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The Last Mistake?
Marze Por Gohar ^ | Mani Aryamand

Posted on 04/21/2006 7:11:16 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports

The Last Mistake?

Despite all the warnings and all the facts about the regime in Tehran funding and supporting terrorism, the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq - their first mistake. Going against the international community the bush administration decided to eliminate the threat in Iraq, ignoring the facts that the real threat is next door in Tehran. While enjoying the resources of a rich country, the regime in Tehran has illustrated out in polished detail how the undeclared war in Iraq should bring the US on their knees. Judging by the latest developments and the administration's green light to Khalilzad, the U.S. ambassador to Iraq, the regime in Tehran seems to have done a good job.

The Islamic regime in Tehran seems to be perpetually a few moves ahead of the international community. International community was in total denial, believing that the regime could be persuaded to stop their nuclear activities by carrots and sticks unaware that the regime has both the carrot and the stick. Controlling the various terrorist organizations and Hamas,while providing the lucrative deals to the Russians and the Chinese, the regime possesses both the carrot and the stick.

Playing the Russians and the Chinese against the E.U. and U.S., the Islamic Republic has clearly demonstrated that some are incapable and some are unwilling to confront the regime. To make this even more obvious, the U.N. nuclear agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei has pushed the idea of a nuclear Islamic republic.

Not that the regime in Tehran needed the agreement of the nuclear agency to pursue its nuclear activities. The day before ElBaradei was due in Tehran, Ahmadinejad officially announced that the regime has completed the uranium enrichment cycle.

The DEBKAfile reported on April 14th, 2006, that the Islamic regime is constructing a secret, large-scale enrichment plant at Neyshabour. According to the exclusive report, there will be 155,000 centrifuges, enough to enrich uranium for 3-5 nuclear bombs a year, which will be ready to go in three years.

The IAEA reported in 2003 that Iran had hidden a uranium enrichment program for 18 years. The report above about the larger mirror sites which came out only days ago indicated the low level of intelligence the west possesses on the Islamic regime's activities.

Given the fact that the Israeli and U.S. interests are in clear and present danger, there is very little doubt that the Bush administration will resort to military air strikes and ground military activities are unlikely. Various reports indicate that the Bush administration is hoping that an uprising by the Iranian people will overthrow the regime while military air strikes are taking place. Given the fact that the Islamic regime has been steps ahead at all times, the regime is well aware of this move and will simply smother any uprising. While the leaders are in their secure hideouts, regime militias will be on highest alert to repress any mass movement by any means necessary.

Once the attacks are over, and the identified sites have served their purposes as bombing baits, the regime will gain the full support Russia and China and probably the United Nations while playing the victim card. Simultaneously, as "waiting Bush out" strategy, the real nuclear activities which are only partly known to us will continue underground, gearing up for the retaliation which will be billed as self-defense.

Yesterday, Ahmadinejad called Israel "a rotten, dried tree" that would be annihilated by "one storm", inferring to a nuclear Armageddon, while Ahmad Jannati, a senior cleric, said in a Friday prayer sermon that the United States was a "decaying power". "We are sure that U.S. will return to saner policies" said Manouchehr Mottaki recently referring to the "waiting Bush out" strategy.

All of the sudden Islamic Republic's statement makes much more sense.

Obviously, the second and probably the last mistake U.S. may make as a super power is to let the regime in Tehran remain in power at the end of the day.

Mani Aryamand Party Secretary Marze Por Gohar Party Iranians For Secular Republic www.marzeporgohar.org


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: blog; iran; marzeporgohar; us
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
Here's where I stopped reading:
ignoring the facts that the real threat is next door in Tehran

Seems the author has ignored the fact that we have Iran surrounded. This has been, so far, one of the most successful military campaigns in the history of the world.

21 posted on 04/21/2006 8:30:24 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: caver
Anything that quotes Debkafiles is suspect.

I've always been curious everytime I see this comment. What is it about Debkafile that makes it any less authoratative and accurate than the biased drivel passed off as news we read and watch in many American MSM venues today? Inquiring minds want to know (that may be a bad phrase to use in this case). Just curious. ;-) - OB1

22 posted on 04/21/2006 8:34:29 AM PDT by OB1kNOb (America is the land of the free BECAUSE of the BRAVE !! BUILD THE WALL! PROTECT OUR BORDERS!)
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To: nuconvert

Who is not part of the international community?

England
Australia
Italy
US
Israel


23 posted on 04/21/2006 8:35:47 AM PDT by gitmo (From now on, ending a sentence with a preposition is something up with which I will not put.)
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To: nuconvert
I despise the MSM, and believe nothing from them, nothing.

Until the Iranians rebel, en mass, and their leaders are killed or arrested, it means they approve of their leaders actions.

Where is the revolt?
24 posted on 04/21/2006 8:36:28 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: roses of sharon; Marze Por Gohar Reports
Expand my level of knowledge, tell me what Iranians are doing, en mass, to get rid of their leadership?

I'd like to know that, too. More than a generation has passed since these mullahs took control, and the Iranian people (educated though they are) resemble the Iraqi people: subservient, scared, waiting to be led by the hand by the West.

In the end, the Iranians are no different from the Iraqis: neither are willing to fight and die for freedom.

25 posted on 04/21/2006 8:36:48 AM PDT by sinkspur (Things are about to happen that will answer all your questions and solve all your problems.)
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To: sinkspur

just google and see how many riots and gatherings are takig palce in Iran and then search for the executions per month and you will find your answer!


26 posted on 04/21/2006 8:44:36 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: sinkspur
We are surrounding Iran now, this would be an ideal time to rebel.

Iraqis ARE willing to die, we see them die everyday. And they will have a civilized nation to be proud of someday.

IF the majority of Iranians truly wanted change and to escape their leadership, they would be willing to die also.

They must find a way to marry Islam and modernity to also have a civilized nation. Other religions have done it over the centuries.

And they must have enough citizens who believe that to overthrow their leaders.
27 posted on 04/21/2006 8:47:08 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: caver

Iran knows that the UN will do NOTHNG!


28 posted on 04/21/2006 8:54:06 AM PDT by tessalu (t)
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
just google and see how many riots and gatherings are takig palce in Iran and then search for the executions per month and you will find your answer!

I'm sure you have this information at your fingertips, no?

In any case, I did as you requested, and the first two "riots" were by Arabs (resulting in the banning of Al-Jazeera) and Kurds.

I still haven't found any riots by native Iranians, unless you want to include the student riots of two years ago!

29 posted on 04/21/2006 8:55:54 AM PDT by sinkspur (Things are about to happen that will answer all your questions and solve all your problems.)
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To: sinkspur

There are many gatherings, roits, demonstarations....very frequently. Again its all there.

The incident you mention is realy old and you need to get updated.

Kurds, Azari,Baluchi.Fars,lor are ALL Iranians and they show thei hatred for the regime in many ways. the MSM like to make them look like seperatist but that is not the case.


30 posted on 04/21/2006 9:02:03 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
While I was waiting for you to educate me on how the majority of Iranians want a civilized country vs a Jew hating country, I found your previous posts.

You rudely insult those who want evidence of the moderation you claim.

You insist that if the US were to invade, Iranians would protect their leaders, and their soil, and we would become an enemy.

Now why would a population who is supposedly moderate and want a secular gov, freedom, and wants to live in peace with their neighbors, who have been asking for money and support for a revolution from the US, suddenly become our enemy?

Iran's leaders can threaten Israel and the US with nuclear war, regularly, with impunity, and it's people don't think THAT is a danger to their soil?

Where is the outrage?
31 posted on 04/21/2006 9:12:41 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
The LAST mistake?
I don't think there was a first mistake. These things take time. It will take patience and a concerted effort to undo 1400 years of Muslim aggression. They must be defeated country by country, town by town, mile by mile, foot by foot,inch by inch. Until there are no more.
We must declare islam as not being a religion, remove all tax exempt status of mosques with in our country. Declare them delinquent on all taxes retroactive to the day they were built. Any gathering of muslims should be treated as conspiracy to commit mass murder and they should be deported after the guilty finding.
It will be a long and tedious project but well worth the effort.
32 posted on 04/21/2006 9:35:53 AM PDT by SteveSpeaking
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To: sinkspur

FYI
http://www.iranpressnews.com/english/source/012309.html
and for those who did not trust DBKnews

another report of underground sites!
http://www.marzeporgohar.org/index.php?action=news&n_id=29860&l=1


33 posted on 04/21/2006 2:30:58 PM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: OB1kNOb

The only thing wrong with the Debkafiles is that they are always wrong. They always have some "top secret intelligence" that no one else in the world has and it never turns out to be true.


34 posted on 04/24/2006 4:24:09 AM PDT by caver (Yes, I did crawl out of a hole in the ground.)
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