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Rumors of War: Hezbollah is losing friends and influence at home.
Weekly Standard ^ | 9/7/06 | Lee Smith

Posted on 07/29/2006 4:54:51 AM PDT by Valin

Damascus: THE LEBANESE MEDIA are the best in the Arab Middle East, and perhaps the freest, not because of any noble principles but because they are so competitive. Every Lebanese media outlet represents a political interest, sometimes several political interests, and all the major political parties own TV stations. (In this regard, Hezbollah really is just like every other political party, though no one else does "martyr kitsch" like the Party of God.) And the people of Lebanon take their cue from the media. Insofar as rumors are also a medium, they, too, represent political interests. My friend Fawaz called last week from Lebanon with reports of a rumor.

"There are lots of stories going around Beirut that Hezbollah M.P. Mohammed Raad is dead," says Fawaz. "And get this--more than 500 Hezbollah fighters have been killed and are lying around area hospitals. That's a lot of virgins on call."

Whether or not such rumors are true, they indicate something about the state of affairs right now in Lebanon. There are many Lebanese imagining, fantasizing, hoping against hope that Hezbollah will be wiped from the face of the earth. Some are even joking about it.

"The new one," Fawaz says, "is that they're going to play the next World Cup in the Daheyh [the Shiite neighborhood]--the whole thing's been leveled nice and flat."

This narrative, including the morbid jokes at the expense of the heavily Shiite southern suburbs and the spectacular number of Hezbollah dead, runs against the current Western news narrative. It seems that U.S. and Western press outfits are determined to claim that the Israelis have driven all of Lebanon, Shiite or not, Islamist or not, pro-Hezbollah or not, into the waiting arms of the Islamic resistance. It is not clear why Western journalists believe this is so, though it seems to comport nicely with the idea that the Israelis are killing too many civilians--a cynical storyline, given that the Israelis are fighting against a militia and without the benefit of weapons capable of targeting only the bad guys.

And it is not just the press that believes what it finds convenient to believe. In his press conference with Tony Blair on July 28, President Bush maintained that Lebanese prime minister Fouad Siniora's government must be preserved--even though that government still includes Hezbollah. Indeed, insofar as Hassan Nasrallah singlehandedly took Lebanon to war, he is the de facto head of the Leban ese government. Washington should side instead with what you might call, for lack of a better term, the Lebanese government in exile in Beirut--moderate Sunnis, Christians, Druze, and a few Shia who would seem promising candidates to run their country after the war is over, except for the fact that they were incapable of keeping their country out of the war to begin with.

The White House says it wants to save the anti-Syria forces of the Cedar Revolution; however, the problem is no longer a strong Syria but a weak Lebanon. "How will the citizens of Lebanon deal with this heartbreak and shame," says Fawaz, "that their own leaders betrayed their country for 15 years under Syrian tutelage?"

The fact is that many Lebanese do not think that Siniora's government is worth much in this context. After all, Siniora is a Sunni, and all the Lebanese except for the Sunnis--Christians, Druze, and Shiites--believe that the Sunnis are cowards. Coastal Sunnis are merchants, and they do not fight, ever. They have proved incapable of disarming Hezbollah on their own. Moreover, like the Shiite militia that is now fighting to destroy Israel, Lebanon's Sunnis were raised from birth with the idea that Zionism is a historic crime. Even if these moderate Sunnis in favor with the White House wanted to do so, they could not conceivably take on a resistance group that seeks to liberate Jerusalem. It goes against everything they have been brought up to believe.

Even now, three weeks after it has been proven beyond a doubt that Hezbollah's arms are incapable of protecting one inch of Lebanese soil from the Zionists, there are still many Lebanese, including in the government, who credit Hezbollah with having driven Israeli forces from southern Lebanon in 2000. And thus the seeds of Lebanon's current crisis were sown in that willing self-deception of six years ago. The Lebanese could not then discern that Israeli politics all but forced then-Prime Minister Ehud Barak to withdraw from the South; nor could they imagine how the voting citizens of a liberal democracy would later compel its leadership to protect them at any cost. And if the Lebanese thought that an Islamist militia had beaten back the region's most powerful military, then they could hardly forecast, in spite of repeated warnings, that that "resistance" would end up reducing parts of their country to a soccer field.

Lee Smith, a Hudson Institute visiting fellow based in Beirut, is writing a book on Arab culture.


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2000; 2006israelwar; hezbollah; killalqaeda; killhamas; killhezbollah; lebanon; terrorists

1 posted on 07/29/2006 4:54:53 AM PDT by Valin
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To: Valin

Just last night it was being reported Israel was losing ME support and there were many flocking to sign up with Hezbollah.


2 posted on 07/29/2006 4:58:28 AM PDT by mtbopfuyn (I think the border is kind of an artificial barrier - San Antonio councilwoman Patti Radle)
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To: mtbopfuyn

Not that you'd ever see this story on our MSM.


3 posted on 07/29/2006 5:01:48 AM PDT by kjo
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To: Valin

Good read. Thx for posting it.


4 posted on 07/29/2006 5:12:01 AM PDT by Dark Skies
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To: mtbopfuyn

"Just last night it was being reported Israel was losing ME support and there were many flocking to sign up with Hezbollah.
"

Yeah, apparently Jonathan Hunt at Fox News is the leftist side of fair and balanced. Between him and Sheepherder Smith, Fox News has more lefties working for it then the MSM has righties combined.


5 posted on 07/29/2006 5:14:37 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Democrats - The reason we need term limits)
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To: mtbopfuyn

Just last night it was being reported Israel was losing ME support

They had any to lose? At least publicly I mean.


6 posted on 07/29/2006 5:20:04 AM PDT by Valin (http://www.irey.com/)
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To: mtbopfuyn

Anytime our media trumpet one thing over and over, assume the opposite.


7 posted on 07/29/2006 5:26:36 AM PDT by piasa (Attitude Adjustments Offered Here Free of Charge)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Shep channelling Dan Rather and rhapsodizing about the "G-block" from the hills of Northern Israel to the background of the massive whooshing sound effects of flying Fox logos and multiple titles and the "other news" crawl puts me in mind of hungry local UHF TV ads for used car lots. The emotive commentary Shep trys to pass off as news from the front seems as myopic as some of his Katrina coverage from the bridge.

Shep has never seemed big enough or grown up enough for the anchor jobs.

8 posted on 07/29/2006 6:29:24 AM PDT by RhoTheta (Twas brillig, and the toves were not just slithy, they were stinking drunk.)
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To: RhoTheta

The other night John Gibson took him to task. It was....delicious.


9 posted on 07/29/2006 7:00:23 AM PDT by Valin (http://www.irey.com/)
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To: Valin

This is an excellent piece...thanks for posting.


10 posted on 07/29/2006 7:01:55 AM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-pray for Israel))
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To: Valin
...book on Arab culture...

That will be a very short book...

11 posted on 07/29/2006 7:02:42 AM PDT by pointsal (Q)
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To: Valin

The terrorists can always rely on their good friends, such as Kennedy, Kerry, Murtha, Biden, Schumer, Boxer, Leahy, Reid, Feinstein, Rockefeller, Pelosi, Dean, Clintons, Carter ... and all the other lunatic DemoSocialists.


12 posted on 07/29/2006 7:08:40 AM PDT by pleikumud
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To: pleikumud

They really are counting on them and their allies in the MSM to help them win.
(One mans opinion, freely given and worth almost that much)


13 posted on 07/29/2006 7:17:37 AM PDT by Valin (http://www.irey.com/)
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To: pointsal

TRY not to be quite so dumb. I know it will be hard for you, but at least give it a shot.
Thank you on behalf of thinking people everywhere.


14 posted on 07/29/2006 7:19:22 AM PDT by Valin (http://www.irey.com/)
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To: Valin
"Washington should side instead with what you might call, for lack of a better term, the Lebanese government in exile in Beirut"

This may be happening already. I read the other day that Washington is going to give the Lebanese Military about 150 million dollars in aid. Just a wild guess, but Condi's visit to Lebanon should make Hezbollah a little more paranoid.

15 posted on 07/29/2006 7:35:10 AM PDT by Enterprise (Let's not enforce laws that are already on the books, let's just write new laws we won't enforce.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Why is Jonathan Hunt always yelling? I have to turn off the tube when he comes on.
16 posted on 07/29/2006 7:56:52 AM PDT by msnimje (Uni-FAIL - UN peace keeping force in Lebanon has lived up to its name.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Yeah, apparently Jonathan Hunt at Fox News is the leftist side of fair and balanced. Between him and Sheepherder Smith, Fox News has more lefties working for it then the MSM has righties combined.

You got that right. Sheepherder Smith is a real piece of garbage and talk about slanting the news. His display with the hurricane in NO was a pure sad commentary, and he is still at it with the Lebanon/Israel war.

17 posted on 07/29/2006 8:20:59 AM PDT by Logical me (Oh, well!!!)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
Yeah, apparently Jonathan Hunt at Fox News is the leftist side of fair and balanced. Between him and Sheepherder Smith, Fox News has more lefties working for it then the MSM has righties combined.

Interesting comment, particularly the last sentence.

From what I've been reading on FR lately, I find nothing that should interest me in subscribing to cable or satellite TV to get Fox News since it doesn't sound much differentiated from the other Drive By Media outlets.

18 posted on 07/29/2006 7:56:15 PM PDT by OldPossum
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