Posted on 07/14/2006 10:02:44 PM PDT by Jameison
The Associated Press trumpets the latest AP/Ipsos poll, with the headline: "Most Americans Plan to Vote for Democrats:"
Republicans are in jeopardy of losing their grip on Congress in November. With less than four months to the midterm elections, the latest Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that Americans by an almost 3-to-1 margin hold the GOP-controlled Congress in low regard and profess a desire to see Democrats wrest control after a dozen years of Republican rule.
This is a howler, of course: the poll respondents wanted Democrats to win by 51% to 40%, not "almost 3-to-1." In any event, the AP can hardly wait:
[A] Democratic takeover of either the House or Senate would be disastrous for the president, leaving both his agenda for the last two years in office and the chairmanship of investigative committees in the hands of the opposition party.
Why, exactly, would it be so disastrous for the Dems to win the House or Senate? When is the last time a President served for eight years with his party controlling both houses of Congress the entire time? Without doing the research, I'm sure you would have to go back at least to Franklin Roosevelt.
Of course, generic preference polls have little or nothing to do with actual races between specific candidates in the relatively few districts that are up for grabs. And, in any event, just about all polls (and all registered voter polls) exaggerate the Democrats' strength. As Sweetness & Light points out, the AP/Ipsos poll sampled 53% Democrats and 41% Republicans. Hence the fact that Democrats were preferred by eleven points. But in the last several Congressional elections, there have been more votes cast for Republican candidates than Democratic candidates. So either thirteen or fourteen percent of American voters have changed their party affiliation in the last year and a half, or AP/Ipsos grotesquely over-sampled Democrats.
But what else is new? I love this line from the AP report:
The president's party historically has lost seats in the sixth year of his service. Franklin D. Roosevelt lost 72 House seats in 1938; Dwight D. Eisenhower 48 in 1958. The exception was Bill Clinton in 1998.
By another comparison, polls in 1994 _ when a Republican tidal wave swept Democrats from power _ the two parties were in a dead heat in July on the question of whom voters preferred in their district.
The AP implies that the Republicans are really in for it, since in 1994 the polls were even and the out-party still romped. The reporter myopically overlooks the more obvious interpretation: polls were over-sampling Democrats in 1994, too.
AP = Al Queda Press
Believing their own bull$hit!
We have a long list of "laws" you better obey, seat belt, cellphone use, child seats etc etc. But when it comes to illegal aliens the nutjobs can't understand "CLOSE THE BORDER, WE'RE AT WAR!" There may indeed be some surprises come Nov. No predictions here, so far.
That's all they've got, poor bastards.
Oh, but Democrats will win. We asked sixteen Democrats and they all said so! Courage, courage.
Polls are for strippers!
Be sure to remind any liberals you might know to get out and vote on Election Wednesday!
Many/Most self-identified Democrats believe so thoroughly in the concept of Free Stuff from the Government that the mere effort involved in moping down to the polls on election day and filling out a ballot compromises the Purity of the Idea.
Pix of demonRAT stripper.
Originally reported here:
AP Skews Another Poll To Say GOP Will Lose Congress | Sweetness & Light
http://www.sweetness-light.com/archive/ap-screws-another-poll-to-say-gop-will-lose-congress
"When is the last time a President served for eight years with his party controlling both houses of Congress the entire time? Without doing the research, I'm sure you would have to go back at least to Franklin Roosevelt."
Only four Presidents have had their party control both Houses of Congress during the eight (or more) years of their presidencies: Jefferson, Madison, Monroe and FDR.
dvwjr
Thanks for the info.
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