Posted on 07/18/2006 7:35:16 AM PDT by nwctwx
Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on July 18, 2006
...Second tropical depression of the season forms off the North Carolina coast... ...Tropical storm watch issued for eastern North Carolina...
at 11 am EDT...1500 UTC...a tropical storm watch has been issued for the eastern coast of North Carolina from north of Cape Lookout northward to south of Currituck Beach Light.
Yeah, looks like a little rain for us here in Norfolk. And rough seas so no fishing/boating Saturday.
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on July 18, 2006
...Tropical depression getting better organized off the North
Carolina coast...
a tropical storm watch is in effect for the eastern coast of North
Carolina from north of Cape Lookout northward to south of Currituck
Beach Light.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 200 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 32.8 north...longitude 73.4 west or about 210
miles...340 km...southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
The depression is moving toward the north near 5 mph. A slow turn
toward the north-northwest or northwest is expected to occur later
tonight or Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours... and
the depression could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft currently
investigating the depression will provide a better assessment of
its location and strength later today.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb...29.85 inches.
Repeating the 200 PM EDT position...32.8 N...73.4 W. Movement
toward...north near 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1011 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 500 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
Nauti, I'm betting it will be Tropical Storm Beryl by the 5:30 p.m. TWO advisory.
Oops -- forgot this: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/
It looks to be shy of TS status still.
---
281
URNT12 KNHC 181945
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 18/19:15:40Z
B. 33 deg 08 min N
073 deg 17 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 180 deg 008 nm
F. 070 deg 032 kt
G. 340 deg 013 nm
H. EXTRAP 1008 mb
I. 22 C/ 200 m
J. 23 C/ 199 m
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1234 / 1
O. 0.05 / 5 nm
P. AF308 0102A CYCLONE OB 14
MAX FL WIND 32 KT NW QUAD 19:08:20 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
thanks for the ping!
The SECOND???
Didn't the experts say something like 42 depressions, 12-16 hurricanes and four CAT 4 or 5's????
What's going on---global COOLING?????
They found a 39 Kt FL wind just NE of center...looks like we may have Beryl.
Check that...just found a 47 kt FL wind....definitely have Beryl now.
Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on July 18, 2006
...Tropical depression very near tropical storm strength...
a tropical storm watch is in effect for the eastern coast of North
Carolina from north of Cape Lookout northward to south of Currituck
Beach Light.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 500 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 33.3 north...longitude 73.3 west or about 180
miles...290 km...southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.
The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph. A slow turn
toward the north-northwest is expected to occur later tonight or
Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours... and
the depression could become a tropical storm later today or
tonight.
The minimum central pressure is 1008 mb...29.77 inches.
Repeating the 500 PM EDT position...33.3 N...73.3 W. Movement
toward...north near 6 mph. Maximum sustained winds...35 mph.
Minimum central pressure...1008 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
PM EDT.
They just issued the 5PM Adv too soon...LOL.
We have Tropical Storm Beryl! Can someone please change the title of this thread? Thanks.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Admin mods were on it fast. ;-)
ping, TS Beryl
Sure were -- within a heartbeat!
Tropical Storm Beryl tropical cyclone update
455 PM EDT Tue Jul 18 2006
...Reconnaissance aircraft data indicates that Tropical Depression
Two has reached tropical storm status...
shortly before 445 PM CDT...reconnaissance aircraft indicated
flight-level winds of 46-47 kt in the southeastern quadrant...along
with a central pressure of 1007 mb...or 29.74 inches. Maximum
sustained winds in cycloen are now estimated to be at least 40 mph
in the eastern semicircle...and the system is being designated
Tropical Storm Beryl. This new storm status will be reflected in
National Hurricane Center graphics products and also in the next
intermediate public advisory issued at 8 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
Might be good if the mods could add "Carolinas at risk" after the title?
RUN!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.