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New power struggle emerging in mideast
DesertNews.com ^ | July 15, 2006 | Thomas L. Friedman

Posted on 07/15/2006 9:46:46 AM PDT by Peach

When you watch the violence unfolding in the Middle East today, it is easy to feel that you've been to this movie before and that you know how it ends — badly. But we actually have not seen this movie before. Something new is unfolding, and we'd better understand it. What we are seeing in Iraq, the Palestinian territories and Lebanon is an effort by Islamist parties to use elections to pursue their long-term aim of Islamizing the Arab-Muslim world. This is not a conflict about Palestinian or Lebanese prisoners in Israel. This is a power struggle within Lebanon, Palestine and Iraq over who will call the shots in their newly elected "democratic" governments and whether they will be real democracies. The tiny militant wing of Hamas today is pulling all the strings of Palestinian politics, the Iranian-backed Hezbollah Shiite Islamic party is doing the same in Lebanon, even though it is a small minority in the cabinet, and so, too, are the Iranian-backed Shiite parties and militias in Iraq. They are not only showing who is boss inside each new democracy, but they are also competing with one another for regional influence. As a result, the post-9/11 democracy experiment in the Arab-Muslim world is being hijacked. Yes, basically free and fair elections were held in Lebanon, the Palestinian territories and Iraq. Yes, millions turned out to vote because the people of the Arab-Muslim world really do want to shape their own futures. But the roots of democracy are so shallow in these places, and the moderate majorities so weak and intimidated, that we are getting the worst of all worlds. We are getting Islamist parties who are elected to power, but who insist on maintaining their own private militias and refuse to assume all the responsibilities of a sovereign government. They refuse to let their governments have control over all weapons. They refuse to be accountable to international law (the Lebanese-Israeli border was ratified by the United Nations), and they refuse to submit to the principle that one party in the Cabinet cannot drag a whole country into war. "Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinians all held democratic elections," said the Israeli political theorist Yaron Ezrahi, "and the Western expectation was that these elections would produce legitimate governments that had the power to control violence and would assume the burden of responsibility of governing. But what happened in all three places is that we (produced) governments which are sovereign only on paper, but not over a territory." Then why do parties like Hamas and Hezbollah get elected? Often because they effectively run against the corruption of the old secular state-controlled parties, noted Ezrahi. But once these Islamists are in office they revert to serving their own factional interests, not those of the broad community. Boutros Harb, a Christian Lebanese parliamentarian, said: "We must decide who has the right to make decisions on war and peace in Lebanon. Is that right reserved for the Lebanese people and its legal institutions, or is the choice in the hands of a small minority of Lebanese people?" Ditto in the fledgling democracies of Palestine and Iraq. When cabinet ministers can maintain their own militias and act outside of state authority, said Ezrahi, you're left with a "meaningless exercise" in democracy/state building. Why don't the silent majorities punish these elected Islamist parties for working against the real interests of their people? Because those who speak against Hamas or Hezbollah are either delegitimized as "American lackeys" or just murdered, like Rafiq Hariri, the former Lebanese prime minister. The world needs to understand what is going on here: The little flowers of democracy that were planted in Lebanon, Iraq and the Palestinian territories are being crushed by the boots of Syrian-backed Islamist militias who are desperate to keep real democracy from taking hold in this region and Iranian-backed Islamist militias desperate to keep modernism from taking hold. It may be the skeptics are right: Maybe democracy, while it is the most powerful form of legitimate government, simply can't be implemented everywhere. It certainly is never going to work in the Arab-Muslim world if the United States and Britain are alone in pushing it in Iraq, if Europe dithers on the fence, if the moderate Arabs cannot come together and make a fist, and if Islamist parties are allowed to sit in governments and be treated with respect — while maintaining private armies. The whole democracy experiment in the Arab-Muslim world is at stake here, and right now it's going up in smoke.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Israel; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2006israelwar; friedman; middleeast; mideast; thomaslfriedman
It certainly is never going to work in the Arab-Muslim world if the United States and Britain are alone in pushing it in Iraq, if Europe dithers on the fence, if the moderate Arabs cannot come together and make a fist, and if Islamist parties are allowed to sit in governments and be treated with respect — while maintaining private armies.

We'd better find a way to get Europe onboard.

1 posted on 07/15/2006 9:46:49 AM PDT by Peach
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To: Peach

Sorry for the bad formatting.

Give me a sec and I'll repost.


2 posted on 07/15/2006 9:47:23 AM PDT by Peach (Prayers for our dear friends in Israel.)
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To: Peach


When you watch the violence unfolding in the Middle East today, it is easy to feel that you've been to this movie before and that you know how it ends — badly. But we actually have not seen this movie before. Something new is unfolding, and we'd better understand it.

What we are seeing in Iraq, the Palestinian territories and Lebanon is an effort by Islamist parties to use elections to pursue their long-term aim of Islamizing the Arab-Muslim world. This is not a conflict about Palestinian or Lebanese prisoners in Israel. This is a power struggle within Lebanon, Palestine and Iraq over who will call the shots in their newly elected "democratic" governments and whether they will be real democracies.

The tiny militant wing of Hamas today is pulling all the strings of Palestinian politics, the Iranian-backed Hezbollah Shiite Islamic party is doing the same in Lebanon, even though it is a small minority in the cabinet, and so, too, are the Iranian-backed Shiite parties and militias in Iraq. They are not only showing who is boss inside each new democracy, but they are also competing with one another for regional influence.

As a result, the post-9/11 democracy experiment in the Arab-Muslim world is being hijacked. Yes, basically free and fair elections were held in Lebanon, the Palestinian territories and Iraq. Yes, millions turned out to vote because the people of the Arab-Muslim world really do want to shape their own futures.

But the roots of democracy are so shallow in these places, and the moderate majorities so weak and intimidated, that we are getting the worst of all worlds. We are getting Islamist parties who are elected to power, but who insist on maintaining their own private militias and refuse to assume all the responsibilities of a sovereign government. They refuse to let their governments have control over all weapons. They refuse to be accountable to international law (the Lebanese-Israeli border was ratified by the United Nations), and they refuse to submit to the principle that one party in the Cabinet cannot drag a whole country into war.

"Iraq, Lebanon and the Palestinians all held democratic elections," said the Israeli political theorist Yaron Ezrahi, "and the Western expectation was that these elections would produce legitimate governments that had the power to control violence and would assume the burden of responsibility of governing. But what happened in all three places is that we (produced) governments which are sovereign only on paper, but not over a territory."

Then why do parties like Hamas and Hezbollah get elected? Often because they effectively run against the corruption of the old secular state-controlled parties, noted Ezrahi. But once these Islamists are in office they revert to serving their own factional interests, not those of the broad community.

Boutros Harb, a Christian Lebanese parliamentarian, said: "We must decide who has the right to make decisions on war and peace in Lebanon. Is that right reserved for the Lebanese people and its legal institutions, or is the choice in the hands of a small minority of Lebanese people?"

Ditto in the fledgling democracies of Palestine and Iraq. When cabinet ministers can maintain their own militias and act outside of state authority, said Ezrahi, you're left with a "meaningless exercise" in democracy/state building.

Why don't the silent majorities punish these elected Islamist parties for working against the real interests of their people? Because those who speak against Hamas or Hezbollah are either delegitimized as "American lackeys" or just murdered, like Rafiq Hariri, the former Lebanese prime minister.

The world needs to understand what is going on here: The little flowers of democracy that were planted in Lebanon, Iraq and the Palestinian territories are being crushed by the boots of Syrian-backed Islamist militias who are desperate to keep real democracy from taking hold in this region and Iranian-backed Islamist militias desperate to keep modernism from taking hold.

It may be the skeptics are right: Maybe democracy, while it is the most powerful form of legitimate government, simply can't be implemented everywhere. It certainly is never going to work in the Arab-Muslim world if the United States and Britain are alone in pushing it in Iraq, if Europe dithers on the fence, if the moderate Arabs cannot come together and make a fist, and if Islamist parties are allowed to sit in governments and be treated with respect — while maintaining private armies.

The whole democracy experiment in the Arab-Muslim world is at stake here, and right now it's going up in smoke.


3 posted on 07/15/2006 9:48:45 AM PDT by Peach (Prayers for our dear friends in Israel.)
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To: Peach

I will never understand Europe's reasoning behind any decision. They are closer to the threat than we are. Are we repeating history?


4 posted on 07/15/2006 9:52:17 AM PDT by flynmudd
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To: flynmudd

Yup.


5 posted on 07/15/2006 9:55:29 AM PDT by Peach (Prayers for our dear friends in Israel.)
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To: flynmudd
They are closer to the threat than we are. Are we repeating history?

Europe has a history of trying to avert war. Unfortunately, as in the past, they don't avert war, they just give their enemy time to strengthen. If they were more comfortable with acting quickly, before the enemy can become a true threat, they would have enjoyed far more peace in the last century than they actually have.

But don't try to tell them that. They are the ones who understand the nuances of foreign policy. We're just a bunch of hayseeds who save their a$$es when their nuance fails..

Shalom.

6 posted on 07/15/2006 9:56:21 AM PDT by ArGee (The Ring must not be allowed to fall into Hillary's hands!)
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To: Peach

"The whole democracy experiment in the Arab-Muslim world..."

The US/Coalition/Allies/etc. are at times very Ethnocentric in their thinking...


7 posted on 07/15/2006 10:07:44 AM PDT by dakine
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To: ArGee
Great point.

If Europe didn't have big Daddy USA to come to their aid/defense 'Europe' as we all know it would not exist. It might have been called Germany instead, now they are working on having the new name Middle East Annex or maybe just Expanded Middle East if something doesn't change.

8 posted on 07/15/2006 10:08:59 AM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: Peach

The whole story behind the story is that the whole world has no balls. Go out side your house today and take note that you neighbor doesn't give a crap about anything that doesn't immediately affect his own a$$. Go around the world over and over again and you will see it everywhere. People literally dying for the opportunity to deny that the world is at war with Islamic Fascism. They are stunned and surprised when a bomb goes off in their country and can't understand why they hate us. The left and the media tell them what they want to hear and they believe it because it more convenient to think that everything will be ok as long as they get rid of Bush. These young democracies will stand a chance if people could just stand up for them. If they would stop listening to the left and understand what is at stake.


9 posted on 07/15/2006 10:26:47 AM PDT by SHOOT THE MOON bat ("I ain't got a dime but what i got is mine. I ain't rich but Lord I'm free." George Strait)
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To: Peach
This democratically-elected bullshit* really chaps my hide. Democracy is a means, not an end.
We get total idiots like Colmes on Hannity and Colmes repeating endlessly the brainless blather that if a group was elected democratically, they are legitimate and must be given validity and value equal to every other existing Democracy.

Excuse me?
Hamas?
How about a culture of cannibals?
Mass rapists?
Jim Jones types?

Democracy define a behavior, not just a political process. And these "democracies" continue to behave like the most primitive tribal non entities, where the bigger dog eats the smaller one until a bigger one comes along.

These mindless savages have no more place in the commonwealth of nations than common street gangs.

* See classic Freeper Bullshit article.

10 posted on 07/15/2006 10:27:58 AM PDT by Publius6961 (Multiculturalism is the white flag of a dying country)
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To: GOP Poet

Well, the majority in Lebanon should take heart from the example of Israel and throw the Hezbollah bums out.


11 posted on 07/15/2006 10:31:00 AM PDT by ClaireSolt (.)
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To: ArGee

The issue of Europe certainly isn't going to be helped with a huge, and growing, muslim population.


12 posted on 07/15/2006 10:32:04 AM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: GOP Poet
Middle East Annex or maybe just Expanded Middle East if something doesn't change.

Persian Empire.

Shalom.

13 posted on 07/15/2006 10:32:41 AM PDT by ArGee (The Ring must not be allowed to fall into Hillary's hands!)
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To: Arizona Carolyn
The issue of Europe certainly isn't going to be helped with a huge, and growing, muslim population.

That depends on whether the Muslims can be Europeanized before Europe is subjugated. I wouldn't give two hoots for French Muslims threatening the world. However, Islamic Frenchmen is a different issue.

Q: What did the French Suicide Bomber do after learning what he was recruited for?

A: Change his pants.

Shalom.

14 posted on 07/15/2006 10:36:45 AM PDT by ArGee (The Ring must not be allowed to fall into Hillary's hands!)
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To: SHOOT THE MOON bat
"The whole story behind the story is that the whole world has no balls."

Except for the staunch conservatives in the United States you are correct.

15 posted on 07/15/2006 10:52:06 AM PDT by Hound of the Baskervilles ("Well, Watson, we seem to have fallen upon evil days.")
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To: SHOOT THE MOON bat
"they [the Democrats]believe it because it more convenient to think that everything will be ok as long as they get rid of Bush. "

You are exactly correct.

16 posted on 07/15/2006 10:53:45 AM PDT by Hound of the Baskervilles ("Well, Watson, we seem to have fallen upon evil days.")
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