MEXICO: THE OFFICIAL PARTY REJECTS A RECOUNT OF ALL ELECTION VOTES

Globovision ^ | 5 July 2006

[conservative in nyc]

Yesterday it was votes from some of the more remote areas that put Calderon over the top, and those, also, did not come in until fairly late.

Not exactly. Calderon was on top. The votes from the more remote areas that were trickling in at the end favored neither Calderon nor ObraGore, but the PRI dinosaur. And Calderon's lead shrunk from 1% to .6% when the questionable precints were included.

This is getting into scary territory. Unless whole PAN-friendly Mexican states are holding back all of their results, it's going to be difficult to make up 3% points with a little less than 25% of the vote still to come.

[SAJ]

Hmmm. Time for a refresher course, evidently.

Just btw, here's the current betting book on tradesports.com -- which, please note, had the Sunday results dead smack right well before even CME/IMM Mexican Peso on GLOBEX.

Contract BQty Bid Offer AQty Last Vol   Chge 

Trade MX06.PRES.LOPEZOBRADOR 
           1  12.0 15.0   2  14.0 5991  +7.5 

Trade MX06.PRES.MADRAZO 
          41   0.3  0.6   5   0.3 3476  +0.1 

Trade MX06.PRES.CALDERON 
          10  85.1 88.0  10  76.0 6033 -19.0 

ObraGore (wonderful sobriquet!) has been as high as 21 bid w/in the past 2 hours.

Thanks yet again for all the info!

[California Patriot]

I think it's all over for Calderon.

[conservative in nyc]

My Spanish stinks, but I think Calderon's people are saying that the vote from the pro-PAN states hasn't been tabulated yet:

http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360345.html

[California Patriot]

Why would that be? Are they all at the end of the alphabet? No.

[shield]

bttt

[conservative in nyc]

Why would that be? Are they all at the end of the alphabet? No.

I have no idea. Perhaps for the same reason Philadelphia always comes in before the rest of PA, or Detroit comes in after the rest of Michigan - that's the way it is.

I agree that this isn't looking good for Calderon.

[Draco]

Going on the record here; Calderon will win the election by nearly the same margin as the "fast count" that was conducted Sunday.

[shield]

You're right.

[California Patriot]

You are way, way out on a limb. We will have to buy you a Miller, or a Corona, if you're right.

[shield]

Translated:

It diminishes BREAD percentage that give advantage to AMLO We yes counted with the totality of acts and Felipe wins by a good amount of votes, says the operative coordinator of the campaign of the panista - To A To + Writing the UNIVERSAL.com.mx the Universal City of Mexico Wednesday 5 of 2006 July the 18:45 operative coordinator of the campaign of Felipe Calderón, Juan Camilo Mouriño, said that although the tendency in the count of districts is favoring to the candidate of the coalition By the Good of All, Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador, reiterated that still they lack enough votes to compute. "We yes counted with the totality of acts and Felipe wins by a good amount of votes, does not stop being a closed election but Felipe wins", said during a press conference in the national seat of the BREAD. "They know perfectly that they lost the election", Mouriño said, that hoped that the coalition By the Good of All decides on the moderation to give value to the democracy. It argued that the numbers that at the moment appear in Internet do not favor Felipe Calderón because the results have not arrived from the states that favor to him.

[conservative in nyc]

Thanks. PAN=BREAD when literally translated.

[California Patriot]

"does not stop being a closed election" ?

[conservative in nyc]

PAN's claiming that the states still out favor PAN:

De acuerdo con un reporte del PAN en los estados donde López Obrador ganó, los porcentajes de contabilidad de actas son, entre otros: En Hidalgo, 97.05%; en Zacatecas, 94.57%, en el Estado de México, 88.32%, en Guerrero, 86.56%; Campeche, 83.71%; mientras que el que menos avance tiene es Morelos con el 64.55%.
(These are the pro-PRD states, which have been mainly counted)

En contraparte, en los estados donde ganó Calderón el avance es menor, en San Luis Potosí, es de 87.43%, en Coahuila, 85.39%,; en Jalisco, 77.07%; Tamaulipas, 76.46%, mientras que en los que menos avance se tiene son Colima con 17.11%, Baja California con 37.20%, Sonora con 37.95% y Durango con 39.11%.
(These are the pro-PAN states, which haven't been

http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360358.html

[California Patriot]

We'd better hope those last four states are really big.
As it is, the figures don't tell us much.

[conservative in nyc]

Sonora's the largest, and Calderon took it by a little under 200,000 votes in the preliminaries. Baja California went to the PAN by a little over 200,000 votes. Colima is smaller, but favored the PAN by about 43,000.

[conservative in nyc]

Actually, Baja and Sonora are both about the same size. Durango (the 4th least in) favored PAN by about 100,000.

[Draco]

Thanks for that update NYC Conservative. Sonora (where I type this from) is strongly for PAN; so are many of the other locations noted, some more, some less. Somebody is going to owe me a Tecate.

[conservative in nyc]

And then.. AMLO called the lawyers...

http://www.eluniversal.com.mx/notas/360367.html

[livius]

Thanks for the information.