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Intresting take. Thanks for your thoughtful input.
A good analysis. I have always said that within the Russian government there are unrenerate Marxists and nationalists who believe the glory days of Russian occurred under Stalin. They long to return to those days. To them the United States is enemy numero uno. This makes Russia's cozying up to Iran explicable. Also, they may have gotten some back channel promises from Iran that they would no longer support the Chechens. In fact, I would not be surprised that the Iranians dropped a dime on Chechen agents and operations in return for Russian assistance in building a great big firecracker.
"People familiar with me know that I believe the Russians covertly control many leftist organizations throughout the world. I have partially detailed my thinking on this in previous posts and will not reiterate much background here."
I'd agree, insofar as leftist organizations are anti-US organizations, so they can generally be counted on to follow the Russians. The so-called Institute for Global Education was a Soviet front, and it fell apart when the USSR did. As Russia vanishes from history (low birth rates, emigration), it can still try to drag us into its grave.
But the main reason for Russian arms sales (Iran, Venezuela, Syria) is cash. Back when the USSR fell apart, the US should have actively recruited Soviet scientists and arms technologists, a la post-WWII "Paperclip". Alas, didn't happen.
The Russians have been dismantling Chechnya, as well as its own post-Soviet capitalists, in order to impose state control over hydrocarbon supplies, a major export which will grow in importance for some years. Shed of its troublesome, landlocked, predominantly Moslem SSRs in Central Asia, Putin's renewed Soviet Union can concentrate on solvable problems, such as Chechnya.
The Chinese are not allies of Russia. They are enemies, and have been since 1960 at least. From time to time the Chinese and Russians pursue a common interest at the expense of the US, but China needs Russian oil and gas to support development and growth. North Korea is a political convenience only for the Chinese -- to control it, the Chinese would literally have to invade and occupy it.
Then of course, came the Pro-illegal Immigration Rallies. These have been a massive success. Oddly, these rallies have been set up by the same exact groups that always set up all antiwar rallies, the group of organizations we conservatives generally refer to as "the Communists"... The massive and massively successful demonstrations in favor of the illegal immigrants were designed to distract the country from the Iraq war at this time.I like the deep suspicion you have for the leftists, but I don't see this as something cooked up by the Russians; as you note, the Dhimmicrats don't have much to offer, and trying to co-opt a large and growing voting bloc -- one that is mostly socially conservative -- makes a lot of sense for the 2006 campaign. I for one am grateful that the 2006 midterm elections haven't monopolized the news, but then, I'm just paranoid enough to think that the partisan media shills are avoiding coverage of the election by concentrating on DeLay, the Iraq liberation, Iranian nukes, Plame/CIA, etc, in order to depress turnout by conservative voters.
We would also be happy to see links of reference if availible.
One thing that will crush all these bastards without shedding one drop of blood is $30 OIL!
Addendum to 2006 Passover analysis.
I have been thinking about the incident the Russians would need to stage in the fall of 2008 to tip the US elections in Hillary's direction.
While widespread violence and a breakdown of civil order in Iraq would be helpful to Hillary, what is needed in addition is an incident that kills a significant number of American troops. Believe me, I would not be posting this if I thought there was any chance at all the Russians had not thought of this already.
Because US casualties in Iraq are extremely low and the efficiency of our military forces is extremely high, the bar has been set pretty low for the definition of a significant number of American military fatalities. I believe 10 to 15 fatalities on the right day would be sufficient to tip the election in Hillary's favor --- set against the background of widespread civil disorder and an apparent failure of our policy in Iraq.
Been thinking about how the Russians would go about achieving this, the obvious answer is to threaten a target the Americans cannot ignore. Ideally, they would like to target Americans, such as in the Green zone, but this is not practical.
The answer is to target either the Iraqi Prime Minister or Sistanni. Both will have security based on Iraqi forces. I believe the Russians (or the Iranians, who I believe in this instance would share) have probably achieved some level of infiltration into all Iraqi forces--- hence, the key defensive force will be at least partially compromised at the moment of truth.
Since the Iranians are now well known to be smuggling military ordnance into Iraq at a rapid rate, and the Russians are known to be supplying Iraq with weaponry of various sorts, we can expect a new type of Russian weaponry to appear in this crucial attack.
Of course, it would be inappropriate for a Soviet helicopter (flown by Soviet volunteers) to appear on the scene. The Cold War is over and the Russians are now our friends, and allies in the war against terror, so such behavior would not be permissible. Nonetheless, considerable lethality can be obtained via machine guns, mortars, and shoulder-fired missiles, any of which it seems could be transported via an ordinary car. I suspect panel trucks driving around in Iraq would draw attention, though I don't really know the details on that.
I present addendum this with apologies to those whose sensibilities it will offend, but it seems to me that posting this might conceivably have some benefit for us.
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Suggest interfacing China into the picture.. Those sisters, I think, are using the Muslims as a lever.. quite well too.. Islam is mired in the 7th century but the girls are mired in the 20th.. So much so that the U.S. is proposeing a democracy for Iraq and NOT a republic.. when Iraq needs a republic(with at least three states) NOT a democracy..
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Democracy is the road to socialism. -Karl Marx
Democracy is indispensable to socialism. The goal of socialism is communism. -V.I. Lenin
The meaning of peace is the absence of opposition to socialism.- Karl Marx
bttt
I totally agree with the corrected statement, however, I believe they have made great inroads into the "right" as well. It was all part of the master plan.
Congressional Record--Appendix, pp. A34-A35
January 10, 1963
Current Communist Goals
15. Capture one or both of the political parties in the United States.
If a Democrat does not win in '08, things will start to go really haywire in 2009.
IMHO, the Iranians/Ruskies would love to sucker us into Iran...I beleive a large nulear annihilation of our conventional forces would ensue. In October of 2008 no american leader will have the cajones then to pull the retaliatory nuclear response.
ping
I have referenced you in this analysis of mine, but unfortunately misspelled your name by capitalizing the H. Anyhow, I wanted you to know I referenced you.
Unless of course the timetable is a bit ahead of your estimate and Iran has the Nukes they need. The goal may be to get the US to mass its troops for an Iranian nuclear first strike. Who then could guard the barn?
There is a new version of the Black Panthers, can't recall the exact name. they have formed to get justice over this Duke thing, with the team, it's not rugby but, you know, the fake rape.
That got some audio on this guy, and it is a simple provocation. In so many words, by his tone and the implications in between the words---he is threatening violence toward every white person who hears him if they do not deliver a conviction on this rape case---a case that is false on the face of it.
Excuse me, but the Black Panthers were communist in the 1960s and their communist now. This guy is delivering the same message that the Hispanic guys are delivering and the same message that bin Laden is delivering.
There is no question that the intended effect is psychological---and that it is cumulative---as well is designed to create confusion and frustration.
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This acts in concert with Chinese expansion of energy consumption and agressive attempts to control new resources in the petroleum industry via economic means, Chavez' saber rattling and edicts regarding Venezuelan oil, and the possibility that they can maintain this situation through 2008.
The ability to relax demand lies with the Chinese, who are part of the new demand equation, the ability to reduce or even crash energy prices lies there, too, by withdrawing significant portions of that demand. The Russians, if they get on the stick, have the resources to glut supplies, were they effectively in production.
Timing is key in everything, but doing so after some posturing action by a Democrat would make it appear that the Democrat's policy had some magical effect when it was meaningless, and establish in political energy groupthink that there was some (possibly even harmful) action which could be taken to bring energy prices down.
We are in what has become known as 'total warfare', often asymetric, non-military, and economic, in which our enemies will weaken us by any means available.
The Islamists, while seeking their own agenda, are merely a tool of the agenda of that developing Socialist World Order.