IDF: Terrorists running out of rockets

Jerusalem Post ^ | July 24, 2006 | YAAKOV KATZ

[West Coast Conservative]

IDF Military Intelligence (MI) believes the army has 10 days left before diplomatic pressure puts an end to operation Change of Direction against Hizbullah, The Jerusalem Post learned on Sunday.

In addition, MI - reflecting its latest strategic assessment - believes that the Islamist group has already been dealt a severe blow by the IDF operation launched 12 days ago, and that within a month it will run out of Katyusha rockets to fire at Israel.

Hizbullah is organized along military lines, with regional commands in southern, northern and central Lebanon. The unit in the south, called the "Katyusha Unit" by the IDF, consists of some 1,000 fighters who have been responsible for most of the rocket attacks on communities north of Acre and Amiad.

The unit has been able to recruit reserves, but MI has noticed that it has run into difficulty convincing members of the terror group who reside in northern Lebanon to travel south to participate in the fighting.

Once the unit exhausts the missiles currently in its possession, it will, MI believes, have difficulty acquiring more, since most of the roads and supply routes have been destroyed by the IDF. Several Syrian and Iranian attempts to send supplies to Hizbullah have been thwarted by the IDF.

North of the Litani River, Hizbullah operates a unit called the "medium-range rocket unit" believed to be responsible for firing Katyushas at Haifa and Israel's northern coast. Most of that unit's missiles were supplied by Syria prior to the current conflict.

This unit is also believed to have an arsenal of long-range rockets - Iranian-made Fajr 5 and Zelzal missiles capable of reaching targets 200 km. away.

Hizbullah still has several functioning military command centers in different regions in Lebanon, according to MI assessments. Officials in these centers are still able to command Hizbullah's men in the field.

Military Intelligence has set up a team to oversee targeted killings of Hizbullah officials, but the unit has had limited success. MI does not believe that killing Hizbullah leader Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah would necessarily end the conflict.

MI believes that Hizbullah has been dealt a "critical blow" to its image in Lebanon and throughout the Arab world. Lebanese leaders blame Nasrallah for provoking Israel and "bringing a disaster upon their country," MI believes.

Hizbullah also reportedly has three units charged with intelligence operations. One unit is in charge of espionage against Israel, including the recruitment of agents who gather intelligence on IDF bases and other strategic installations.

A unit called "1800" is reportedly responsible for the recruitment of Palestinians in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip.

There is also reportedly a third unit, in charge of counter-intelligence operations.

[goldstategop]

Hezbollah may be running out of rockets but its not going out of business any time soon - as long as the regimes that sponsor it remain around.

(Go Israel, Go! Slap 'Em, Down Hezbullies.)

[Cindy]

OPINION: I suppose the real questions that need
to be answered are:

1. Is SYRIA running out of rockets and missiles?

2. Is IRAN running out of rockets and missiles?

[Salem]

---

Zec 12:6 In that day will I make the governors of Judah like an hearth of fire among the wood, and like a torch of fire in a sheaf; and they shall devour all the people round about, on the right hand and on the left: and Jerusalem shall be inhabited again in her own place, even in Jerusalem.





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[okie01]

IDF Military Intelligence (MI) believes the army has 10 days left before diplomatic pressure puts an end to operation Change of Direction against Hizbullah...

In addition, MI...believes that the Islamist group has already been dealt a severe blow by the IDF operation launched 12 days ago, and that within a month it will run out of Katyusha rockets to fire at Israel.

To my surprise, it appears that Israel has no intention of "crushing Hizbollah". If they had, by they would have invaded South Lebanon in force.

Which begs the question: Why did the government not commit to effectively destroying Hizbollah. And, if they weren't committed, why did they start (or truncate) the operation?

[Publius6961]

IDF Military Intelligence (MI) believes the army has 10 days left before diplomatic pressure puts an end to operation Change of Direction against Hizbullah, The Jerusalem Post learned on Sunday.

Can anyone explain the legal and moral basis for this?
Simultaneously "nothing can be done" to pressure or prevent a bunch of nutcases in Iran from creating nuclear weapons and threatening the rest of the world, but...

Our strongest ally in the war against international terrorism is forced, errr... 'pressured', to abandon the fight for its own survival?

What's wrong with this picture?

[AZLiberty]

I agree. I think it's totally bizarre that Israel has supposedly been "given" two or three weeks to complete the destruction of Hezbollah. Did the U.S. accept such a deadline for the destruction of insurgent forces in Iraq?

[LeoWindhorse]

can anyone explain to me what is the strange baggy headgear
that some IDF soldiers wear is all about?

[AmericaUnite]

One unit is in charge of espionage against Israel, including the recruitment of agents who gather intelligence on IDF bases and other strategic installations.

Before we left Saturday morning I saw the Fox reporter Bill Heller say how Hezbollah had targeted an IDF military munitions depot twice yet they missed it. Then he said that if had been more to the left it would have hit.

I couldn't believe my ears. Mike Tobin had just said he wasn't allowed to show the rockets coming into Haifa , where they landed or the results as Hezbollah could watch and adjust the rockets trajectory. Tobin said this was the Israeli rules of censorship and they will abide by them or else. Then I saw Heller and I thought or else what?

[Fitzcarraldo]

It should be an easy matter to smuggle weapons into Lebanon from Syria, even now.

[Cindy]

OPINION: Well, it probably WAS easy, but I think it would be a lot harder to now, I hope.

[nutmeg]

ping!

Please FReepmail me if you want on or off my ‘miscellaneous’ ping list.

[BigSkyFreeper]

Hezbollah didn't make these rockets, Iran did.

[BigSkyFreeper]

I think it's totally bizarre that Israel has supposedly been "given" two or three weeks to complete the destruction of Hezbollah. Did the U.S. accept such a deadline for the destruction of insurgent forces in Iraq?

It is bizarre. If we set a timeline in Iraq, all the insurgents would have to do is engage us enough that we're fighting them off as we pull out, and once we pull out, they'd turn Iraq into Eastern Lebanon. They'd take over the government and control it's citizens, and deprave the citizens of everything the insurgents find objectionable.

[jennyp]

Before we left Saturday morning I saw the Fox reporter Bill Heller say how Hezbollah had targeted an IDF military munitions depot twice yet they missed it. Then he said that if had been more to the left it would have hit.

I couldn't believe my ears. Mike Tobin had just said he wasn't allowed to show the rockets coming into Haifa , where they landed or the results as Hezbollah could watch and adjust the rockets trajectory. Tobin said this was the Israeli rules of censorship and they will abide by them or else. Then I saw Heller and I thought or else what?

Hmmm... I hope Heller was just helping the IDF do a head-fake to see if Hezbollah is watching TV.

[kittycatonline.com]

Hezbollah must have bought all the remaining Qassams on eBay, since the only Qassam left is this lousy stamp.

[Seeing More Clearly Now]

"Can anyone explain the legal and moral basis for this?
Simultaneously "nothing can be done" to pressure or prevent a bunch of nutcases in Iran from creating nuclear weapons and threatening the rest of the world, but...

Our strongest ally in the war against international terrorism is forced, errr... 'pressured', to abandon the fight for its own survival?

What's wrong with this picture?"

Stopping Israel before she can win has been the pattern of the U.S. State Dept every time Israel has been attacked and managed to defend herself . 1956, 1967, 1973, etc, etc. In the past the U.S. has not let Israel win. Maybe they've gotten smarter and realize that their previous strategy was all wet and that evil terrorism must be crushed and Israel must be allowed to do the job. The Bush doctrine is spot on. Bush needs to remind the world that his doctrine guides him now.

[Seeing More Clearly Now]

And your repeating the help here. Is that smart?

[Constantine XIII]

LOL, Hezbollah fails at war.

[AmericaUnited]

To my surprise, it appears that Israel has no intention of "crushing Hizbollah". If they had, by they would have invaded South Lebanon in force.

Wrong! They have shaped/softened the battlefield by air first, exactly as they should have. They are amassing troops along the border. Nothing like a "all knowing" coach potato general to "instruct/critique" the real ones.