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A bad year for Democrats?
Townhall.com ^ | 22 May 2006 | Dustin Hawkins

Posted on 05/21/2006 11:30:52 PM PDT by Aussie Dasher

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To: All

All Politics Is Local

Find the vulnerable seats, find among them a GOP candidate whose positions you like -- and work to help him or her. Send some money to that campaign. If you can drive there, volunteer your time.

Here are the vulnerable seats (see article and post 49 within):

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1631282/posts?page=15

All politics is local. If you're upset about immigration, then that ire points at the party leadership -- not at all the candidates in tough races. Help those candidates whose positions you support.

Another very important consideration. Principle. Those that make a point of "principle" ignore another sort of principle that matters. Members of Congress are elected to represent their district. The RINOs from Blue states have moderate stances not just because they are afraid of losing, but because they have a principled obligation to represent their district or state. If that district is bluish, they are following a principle. To replace them with a Democrat would deepen the blueness of that seat in the WORST possible way -- the vote for Speaker or Majority Leader would switch. In a given session it is those votes being red that matter most because they deny the agenda to the opposition.


41 posted on 05/22/2006 7:03:32 AM PDT by Owen
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To: RobFromGa

Not to be a party pooper, but here are the potential problems since redistricting will be decided by those who are in power in 2010 not 2006.

1 California will probably be controlled by Rats and they may turn from incumbency protection and target up to 5 Pub seats

2 Ohio, Penn and Michigan had excellent Pub gerrymandering (not so much Ohio) with all R control. Even partial Rat control could lead to neutral or maps drawn up by judges that could cause massive loss of seats. These states are all going to lose 1 or 2 seats and since the majority of seats in all these states are R it'll will probably be one of ours.

3 By 2010 the NY state senate could be controlled by the Rats which means no more incumbency protection and another possible R massacre. NY is losing 2 seats and the it's upstate (where I think most of our seats are) that is going to take the hit.

4 Illinois could be a massacre in 2012 as you noted.

5 Iowa is losing a seat, seeing how we have 4 out of 5 it'll probably mean 1 less R.

6 Louisiana will probably lose a seat, seeing how it's 5-2 for us probably cost us one.

7 Missouri is losing a seat, since it's 6-3 could be one of ours.


42 posted on 05/22/2006 7:05:16 AM PDT by Free Dominoes
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To: Free Dominoes

Good post, I don't know the details of the various state gerrymanders so I can't really comment further.


43 posted on 05/22/2006 7:26:42 AM PDT by RobFromGa (In decline, the Driveby Media is thrashing about like dinosaurs caught in the tar pits.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz
The RATS need new blood from a red state to compete in 08. My pick is Warner/Richardson.

My pick is Bayh and whoever. If Bayh gets the nomination, he's our next President, regardless of who the GOP puts up, IMHO

44 posted on 05/22/2006 7:30:00 AM PDT by NYC Republican (GOP is the worst political party, except for all the others...)
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To: tlb

One pick up in the house and 1 in the senate.


45 posted on 05/22/2006 7:39:59 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Drill ANWR, Personal Accounts NOW.)
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To: RobFromGa

Check this site out. Tells the composition of state legislators from every state.

http://www.ncsl.org/ncsldb/elect98/partcomp.cfm?yearsel=2006


46 posted on 05/22/2006 7:40:29 AM PDT by Free Dominoes
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To: Aussie Dasher
In little noticed or reported analysis, the latest Fox Dynamic poll restates findings from a Pew poll a few weeks ago. A wide majority of people disapprove of Congress. However the same wide majority seem to disapprove of everyone else's representative but not their own. The incumbents of both parties will probably do okay.

Overall Congressional approval is at 27% approve to 56% disapprove. However, approve/disapprove "My Own Rep" is at 53% to 28%

Also, in the Fox poll it showed more Dems are disapproving of Congress than Republicans. Dems approval of Congress is at 23% while the Republicans approval of Congress is at 36%.

If these numbers are to be believed than I don't see how this would ever translate into a Democrat takeover.
47 posted on 05/22/2006 7:43:40 AM PDT by Republican Red ("How good is it? Al-Jazeera gave it 4 1/2 pipe bombs")
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To: Berlin_Freeper

This will be the 4th election in a row that the dems will be filling the air waves with "What Happened?"


48 posted on 05/22/2006 7:46:52 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Drill ANWR, Personal Accounts NOW.)
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To: Jeff Chandler

Well, sure hope you're not depending on the Senate Repubs for that.


49 posted on 05/22/2006 8:09:48 AM PDT by OldArmy52 (China & India: Doing jobs Americans don't want to do (manuf., engineering, accounting, etc))
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To: Tall_Texan
Well, there was also the rather pronounced actual culture of corruption, between Clinton himself, the House Post Office Scandal, the House Bank Scandal, Rostenkowski apologists, and a dozen more.

As far as I recall, not a single Republican involved in the scandals made it through the primaries.

50 posted on 05/22/2006 12:13:47 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Aussie Dasher
So, what is the problem? For one, dissatisfaction with Republicans has not turned into support for Democrats.

R.s need to be paying attention to this too.

51 posted on 05/22/2006 1:59:02 PM PDT by Lee N. Field
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