Posted on 05/03/2006 4:36:22 PM PDT by fight_truth_decay
Twenty months ago, when plenty of folks were reeling at $48-per-barrel oil, energy economist Philip Verleger predicted that the price was headed for $60. A prolific author, Verleger served in the Treasury Department under President Carter. He now runs a consulting business out of Aspen, Colo., and is a visiting fellow with the Institute for International Economics. Verleger explains why more pain could be ahead at the pump.
President Bush is going to stop adding crude oil to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. What impact will that have?
Since we don't have any refining capacity now, none. The tanks are full. This is like offering somebody who just had a seven-course fancy meal a prime rib dinner.
How about the proposed waivers of environmental regulations?
We could knock a dollar a gallon off the retail price of gasoline if we did a couple of things on environmental rules. My environmental friends look at me and say, "Phil, why are you saying this?" I propose a trade-off. Bush has called for construction of new refineries. It takes years to build a refinery. It takes one year to build an ethanol plant. Let's move toward ethanol more rapidly. We'll suffer the cost of higher pollution this year, and then next year, we're going to insist that people use more ethanol ... . Insist all gasoline has to have 10 percent ethanol.
You frequently advocate a gasoline tax, while acknowledging it's a political nonstarter. What good would it do?
First--global warming. We're burning too much. I think everybody but George Bush and Dick Cheney understands the problem. You have to find a way to force people to use less. Second, were we to adopt a gasoline tax of say $2 or $3 a gallon, offset by a reduction in Social Security [payroll taxes] and some other things to minimize the effects [on working Americans], our consumption would be significantly lower. World oil prices would be significantly lower. And the income that's flowing to [Iranian President] Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, [Russian President] Vladimir Putin, [Venezuelan President] Hugo Chavez, and a lot of the other people we don't like would be drastically reduced. Right now, we're paying twice--first for the oil that flows into the hands of our enemies, and then [to fight] a war in Iraq. It's important for the nation as a whole to do something like this.
A version of this proposal has been floated by more conservative thinkers like Charles Krauthammer. But why would "U.S. News and World Report" want to push an idea that would double the cost of gas? They emphasize the notion that consumers are fed up with the high prices and want Congress to lower the price of gas. From a separate article entitled "Pumped Up," that appeared on pages 25-27, which cites the anger of the American people over the issue and the potential political fallout from it, author Marianne Lavelle notes:
"...Pollster Daniel Yankelovich found that 85% of Americans believe the government could do something about oil prices if it tried."
Why would the media help push a plan that will drastically raise the price of gas, when it is clear from its own reporting that the American people want policies enacted that will lower it?
Other comments: MRC'S NEWBUSTERS BLOG
"Bush is right that the current energy crisis can be solved only in the long run. But wise policy can help all of us in the short run, too -- to avoid shortages, to preserve the benefits of price signals and to minimize the pain that short-term price increases can cause." (Robert Litan and Philip Verleger, "We've Tried Price Caps Before And They Don't Work," The Houston Chronicle, May 30, 2001)
flagellate-thy-neighbor alert.
Perhaps he should spend his time lecturing the sun to please stop being so hot!
In September 2004, Mujahid Dokubo-Asari, a delta warlord whom the Nigerian government had accused of oil smuggling, declared "all out war" on the government. Annkio Briggs, a senior aide to Mr. Asari at the time, says the warlord's comments were carefully crafted and timed to move global prices. Carried by news agencies, the remarks helped push New York futures prices above $50 a barrel for the first time.
Wow! Really does a lot to help retired people on a fixed income already being priced out of their homes by rising property taxes nationwide.
In a crazy sort of way, he is right. Everyone here knows that as soon as the high gas prices start to harm the economy and get people to seriously start considering alternate fuel sources, the oil companies will suddenly lower prices and everything will go on the far back burner. If gas stays around $3/gal for a while, we will see those ideas and experiments start really making progress about lowering our dependence on oil.
Rush has been saying this for months!
The MSM is good at popularizing really stupid ideas.
Well, I'm, I'm just insulted! Us non-working Americans would like some payback too! And what about the illegal aliens! This would do nothing to help them!
Our consumer-based economy is driven by and dependent upon readily-available, reliable energy-- choke that off, and we'll all be back to using one rotary dial phone in the dining room, watching one TV in the living room, and driving one car per family-- probably a Hudson Hornet or a Nash Metropolitan...

We need to
1) end the nonsensical ban on offshore drilling off California and Florida--read & weep:
Castro Plans to Drill 45 Miles from US Shores, But We Can't
2) build a lot of next-generation nuclear power plants, not just for electricity, but for any process requiring heat, power, or steam.
And if we replaced our existing nuclear plants with this one there would be significant benefits.
3) end Jimmy Carter's idiotic ban on recycling nuclear waste, and reprocess the stuff rather than fighting over where to bury it. Europe has done this for decades.-- what to do with spent nuclear fuel? Answer here: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1468321/posts?page=50#50 hattip: Mike (former Navy Nuclear Engineer)
4) use the 300-500 years worth of coal we have on our own land, using the new clean-coal technology.
-Clean Coal Centre--
5) and finally, there's nothing wrong with conservation, we should all practice it- but you can't conserve your way out of a shortage. Nor is there anything wrong with "alternative" energy sources- except they don't supply the vast ( not to mention readily-available ) amounts of power we need at a price competitive to more conventional sources. Then again, there is this to ponder:
Energy From the Gulf Stream
http://www.energy.gatech.edu/presentations/mhoover.pdf
We do need to get serious about this before we get strangled by a bunch of petty thieves and dictators who don't like us much.
My tongue-in-cheek collection of energy-related links:
Sticker Shock-$3 a gallon gas? Click the picture:
And kindly note, and note well-- the first reply to this post ( when gas was $1.45 a gallon ) was derisive... so, who's laughing now?
Vest-Pocket Summary:
1- drill for gas & oil like crazy- onshore, offshore, and in Alaska
2- go nuclear for power
3- convert stationary plants to clean coal technology or Next-Gen Nuclear
4- slash taxes and regulations like crazy
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