Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: theDentist; BlackRazor
Few of these polls matter until 2008.

While I generally share your skepticism of polls so far out, I don't in this case. We already know that jockeying for the Presidency begins a long way out from 2008. The whispers among Dems have already started that "she can't win" because of her high negatives. We saw similar things with Janet Reno and Howard Dean, albeit both during shorter time spans. Will it be enough to torpedo her? I don't know. But I am by no means convinced Ms. Clinton will even be able to win her party's primary, much less get 270 electoral votes.

7 posted on 04/20/2006 5:15:00 AM PDT by Coop (Proud founding member of GCA - Gruntled Conservatives of America)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies ]


To: Coop

I do wish I had the same belief. IMO, the only way she'll not make the Dem Canidacy is if Bill were to pass on long before. He still had quite a few strings to pull on her behalf, and a lot of his loyal people would fall away were he no longer there.


8 posted on 04/20/2006 5:20:35 AM PDT by theDentist (Qwerty ergo typo : I type, therefore I misspelll.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies ]

To: Coop
The whispers among Dems have already started that "she can't win" because of her high negatives.

I think Hillary as the Dem nominee is the Republicans' best chance to win in 2008. I'm not saying it would be easy - it won't be. But I believe she is beatable, even if the GOP is in a weakened state. If the Democrats suddenly get smart and nominate someone like a Mark Warner or Tom Vilsack or Evan Bayh or Bill Richardson (someone who can credibly act the part of a moderate), then I think the GOP would be facing a really uphill climb.

I think it is likely that Hillary will win the nomination. She will have such a huge edge in early fundraising, that by the time the rest of the field is winnowed down to one clear anti-Hillary alternative, she'll still have the New York and Illinois and California primaries ahead of her, where she'll clean up. She'll also have the edge with the superdelegates. Unless she falters early on, or unless another Democrat catches fire and emerges as the alternative before the early primaries are over, I expect her to win.

13 posted on 04/20/2006 5:43:05 AM PDT by BlackRazor
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies ]

To: Coop
We already know that jockeying for the Presidency begins a long way out from 2008.

The 2008 presidential campaign starts the day after the 2006 midterms. That's still a long way off in politcal time, but these negative numbers for Hillary have to be of concern to her.

20 posted on 04/20/2006 6:07:57 AM PDT by Rummyfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies ]

To: Coop
This topic of discussion reminds me of a very astute comment Rush Limbaugh made in the aftermath of the 2000 presidential election. He said something along the lines of this: "Al Gore lost primarily because 'moderate' American voters who aren't passionate about politics simply decided that they didn't want him in their living rooms for the next four years."

This -- not issues -- is exactly the kind of sentiment that drives the results of presidential elections.

27 posted on 04/20/2006 6:40:01 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies ]

To: Coop
Who can stop her from being the Democratic nominee? The other names mentioned are either has-beens or never-weres.

If her approval numbers remain low, she can still win by getting a Republican to play the role Perot played in 1992. Or the Republicans may cut themselves up in the primaries and/or wind up with a lackluster candidate.

It's too soon to dismiss Hillary's chances. Of course, if someone else is the Democratic nominee, that person is likely to be just as bad.

34 posted on 04/20/2006 7:56:23 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson