Posted on 04/17/2006 9:54:44 AM PDT by dangus
Many Republicans doing better as Bush plummets in Rasmussen poll.
Arnold Schwartzenegger has now opened up a huge (13%)lead over his most likely opponent, Democrat Phil Angelides, 49-36. He also has an 8-point lead over Democrat Steve Westley.
In Montana, Republican Senator Conrad Burns now leads his most likely opponent, John Tester, by three points, 47-44.
While both of these Republicans are still endangered, scoring less than 50%, they both show remarkable improvement. Meanwhile, President Bush's approval ratings have now fallen to a new all-time low. More Americans now strongly disapprove of President Bush (44%) than approve of him at all.
Paradoxically, Republicans are doing fairly well in individual Senate races. Rick Santorum remains the only truly trailing incumbent. His most recent poll showed him down 9 percent, but even that was a significant improvement. An April 13 poll showed Mike McGavik is now pulling Democrat Senator Maria Catwell below 50%. Missouri incumbent Republican James Talent is threatened, but has stopped the bleeding while still in a tie.
Frankly, folks, it looks like the Republicans are starting to move away from President Bush.
Well, luckily Bush isn't running in 2006. (Though if he were there'd be a Dem candidate against him and his marks would still be higher than his opposition's.)
Bush will not be re-elected
Looks like the Republicans may even pick up a seat or two in the Senate, after all. Frankly, the '06 Democratic field is fairly weak; we should gain several seats. But any dreams of a Democrat takeover have to be fading. The general public is angry at Republicans, in spite of the strong economy, but individual Republicans are doing quite well.
In the governor's races, I'd expect the GOP to lose New York, and maybe Ohio, Maryland and/or Massacusetts. Florida, Colorado, Arkansas and California could be struggles, too.
Meanwhile, they could pick up several states, including Illinois, Michigan, Maine, Oregon, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Iowa.
It's so wide open right now because so many Governors are weak on paper, but their opposing parties aren't necessarily well-liked either. The public disgust with elected politicians right now is remarkable.
"President Bush's approval ratings have now fallen to a new all-time low. More Americans now strongly disapprove of President Bush (44%) than approve of him at all."
Just because it's said with conviction doesn't mean Jack Sh_t!
D'oh! If only you'd told me that before my trip to Atlantic City!
I think the Dems will do well re: governorships. Not so well with the House and Senate.
The Philly Dem fraud machine and Santorum (Arlen Specter's b*tt boy) will drag down Swann's gubernatorial chances.
Well, as others have already said, he isn't running. What I find interesting is that the rest of the GOP is running well ahead of him; that's why I take note of his abysmal ratings. Plus, I hope that means that the GOP will learn there's no victory in Bush's domestic surrenders.
FYI:
The polling data for Arnold, et al, focused on 'likely voters' and was taken earlier in the month (4/5/06). [Positive: Rasumussen surveyed 'likely voters'; Negative: Rasmussen used a ONE-DAY flash poll -- worthless!]
The data on President Bush focused on 'adults' and was taken over the Easter Holiday (Friday, Saturday and Sunday) -- surprise, surprise, the polling data for these 3 days showed a 7 point decline from data collected on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. Again, polling 'adults only' over a HOLIDAY WEEKEND (particularly a CHRISTIAN holiday involving the President's primary supporters) produces data that's beyond worthless!
B-O-G-U-S!!
"Just because it's said with conviction doesn't mean Jack Sh_t!"
LOL!!
[Please read my post at #11]
BJ Clinton's approval rating was 46% on Election Day 1994. Just by comparison.
PETROLEUM ($/bbl)
PRICE* CHANGE % CHANGE TIME
Nymex Crude Future 69.95 .63 .91 12:52
IPE Crude Future 71.06 .49 .69 13:13
Dated Brent Spot 70.22 -.01 -.01 04/14
WTI Cushing Spot 69.95 .63 . 91 12:13
I disapprove of his handling of Iraq because I think we should carve it up and give control of the northern territories to the Kurds (a lot more pro US than the Sunnis and the Shiites) and the southern oil rich regions should go to the Kuwaitis. Sadr and all of the refugees should go to hell or to Iran. (BTW, I would have given free reign to the Kurds to pacify the region however they would like).
If there was to be any infrastructure building / improvements, it should have been relegated to the areas where we receive support. Screw the rest of 'em. Let's seem 'em explode an IED remotely in an area where cell phones don't work and where there's no electricity to charge the phone in the first place.
I also strongly disapprove of Bush's stance on illegal immigration and f*&%ing guest workers. Republicans are missing a huge opportunity on this one and Bush is on the wrong side of this issue.
They are stupid if they do.
I think Americans have finally reached POLL-Fatigue. It's every freakin day, another freakin poll and I'm so sick of them. And if I'M sick of them, trust me, John Q. Public could give a flying fig.
The polling Companies have lost all credibility and effect.
A few important points, people.
1) The party in power tends to lose a few seats in Congress in off year elections.
2) The Democrats need more than a few seats to take control of Congress.
3) The Democrats have pumped themselves up with visions of taking control of Congress -- which will lead to zero Border Patrolling, Total Amnesty and voting citizenship for illegals Immediately, and of course, impeachment.
4) If the Democrats don't take Congress, they may fracture badly blaming each other. Remember 1998 when Republicans convinced themselves that enough seats would be picked up in the Senate to impeach AND remove Clinton. It didn't happen, it went the other direction, and Newt was more or less forced out soon after.
Find a vulnerable House district whose GOP candidate you like and send that candidate money and your volunteer time. This is how to hurt the Democrats.
Rasmussen asks this stuff day after day and revises the polls to reflect what each day's poll shows. Some days, as you note, the Easter/Passover weekend are not worth bothering about. It's not that he's a crooked poller. He's fairly accurate. It's just that you have to know how to read his stuff.
Interesting considering he is the only President in history to be reelected with a 48% approval rating (according to the MSM) and is only 4% below that.
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