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About Those Iraqi WMDs
FrontPageMagazine.com ^ | April 26, 2006 | Daniel Pipes

Posted on 04/26/2006 5:48:20 AM PDT by SJackson

 

The great mystery of the 2003 war in Iraq - “What about the WMD?” has finally been resolved. The short answer is: Saddam Hussein’s persistent record of lying meant no one believed him when he at the last moment actually removed the weapons of mass destruction.

In a riveting book-length report issued by the Pentagon’s Joint Forces Command, Iraqi Perspectives Project, American researchers have produced the results of a systematic two-year study of the forces and motivations shaping Saddam Hussein and his regime. Well written, historically contexted, and replete with revealing details, it ranks with Kanan Makiya’s Republic of Fear as the masterly description of that regime. (For a condensed version, see the May-June issue of Foreign Affairs.)

It shows how, like Hitlerian Germany or Stalinist Russia, Saddamite Iraq was a place of unpredictably distorted reality. In particular, Saddam underwent a change in the mid-1990s, developing a delusional sense of his own military genius, indeed his infallibility. In this fantasy land, soldiers’ faith and bravura count far more than technology or matériel. Disdaining the U.S. military performance from Vietnam to Desert Storm, and from Somalia to the Balkans, the tyrant deemed Americans a cowardly and unworthy enemy.

Also about this same time, Saddam began insisting on only good news, further isolating himself from often harsh realities. As ever-fewer underlings dared contradict the boss’s perceptions, his determined self-deception wreaked havoc outward from the presidential palace to the entire Iraqi government and beyond. The lead author of Iraqi Perspectives Project, Kevin M. Woods, and his four co-authors note that, “By the mid-1990s, most of those near the regime inner circle recognized that everyone was lying to everyone else.” Deceits were reinforced and elaborated; in the words of an air defense officer, “One [officer] lied to another from the first lieutenant up, until it reached Saddam.”

That no one really knew what was going on was symbolized by the widespread credence in the wartime nonsense spouted by the Iraqi minister of information (mockingly dubbed Baghdad Bob by Western reporters) as he regaled the world with glowing accounts of Iraqi victories; “from the point of view of Iraq’s leaders, Baghdad Bob was largely reporting what they were hearing from the front.” A militia commander confessed to being “absolutely astonished” on encountering an American tank in Baghdad.

The same situation extended to the military-industrial infrastructure. First, the report states, for Saddam, “the mere issuing of a decree was sufficient to make the plan work.” Second, fearful for their lives, everyone involved provided glowing progress bulletins. In particular, “scientists always reported the next wonder weapon was right around the corner.” In such an environment, who knew the actual state of the WMD? Even for Saddam, “when it came to WMD there was always some element of doubt about the truth.”

Iraq’s strategic dilemma further complicated matters. Realizing that perceptions of Iraqi weakness could invite attack, from Iran in particular, Saddam wanted the world to think he possessed WMD. But eventually he realized that to fend off the coalition, he needed to convince Western states that his regime no longer possessed those very weapons. As coalition forces geared up for war in late 2002, Saddam decided to cooperate with the United Nations to establish that his country was clean of WMD, as he put it, so as “not to give President Bush any excuses to start a war.”

This lucid moment, ironically, fell victim to his long history of deceiving the U.N.; Iraqi steps to comply with the inspections regime had the paradoxical effect of confirming Western doubts that the cooperation was a ruse. For example, intercepted orders “to remove all traces of previous WMD programs” were misinterpreted as yet another ploy, and not the genuine effort they really were.

Saddam's belated attempts at transparency backfired, leading to what the report authors call “a diplomatic and propaganda Catch-22.” Monumental confusion followed. Captured senior Iraqi officials continued for many months after the 2003 war “to believe it possible … that Iraq still possessed a WMD capability hidden away somewhere.” Coalition intelligence agencies, not surprisingly, missed the final and unexpected twist in a long-running drama. Neither those agencies nor Western politicians lied; Saddam was the evil impostor whose deceptions in the end confused and endangered everyone, including himself.



TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: iraq; prewardocs; saddam; waronterror; wmd; wot
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To: Huck
"Then why has the White House been saying for a couple of years now that their WMD intel was botched?"
OK. How many Americans will sit through a few hour talk where GWB or someone in his administration read all the translated Iraqi documents we are finding in the Harmony Database that indicate much of what Powell and others said from day one.
And how many TV networks would give him the time to have someone present a full blown slide show showing all the details we now know as being factual. It would take well over an hour just to start to educated the American public, as to what we knew and now additionally know about his short/intermediate/long term goals to manufacture various type wmds.
Granted it is extremely frustrating for many of us who have been following this stuff since day one.
61 posted on 04/26/2006 8:54:01 AM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned)
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To: SJackson

This book is soon to hit the $1.00 table!


62 posted on 04/26/2006 8:56:17 AM PDT by Prost1 (Sandy Berger can steal, Clinton can cheat, but Bush can't listen!)
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To: Marine_Uncle
How many Americans will sit through a few hour talk

No matter what the subject...the answer to that question is pretty near zero.
63 posted on 04/26/2006 9:00:05 AM PDT by P-40 (http://www.590klbj.com/forum/index.php?referrerid=1854)
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To: All

What Weapons of Mass Destruction Evidence Have We Found in Iraq? (an oldie but goodie)
Strategy Page ^ | October 2003 | Dan Masterson


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1041124/posts


64 posted on 04/26/2006 9:11:19 AM PDT by april15Bendovr
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To: SJackson
That no one really knew what was going on was symbolized by the widespread credence in the wartime nonsense spouted by the Iraqi minister of information (mockingly dubbed Baghdad Bob by Western reporters) as he regaled the world with glowing accounts of Iraqi victories; “from the point of view of Iraq’s leaders, Baghdad Bob was largely reporting what they were hearing from the front.” A militia commander confessed to being “absolutely astonished” on encountering an American tank in Baghdad.


65 posted on 04/26/2006 9:26:27 AM PDT by Donald Rumsfeld Fan ("fake but accurate": NY Times)
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To: P-40
" No matter what the subject...the answer to that question is pretty near zero."
And that is what the demorats and L/MSM calculate on, as you well understand.
66 posted on 04/26/2006 9:27:27 AM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned)
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To: Marine_Uncle
And that is what the demorats and L/MSM calculate on, as you well understand.

That is such a true statement but few outside of the media understand just how true it is...and how little Americans care. The downward financial news regarding some MSM outlets is heartening though. Maybe people are starting to get it.
67 posted on 04/26/2006 9:33:12 AM PDT by P-40 (http://www.590klbj.com/forum/index.php?referrerid=1854)
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To: eyespysomething
Sort of a catch-22,

Yes, you're probably right. And it's not just the people who are his underlings but all of their families. It's unbelievable to me what some people will do for prestige and power.

68 posted on 04/26/2006 9:45:52 AM PDT by jazusamo (-- Married a WAC in '65 and I'm still reenlisting. :-)
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To: MikeA
1) Sada

2) Iraqi Foreign Minister, who confirmed WMDs

3) Trace elements of WMDs reported and NEVER DENIED during the invasion, including water samples of Tigris, etc.

4) All the intel agencies of EVERY nation on earth saying he had them, plus Jordan's king and Egypt's president saying he had them.

5) Iraq Study Group admitting they saw all the "paraphrenalia" of WMD manufacturing.

6) Pentagon-released records which make clear the "special weapons."

7) Iraqi generals trained to use these weapons and expecting to use them.

8) Thousands of chem/bio suits found among stuff taken from Iraqi positions.

and on and on.

69 posted on 04/26/2006 10:16:01 AM PDT by LS
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To: JustDoItAlways

The Iraqi military was quite confused as well about whether there was WMD.

I believe they did have a nuclear program at least in the early 2000s, but the success of that program is very unlikely.

They may have had some chemical weapons removed from the country, however.


70 posted on 04/26/2006 10:19:41 AM PDT by rwfromkansas (http://xanga.com/rwfromkansas)
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To: SJackson

Iraq had WmD, or at least biological weapon...nobody remember this?

http://www.phrusa.org/research/chemical_weapons/chemiraqgas2.html

irak's attack on the kurds??


71 posted on 04/26/2006 10:46:26 AM PDT by astoundedlib
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To: rwfromkansas
They may have had some chemical weapons removed from the country, however.

Perhaps removed by al qaeda as part of the nonaggression pact with Saddam.
72 posted on 04/26/2006 11:17:11 AM PDT by P-40 (http://www.590klbj.com/forum/index.php?referrerid=1854)
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To: P-40
"Maybe people are starting to get it."
We can only hope. One group that understands it very very well are all politicians, both local/state/federal. They all know very well how the L/MSM will always take the side of the left.
73 posted on 04/26/2006 11:45:48 AM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned)
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To: Andy from Beaverton

Thanx for posting that link ... I've needed to get back to those articles.


74 posted on 04/26/2006 2:44:54 PM PDT by MHGinTN (If you can read this, you've had life support from someone. Promote life support for others.)
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To: Huck

"Why do they apparantly believe there were no WMD after all?" Because further intel reviews after the President's SUA told our intel community that Vlad Putin's henchghouls removed them to Russia ans Syria and the Baaka Valley. What was left in Iraq was kept even from the Ruskies and we still haven't found all of that.


75 posted on 04/26/2006 2:49:35 PM PDT by MHGinTN (If you can read this, you've had life support from someone. Promote life support for others.)
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To: Marine_Uncle
They all know very well how the L/MSM will always take the side of the left.

Or just never report the story at all. The media bias can be bad in how they report something, but it is worse in what they choose not to report.
76 posted on 04/27/2006 6:00:42 AM PDT by P-40 (http://www.590klbj.com/forum/index.php?referrerid=1854)
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To: David Isaac
>>> There has been a lot of effort to convince everyone that WMD's never existed. I believe that they did, however. <<<

Your right - all we have to do is turn over a bunch of rocks in Syria and we'll find them.

77 posted on 04/27/2006 7:59:48 AM PDT by HardStarboard (Get legal or get out!)
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To: HardStarboard
all we have to do is turn over a bunch of rocks in Syria

That is if Syria will let us come and look. :)
78 posted on 04/27/2006 8:42:48 AM PDT by P-40 (http://www.590klbj.com/forum/index.php?referrerid=1854)
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To: Thebaddog

If you want to know what was so important to them, read the CIA analyst Charles Duelfer's report about WMDs. If he's right, then this is actually such a sad war that our soldiers and the Iraqi people are dying because of misperceptions built on lies. Here's a different take on the whole thing from (of all places) the liberal mecca of San Francisco. Turns out the critics of the war might have been right but not in the way they thought they were. Good food for thought anyway (if you're open minded enough to finally stop looking for WMDs that aren't there, probably not in Syria either).

www.geocities.com/mooontigger/3yrs01.html


79 posted on 04/29/2006 11:50:17 AM PDT by modusoperendi (Democracy starts with reason and intelligence, not the gun barrel.)
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To: modusoperendi
Dude, you're new here and probably a democrat. The real point of being in Iraq is to kill as many terrorists over there rather than to have them try to kill us over here. WMD's probably did exist and that is my opinion against your opinion. That was never the main premise for going in for anyone. We are really putting our boots on their throats pure and simple.
80 posted on 04/29/2006 12:46:20 PM PDT by Thebaddog (Kill terrorists)
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