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The Last Mistake?
Marze Por Gohar ^ | Mani Aryamand

Posted on 04/21/2006 7:11:16 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports

The Last Mistake?

Despite all the warnings and all the facts about the regime in Tehran funding and supporting terrorism, the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq - their first mistake. Going against the international community the bush administration decided to eliminate the threat in Iraq, ignoring the facts that the real threat is next door in Tehran. While enjoying the resources of a rich country, the regime in Tehran has illustrated out in polished detail how the undeclared war in Iraq should bring the US on their knees. Judging by the latest developments and the administration's green light to Khalilzad, the U.S. ambassador to Iraq, the regime in Tehran seems to have done a good job.

The Islamic regime in Tehran seems to be perpetually a few moves ahead of the international community. International community was in total denial, believing that the regime could be persuaded to stop their nuclear activities by carrots and sticks unaware that the regime has both the carrot and the stick. Controlling the various terrorist organizations and Hamas,while providing the lucrative deals to the Russians and the Chinese, the regime possesses both the carrot and the stick.

Playing the Russians and the Chinese against the E.U. and U.S., the Islamic Republic has clearly demonstrated that some are incapable and some are unwilling to confront the regime. To make this even more obvious, the U.N. nuclear agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei has pushed the idea of a nuclear Islamic republic.

Not that the regime in Tehran needed the agreement of the nuclear agency to pursue its nuclear activities. The day before ElBaradei was due in Tehran, Ahmadinejad officially announced that the regime has completed the uranium enrichment cycle.

The DEBKAfile reported on April 14th, 2006, that the Islamic regime is constructing a secret, large-scale enrichment plant at Neyshabour. According to the exclusive report, there will be 155,000 centrifuges, enough to enrich uranium for 3-5 nuclear bombs a year, which will be ready to go in three years.

The IAEA reported in 2003 that Iran had hidden a uranium enrichment program for 18 years. The report above about the larger mirror sites which came out only days ago indicated the low level of intelligence the west possesses on the Islamic regime's activities.

Given the fact that the Israeli and U.S. interests are in clear and present danger, there is very little doubt that the Bush administration will resort to military air strikes and ground military activities are unlikely. Various reports indicate that the Bush administration is hoping that an uprising by the Iranian people will overthrow the regime while military air strikes are taking place. Given the fact that the Islamic regime has been steps ahead at all times, the regime is well aware of this move and will simply smother any uprising. While the leaders are in their secure hideouts, regime militias will be on highest alert to repress any mass movement by any means necessary.

Once the attacks are over, and the identified sites have served their purposes as bombing baits, the regime will gain the full support Russia and China and probably the United Nations while playing the victim card. Simultaneously, as "waiting Bush out" strategy, the real nuclear activities which are only partly known to us will continue underground, gearing up for the retaliation which will be billed as self-defense.

Yesterday, Ahmadinejad called Israel "a rotten, dried tree" that would be annihilated by "one storm", inferring to a nuclear Armageddon, while Ahmad Jannati, a senior cleric, said in a Friday prayer sermon that the United States was a "decaying power". "We are sure that U.S. will return to saner policies" said Manouchehr Mottaki recently referring to the "waiting Bush out" strategy.

All of the sudden Islamic Republic's statement makes much more sense.

Obviously, the second and probably the last mistake U.S. may make as a super power is to let the regime in Tehran remain in power at the end of the day.

Mani Aryamand Party Secretary Marze Por Gohar Party Iranians For Secular Republic www.marzeporgohar.org


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: blog; iran; marzeporgohar; us
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1 posted on 04/21/2006 7:11:17 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports

Anything that quotes Debkafiles is suspect.


2 posted on 04/21/2006 7:13:39 AM PDT by caver (Yes, I did crawl out of a hole in the ground.)
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports

beeep, this has been a recording.

Yes, yes, Bush made a mistake invading Iraq INSTEAD of Iran. Yes, that is it. Of course, if Bush had invaded Iran instead of Iraq, the left and the MSM would have been 100% for that. /sarcasm


3 posted on 04/21/2006 7:13:52 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports

>>Despite all the warnings and all the facts about the regime in Tehran funding and supporting terrorism, the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq - their first mistake. Going against the international community the bush administration decided to eliminate the threat in Iraq, ignoring the facts that the real threat is next door in Tehran.<<

The author doesn't think we would have had to go against the international community to deal with Iran?

We still will.

That said, the case against Iran is much better than Iraq.


4 posted on 04/21/2006 7:19:02 AM PDT by gondramB (You can always tell the pioneers by the arrows in their backs - Country music saying)
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports

Where was all this "Iran! No Nukes!!" outrage in the 90s when maniacal Pakistan detonated their first test nuke?

Let's see:

Pakistan:

1. HATES Israel (like Iran)
2. HATES America (like Iran. Once Musharraf leaves power, Islamic theocracy will re-assume power)
3. HAS Nukes (unlike Iran, which has yet to actually detonate one)
4. Harbors terrorists (duh..also like Iran)

Curious.


5 posted on 04/21/2006 7:23:34 AM PDT by Blzbba (Beauty is just a light switch away...)
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
Iraq was firing missiles at our planes, openly violating UN Resolutions, and violating our truce agreement from 10 years before.

We took action, and got nothing but grief for it from the media and much of the international community. Such a "pre-emptive" action was SHOCKING!!

Attacking Iran? Yeah, that would have gone over much better [/sarcasm]

6 posted on 04/21/2006 7:26:06 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Never question Bruce Dickinson!)
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To: ClearCase_guy

There is nothing mention in the article about the attacking Iran, you can get rid of a problem in many ways. But you go ahead and be sarcastic!


7 posted on 04/21/2006 7:29:31 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
To make this even more obvious, the U.N. nuclear agency chief Mohamed ElBaradei has pushed the idea of a nuclear Islamic republic.

When a guys first name is Mohamed I just don't feel comfortable with him guarding the Islamic nuclear hen house in Iran.- tom

8 posted on 04/21/2006 7:30:18 AM PDT by Capt. Tom (Don't confuse the Bushies with the dumb Republicans - Capt. Tom)
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To: FlipWilson

We should have invaded Massachusetts and taken out the two senators from that state.


9 posted on 04/21/2006 7:32:31 AM PDT by sine_nomine (I voted for George Milhouse Bush.)
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
LOL, the trash-talking cultist of Iran seems to be supported by his people.

They want the bomb, and don't mind his death-threats to Jews, in fact Iranians seem to be quite content, unlike Iraqis under Saddam and Sons.

I see no reason for our guys to risk lives for a people who believe Israel should be wiped off the map, if war comes, it will not be a war of liberation for the Iranian people.
10 posted on 04/21/2006 7:43:12 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports

"Going against the international community"

Really?


11 posted on 04/21/2006 7:55:09 AM PDT by nuconvert ([there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: roses of sharon

"I see no reason for our guys to risk lives for a people who believe Israel should be wiped off the map,"

That is NOT the general consensus of the Iranian people. That is the gov't's sentiment.


12 posted on 04/21/2006 7:56:45 AM PDT by nuconvert ([there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: nuconvert
Really? They are a young, educated, and well-off compared to Iraqis.

They have coalition soldiers surrounding their country, to help them if needed.

And still I see no resistance to their leaders, as a matter of fact, I see nationalism, they like the trash-talking threats to the US and Israel.

What do you see?
13 posted on 04/21/2006 8:04:09 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports
the Bush administration decided to invade Iraq - their first mistake.

Not a mistake -- a strategic gem. Iraq needed to be taken care of in any case, and we did it at preposterously low cost. Now we've got a huge base of operations right next to Iran (and Syria), just when they need to be taken care of, too.

14 posted on 04/21/2006 8:07:46 AM PDT by r9etb
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To: roses of sharon

You level of knowledge is a digrace to this board!
you are on my ignore list from now on!


15 posted on 04/21/2006 8:12:53 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: r9etb

well, I guess it remains to be seen!

regards


16 posted on 04/21/2006 8:13:22 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: nuconvert

Thank you, To be able to tell the difference between the Islamic republic and iranian people is basic ABC needed to paticipate in such discussions.!


17 posted on 04/21/2006 8:14:42 AM PDT by Marze Por Gohar Reports
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To: roses of sharon

You are seeing only what the regime and the msm is showing you.
If you read other sources, you will see a country which has a population where 70% is under the age of 30 and the unemployment rate is about 20%. Well off? Quite the opposite. You are missing the pictures of drug addicts, people eating trash and women prostituting themselves to feed their families. There are thousands of people working at companies that haven't paid them in months and months, but they continue to go to their job everyday, hoping that one day they will get a paycheck, because they can't find work anyplace else.

Yes, there are certainly some "haves", but they are vastly outnumbered by the "have-nots".


18 posted on 04/21/2006 8:16:41 AM PDT by nuconvert ([there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: roses of sharon

"LOL, the trash-talking cultist of Iran seems to be supported by his people. They want the bomb, and don't mind his death-threats to Jews, in fact Iranians seem to be quite content, unlike Iraqis under Saddam and Sons."

You are believing the msm and the regime propaganda.
Yes, many are proud of the nuclear energy aspect, but the people don't give a darn about the bomb. In fact, what they see is that the gov't is pouring money into a project that is getting them nothing but negative response from the rest of the word.

They want the regime to put money into their pockets and food in their mouths.
And they don't want the rest of the world hating them.


19 posted on 04/21/2006 8:23:49 AM PDT by nuconvert ([there's a lot of bad people in the pistachio business])
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To: Marze Por Gohar Reports

Expand my level of knowledge, tell me what Iranians are doing, en mass, to get rid of their leadership?

How many decades have they had to plan?

Where is that plan? What is that plan?

Where are the masses of people you speak of?





20 posted on 04/21/2006 8:28:12 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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