portions of the watch areas may be upgraded to hurricane warnings later today.

NASA is moving Space Shuttle Atlantis from the launch pad back to its protective hangar, with the launch postponed until at least Sept. 7-8.

Hurricane Ernesto was downgraded to Tropical Storm status after battering Haiti and the Dominican Republic all day Sunday. The death toll in Haiti from Ernesto currently stands at 1 person; storm reports from Hispaniola are scarce this morning.

Ernesto has approached the eastern portion of Cuba, where the government issued a hurricane warning for six provinces, tourists were evacuated, and baseball games were played earlier Sunday than originally scheduled.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Ernesto Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 3 & 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data Florida & Eastern GOM

Hurricane Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Tropical Storm Ernesto I

Hurricane Ernesto

[rodguy911]

Just spent two hours on the meteorologists thread and those guys, who are all weather dudes,argue more than we do! The two best scenarios I came away with were that Ernie will hit N.Miami Bch. with 70 mph winds or 10-miles north and east of Plantation Key with 70 mph winds(10 miles north of my house.
So the heck with all of them I am going to my daughters in Key West tomorrow.

[rodguy911]

If Bastardi were a baseball player his average would be about .175 he really sucks.

[RDTF]

you wait the entire freakin day to bring it up AGAIN? Please give us a break.

[shield]

LOL... ;o)

OK...it's time for all us to give our storm predictions....Mine is east of Florida.

[GummyIII]

Frankly, I like the GFDL prediction! It would bring my neck of the woods some much needed rain. (SW Virginia)

[rodguy911]

I've studied it for two days and gotten opinions from over 100 of the top weather guys and I still don't have a clue. Maybe Key Largo, it keeps coming up. Key Largo at 70-80 mph.
But NC could get hit hard, it could be a 2 by labor day and wind up stalling, bad news for all my friends up there.

[NautiNurse]

it's time for all us to give our storm predictions....

and a group hug...

[hipaatwo]

From this pic it looks like it's all broken apart.


http://www.intellicast.com/IcastPage/LoadPage.aspx?loc=usa&seg=StormCenter&prodgrp=FloaterImagery&product=Float5Loop&prodnav=none&pid=none

[gov_bean_ counter]

E...F,G,H,I,J...K

What a difference a year makes.

[shield]

Now the strength is something I'm not sure about [when those suckers come out over hot water...they can zap upward fast...others are saying he's been beat up so much he doesn't have time to reorganize that much...I don't know].

What I do hope and pray it stays small and gives those that need rain...rain.

[abb]

Yes, that eastern convection flareup ain't sticking...

[shield]

Where's the circulation on that image?

[brothers4thID]

Well then its a good bit the storm will fizzle completely. He's been wrong on the last dozen storms

[abb]

Lol, I'm still looking...

[Howlin]

Raleigh.

[Frank_2001]

"What are they gonna overkill now"?

Perky Katie and her sexy waxed legs?;))

[hipaatwo]

All I see is a broken up bunch of thunder clouds.

[brothers4thID]

I'm all for group hugs, but keep the TS rains out of Northern VA please. One flood per year is my stated limit.

[dirtboy]

I hope this thing doesn't pull a Hugo.

Hugo was already a low-end Cat 3 when it hit the Gulf Stream - went from 115 mph to 135 mph and a Cat 4.

[shield]

I can't find one...most likely it's no longer with the conviction and is west of the red blab, maybe?