Bush Visit May Have Downside for al-Maliki ~ Patrick Quinn spinning the Bush Visit......Barf Alert

0613dv-bush-iraq President Bush's trip to Baghdad comes at a pivotal time for the new prime minister, as he tries to convince Iraqis the country can stand on its own and end violence - if they unite behind him.

But instead of bolstering that effort, Bush's trip could push away the very Sunni Arabs Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki is trying to court.

Bush and U.S. Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad have made much of the fact that al-Maliki and his national unity government are the result of three years of democratic progress. But it is an experiment in Middle Eastern civics that has cost thousands of American and Iraqi lives and arguably has been outpaced by the Sunni insurgency.

"I appreciate you recognizing that the future of the country is in your hands," Bush told al-Maliki as he came to Baghdad to congratulate the prime minister for finally assembling a Cabinet six months after parliamentary elections.

He lauded al-Maliki for bringing together Shiites, Sunni Arabs, Kurds and Christians in a government he hopes will convince insurgents of its impartiality.

"You've assembled people from all parts of your country, representing different religions, different histories and traditions. And yet the Cabinet here represents the entire Iraqi people," Bush said.

But many Iraqis are already wary of the Cabinet - assembled from second and third choices to overcome sectarian objections and bearing fingerprints of the Bush administration.

Khalilzad has often commented about the active role he played in the negotiations to form the government; many of those talks took place inside his residence.

"Bush does need to reinforce Khalilzad's efforts to produce stable political compromises, include the Sunnis, talk to the 'moderate' insurgents and prepare to appoint an inclusive body to review the constitution. U.S. pressure to reach a stable compromise between factions is critical," said Anthony Cordesman, an analyst at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.

Al-Maliki's political future may be bleak if he fails to convince Sunni Arabs he is not a Washington puppet and truly wants to disarm Shiite militias and death squads blamed for hundreds of killings.

Many Sunni Arab and even some Shiite political parties dismissed the visit as an attempt by Bush to associate himself with positive developments in Iraq - formation of the new government and last week's killing of al-Qaida in Iraq leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Bush's political standing portends a difficult election for fellow Republicans in November's congressional elections.

"This visit carries a lot of meanings, but this visit means nothing to the Iraqi street. There will never be any benefits from such a visit and the only one to benefit from this visit is Bush himself and his troops here, not the Iraqi people," said Hassan al-Robaie, a lawmaker loyal to anti-American Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr.

Baghdad University political science professor Nabil Mohammed Selim said Bush's trip also was a bid to show the world that he has achieved something in Iraq.

"In fact, nothing has been achieved in Iraq, hundreds of innocent Iraqis are being killed daily because of the chaos," Selim said.

On June 28, Iraq celebrates two years since the restoration of its sovereignty. In that time it has seen some success: three governments, two elections and a referendum on a constitution.

It has also seen a catastrophic failure to restore security and, more importantly, move the country away from sectarian killing and forced relocations that threaten to divide Iraq.

In Baghdad, dozens of people are blown up, shot or beheaded by sectarian gangs every day. Islamic extremists attack liquor stores, order women not to drive and shoot men for wearing shorts.

The city of 6 million has become so dangerous that al-Maliki plans to restore security by flooding its streets with 75,000 Iraqi and American troops.

Some Sunnis think the success of the Bush visit can only be gauged on al-Maliki's ability to persuade the U.S. president to start pulling some of the 130,000 American troops from the country.

"We hope that al-Maliki persuades Bush to announce a timetable for the withdrawal of U.S. forces, otherwise the visit is of no relevance to Iraqis," said Zafer al-Ani, spokesman for the Iraqi Accordance Front - the main Sunni Arab partner in al-Maliki's government.

Patrick Quinn is Chief of Southeast Europe News for The Associated Press and has reported frequently from Iraq since 2003.

And:

AP Blog: Bush Visit Shocks Iraq Reporters

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ASSOCIATED PRESS

AP Correspondent Ryan Lenz is covering events in Iraq from Baghdad, where he was on hand for President Bushs surprise visit.

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Tuesday, June 13, 11:55 p.m. local time

BAGHDAD, Iraq

Today we were supposed to be watching history transpire on a secure videoconference between two leaders - Iraq's Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and President Bush. Instead we watched it in person as hundreds held cameras high over their heads to capture it on tiny pixel screens.

It was a complete surprise to see him stroll calmly into the room - strange and surreal.

But the signs were there if you've ever seen the security that surrounds a presidential visit before. The bomb dogs. The pat downs. Bags searched. Cell phones taken away. The hallways in the U.S. embassy were vacant in the middle of the week, when they're normally abuzz with American workers.

We were required to show up for a videoconference in the Green Zone hours before anything was to begin. And as we waited, a few reporters began a pool, a little game to pass the time. Pick the dignitary.

One vote for Blair, another for Cheney. Someone thought for sure it was Condoleezza Rice who would soon pass into the room. Only one guessed Bush.

We passed around conjecture and analyzed the situation. It couldn't be Blair, he was just here. Condi was a good bet, we agreed. But Bush? An appropriate time in Iraq - a high-profile terror leader killed, a new government getting to work. But never.

Just as we settled in, the White House press corps burst through the door, sweaty and breathless after running the corridors of a former palace turned U.S. compound to catch the president's first words in Iraq. All bets were off.

On the ground here in Iraq, we've heard that it was a ruse, that Bush slipped away from dinner to board Air Force One in the dead of night to fly around the world for a high-profile meet-and-greet with Iraq's top government official and his closest advisers.

And after Bush and al-Maliki slipped behind heavy doors to begin their meeting, some of us kicked ourselves. We should have known.

When we arrived at the embassy expecting to cover a few hours of mundane banter bounced off satellites, the embassy staff assigned us all password protected computers with no access to our own networks.

As we waited in the "green room" as the president met with Iraq's leaders, I overheard a few embassy staffers saying "keep them in the hole," referring to that incommunicado state of existence that's hell on earth for a reporter, especially in Iraq.

And late in the night, an AP photographer, a Spanish filmmaker making a documentary about the trial of Saddam Hussein and I sat in the lobby of the al-Rasheed hotel, recounting all the telltale signs that should have spelled out clearly someone was coming.

Like the tank that sits in the parking lot of the hotel: even in Iraq, that's strange.

And :

Bush: Iraq's Future in Hands of New Gov't

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Today: June 13, 2006 at 14:11:16 PDT

Bush: Iraq's Future in Hands of New Gov't

By TERENCE HUNT
ASSOCIATED PRESS

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) -

0613dv-bush-with-troops President Bush assured Iraqis in a surprise visit to Baghdad on Tuesday that the United States stands with them and their new government. "It's in our interest that Iraq succeed," he said, seated alongside newly named Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

But he also emphasized, both in his meeting with al-Maliki and in an address to U.S. troops, that the wartorn country's future is in the hands of the new Iraqi unity government.

"And our job is to help them succeed and we will," Bush told American forces as he wrapped up his unannounced visit .

The dramatic trip came as Bush sought to bolster support for Iraq's fledgling government and U.S. war policy at home.

"I've come to not only look you in the eye. I've also come to tell you that when America gives its word, it keeps its word," Bush told al-Maliki.

"I've come today to personally show our nation's commitment to a free Iraq," Bush told cheering American troops assigned to the U.S. Embassy in the Green Zone, the heavily fortified Green Zone is where Iraq's government meets and the U.S. and British embassies are based and a frequent target of insurgent attacks.

"My message to the Iraqi people is this: seize the moment, seize the opportunity to develop a government of and by and for the people," he said. "I come away from here believing that the will is strong."

After his talk to the U.S. troops there, Bush flew by helicopter back to Air Force One under the cover of darkness.

Bush traveled to Baghdad less than a week after a U.S. air strike killed terror chief Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. It was his second unannounced visit since the 2003 invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein.

Al-Maliki, who didn't know Bush was coming until five minutes before they met, said that Iraq was "determined to succeed, and we have to defeat terrorists and defeat all the hardships."

"God willing, all the suffering will be over. And all the soldiers will return to their country with our gratitude for what they have offered, the sacrifice," al-Maliki said through a translator.

Bush made it clear, however, that a U.S. military presence - now at about 132,000 troops - would continue for awhile.

"I have expressed our country's desire to work with you, but I appreciate you recognize the fact that the future of the country is in your hands," Bush said.

"The decisions you and your cabinet make will determine as to whether or not your country succeeds, can govern itself, can defend itself, can sustain itself," he added.

"I am impressed with the cabinet you have assembled," Bush said.

Bush waited until al-Maliki filled the final positions in his government before making the trip. Those posts were filled last Thursday.

The two leaders were seated at a long table in a room with two large television screens, one showing Bush and al-Maliki and the other showing Bush's aides and advisers at Camp David, Md.

Bush was flanked at the table by al-Maliki and Zalmay Khalilzad, the U.S. ambassador to Iraq.

Bush met with al-Maliki in the palace once used by Saddam but which now serves temporarily as the U.S. Embassy.

"Good to see you," exclaimed al-Maliki as they met. "Thanks for having me," Bush responded. They smiled broadly and shook hands vigorously in the high-domed marble room.

The trip was known only to a handful of aides and a small number of journalists sworn to secrecy because of obvious security threats for Bush and members of his entourage.

"Obviously, when you're entering a situation where the enemy is so active, we have to be extra cautious," White House counselor Dan Bartlett said.

The prime minister had been invited to the embassy on the pretense of taking part in a video conference with Bush, supposedly at Camp David, the presidential retreat in Maryland's Catoctin Mountains. The videoconference went on as scheduled, but with Bush appearing alongside al-Maliki.

What had been announced as a two-day meeting at Camp David was part of a ruse to conceal Bush's Baghdad trip and a cover story to bring al-Maliki and his cabinet to the green zone.

Bush sat in the cockpit of Air Force One when the plane landed at Baghdad's airport after the 11-hour overnight flight, Bartlett said. The president wore a 25-pound flak jacket during the helicopter flight from the airport to the Green Zone, Bartlett said.

Air Force One landed in hazy daylight at Baghdad Airport, where the temperature was above 100 degrees. Bush transferred to a helicopter for the six-minute ride to the green zone.

Bush had met with American troops at Thanksgiving 2003 in a visit to Baghdad confined to the airport and limited to several hours after dark. That trip was kept secret until Bush was safely in the air on the way home.

Bush faces increasing pressure at home to begin troop withdrawals. He has said cutbacks depend on Iraq's ability to provide for its own security.

Bartlett said the trip had been in the works for several weeks but was delayed until al-Maliki filled out his cabinet with his national security team last week.

Al-Maliki has won U.S. admiration by promising to crack down on militias and sectarian violence, promote national reconciliation, accelerate reconstruction efforts and restore essential services such as electricity.

Secrecy aside, the meeting was intended to strengthen ties between the Bush administration and al-Maliki's ministries, Bartlett said.

Bush's aides and advisers had expected the president to be at the table with them for the videoconference. Instead, they saw him from Baghdad. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, and Vice President Dick Cheney were in on the secret.

First lady Laura Bush announced Bush's trip to a surprised crowd assembled in Villanova, Pa., for a fundraiser for Republican Sen. Rick Santorum. She told the GOP donors she is "very thrilled and very proud" of her husband.

Tuesday's trip came as Bush struggled for solid footing for his presidency, rocked by the Iraq war and other problems. About 2,500 members of the military have died since the war began in March 2003.

War anxiety has been the driving force behind Bush's plunge in the polls and a cause of Republican distress about holding control of Congress in the November mid-tem elections.

Approval of Bush's handling of Iraq has dipped to 33 percent, a new low, and his overall job approval rating was 35 percent in a new AP-Ipsos Poll.

The poll, taken last week before the announcement of the death of al-Zarqawi, found that 59 percent of adults said the United States made a mistake in going to war in Iraq - the highest level yet in AP-Ipsos polling. It also found that more than half - 54 percent - said it's unlikely that a stable democratic government will be established in Iraq - also a new high.

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EDITOR'S NOTE: Associated Press Writer Deb Riechmann at Camp David contributed to this story.

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