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The cooling world
The Washington Times ^ | 4/3/06 | Mikey_1962

Posted on 04/04/2006 1:33:44 PM PDT by Mikey_1962

There are ominous signs that the Earth's weather patterns have begun to change dramatically and that these changes may portend a drastic decline in food production -- with serious political implications for just about every nation on Earth. The drop in food output could begin quite soon, perhaps only 10 years from now. The regions destined to feel its impact are the great wheat-producing lands of Canada and the U.S.S.R. in the North, along with a number of marginally self-sufficient tropical areas -- parts ofIndia,Pakistan, Bangladesh, Indochina and Indonesia -- where the growing season is dependent upon the rains brought by the monsoon. The evidence in support of these predictions has now begun to accumulate so massively that meteorologists are hard-pressed to keep up with it. In England, farmers have seen their growing season decline by about two weeks since 1950, with a resultant overall loss in grain production estimated at up to 100,000 tons annually. During the same time, the average temperature around the equator has risen by a fraction of a degree -- a fraction that in some areas can mean drought and desolation. Last April, in the most devastating outbreak of tornadoes ever recorded, 148 twisters killed more than 300 people and caused half a billion dollars' worth of damage in 13 U.S. states.

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TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Miscellaneous
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To scientists, these seemingly disparate incidents represent the advance signs of fundamental changes in the world's weather. Meteorologists disagree about the cause and extent of the trend, as well as over its specific impact on local weather conditions. But they are almost unanimous in the view that the trend will reduce agricultural productivity for the rest of the century. If the climatic change is as profound as some of the pessimists fear, the resulting famines could be catastrophic. "A major climatic change would force economic and social adjustments on a worldwide scale," warns a recent report by the National Academy of Sciences, "because the global patterns of food production and population that have evolved are implicitly dependent on the climate of the present century."

A survey completed last year by Dr. Murray Mitchell of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reveals a drop of half a degree in average ground temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere between 1945 and 1968. According to George Kukla of Columbia University, satellite photos indicated a sudden, large increase in Northern Hemisphere snow cover in the winter of 1971-72. And a study released last month by two NOAA scientists notes that the amount of sunshine reaching the ground in the continental U.S. diminished by 1.3% between 1964 and 1972.

To the layman, the relatively small changes in temperature and sunshine can be highly misleading. Reid Bryson of the University of Wisconsin points out that the Earth's average temperature during the great Ice Ages was only about seven degrees lower than during its warmest eras -- and that the present decline has taken the planet about a sixth of the way toward the Ice Age average. Others regard the cooling as a reversion to the "little ice age" conditions that brought bitter winters to much of Europe and northern America between 1600 and 1900 -- years when the Thames used to freeze so solidly that Londoners roasted oxen on the ice and when iceboats sailed the Hudson River almost as far south as New York City. Just what causes the onset of major and minor ice ages remains a mystery. "Our knowledge of the mechanisms of climatic change is at least as fragmentary as our data," concedes the National Academy of Sciences report. "Not only are the basic scientific questions largely unanswered, but in many cases we do not yet know enough to pose the key questions." Meteorologists think that they can forecast the short-term results of the return to the norm of the last century. They begin by noting the slight drop in overall temperature that produces large numbers of pressure centers in the upper atmosphere. These break up the smooth flow of westerly winds over temperate areas. The stagnant air produced in this way causes an increase in extremes of local weather such as droughts, floods, extended dry spells, long freezes, delayed monsoons and even local temperature increases -- all of which have a direct impact on food supplies. "The world's food-producing system," warns Dr. James D. McQuigg of NOAA's Center for Climatic and Environmental Assessment, "is much more sensitive to the weather variable than it was even five years ago." Furthermore, the growth of world population and creation of new national boundaries make it impossible for starving peoples to migrate from their devastated fields, as they did during past famines. Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects. They concede that some of the more spectacular solutions proposed, such as melting the Arctic ice cap by covering it with black soot or diverting arctic rivers, might create problems far greater than those they solve. But the scientists see few signs that government leaders anywhere are even prepared to take the simple measures of stockpiling food or of introducing the variables of climatic uncertainty into economic projections of future food supplies. The longer the planners delay, the more difficult will they find it to cope with climatic change once the results become grim reality.

"The Cooling World": From Newsweek, April 28, 1975. ©1975 Newsweek Inc. All rights reserved. Reprinted by permission.

From the same experts now predicting global warming...

1 posted on 04/04/2006 1:33:45 PM PDT by Mikey_1962
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To: Mikey_1962

Well that's just too bad. Guess wheat futures might be an interesting buy in 10 year then.

2 posted on 04/04/2006 1:37:00 PM PDT by Centurion2000 (Every man must be tempted, sometimes,to hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats.)
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To: Mikey_1962

Yep. I'm just old enough to remember when "global cooling" was the enviro-scare of the day. Just like now, it was attributed to human factors: we were pouring so much crap into the atmosphere, see, it was raising the Earth's albedo and causing it to reflect more sunlight. Clearly government intervention was called for.

Fool me twice, shame on me... but what does it say when somebody gets fooled hundreds of times and comes back for more?

3 posted on 04/04/2006 1:38:19 PM PDT by Politicalities (
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To: Mikey_1962

WE"RE DOOOOOOOOOMED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

4 posted on 04/04/2006 1:40:16 PM PDT by conservativehusker (GO BIG RED!!!!)
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To: Mikey_1962

Read "Fallen Angels" by Larry Niven. It's a riot.

5 posted on 04/04/2006 1:41:33 PM PDT by aomagrat ("Now having seen muslim mercy, I would rather worship cobras.")
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To: conservativehusker

No we are not. Just burn more fossil fuels and we'll be okay.

6 posted on 04/04/2006 1:41:52 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: Mikey_1962


7 posted on 04/04/2006 1:42:50 PM PDT by VOA
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To: Mikey_1962

We're gonna fry!
We're gonna freeze!
So many mutually exclusive crises, so little time left.

8 posted on 04/04/2006 1:50:28 PM PDT by delphirogatio
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To: Mikey_1962

Writer JG Ballard has a number "doom and gloom" stories out there, I think written before wacko environmentalism spang up: The Drowned World, The Wind From Nowhere, etc. They'd make good fodder for the doomsday crowd.

I think it was Issac Asimov who wrote that mankind will deal with, solve and survive whatever the future may throw at us.

9 posted on 04/04/2006 1:52:03 PM PDT by George - the Other (400,000 bodies in Saddam's Mass Graves, and counting ...)
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To: George - the Other
In the 1880's a study was done saying that New York City would be uninhabitable by 1925.


Because the shear numbers of live and dead horses and the waste and disease they spread would make it so.

Humans are dynamic, problems are static.

Innovation and engineering have always and always will solve our collective problems.
10 posted on 04/04/2006 1:55:54 PM PDT by Mikey_1962 (I grew up in a slum, when I got to college it had become a "ghetto".)
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To: Mikey_1962
Doomed. Bush's fault. Minorites, children hardest hit.

Ok, now we've got all those out of the way.

11 posted on 04/04/2006 2:06:23 PM PDT by wbill
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To: Politicalities

The USSR tried spreading soot on the winter snow to melt it and lengthen the wheat growing season.

12 posted on 04/04/2006 2:09:09 PM PDT by RightWhale (Withdraw from the 1967 UN Outer Space Treaty)
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To: wbill
You see, it's perfectly clear. The US produces 25% of the world's greenhouse gases with its evil SUVs and lawn mowers and farting cows.

This traps heat from the sun, melting the polar ice caps, drowning polar bears and making places which have always been scorched deserts...into scorched deserts.

The melting ice, the release of massive amounts of CO2, the uncaring corporate pigs who spurned the Kyoto protocol (peace be upon it) all build up heat.

Which is precisely why we're all about to freeze to death. Save us, Al Gore! Stop the wheels of evil capitalist commerce in their tracks so we can get warm!

13 posted on 04/04/2006 2:15:15 PM PDT by Sender (As water has no constant form, there are in war no constant conditions. Be without form. -Sun Tzu)
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To: Mikey_1962
My pumpkin patch was almost mature last year when the first frost killed the vines. I only managed 2 really big (16 inch) pumpkins and about 10 in the 6 inch range.
14 posted on 04/04/2006 2:15:42 PM PDT by Myrddin
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To: RightWhale

LOL! Probably made the soil too acidic for the crops.

15 posted on 04/04/2006 2:23:11 PM PDT by dhs12345
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To: Myrddin

You need to park your Escalade in the fields with the motor idling, the windows down and the heat and fan on high. You have your own heating source at hand.

Fight Climate Change.

16 posted on 04/04/2006 2:23:39 PM PDT by gathersnomoss
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To: Mikey_1962
Helloooo,, mcfly..... Ice age is coming, happens all the time to this planet, with it....we are not causing this
17 posted on 04/04/2006 2:31:12 PM PDT by Roverman2K
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To: Mikey_1962

It's getting colder. Be worried, be VERY worried.

It's getting warmer. Be worried, be VERY worried.

It's staying the same. Be worried, be VERY worried.

Brought to you by TIME magazine!

18 posted on 04/04/2006 2:35:03 PM PDT by Right Wing Assault ("..this administration is planning a 'Right Wing Assault' on values and ideals.." - John Kerry)
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To: Right Wing Assault

It's almost like half the time we are above average and half the time we are below average... My head hurts to think about it..... Oh, the humanity!


19 posted on 04/04/2006 2:44:11 PM PDT by Dutch Boy
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To: aomagrat
Read "Fallen Angels" by Larry Niven. It's a riot.

One of my all-time favorites! We stop burning fossil fuels and switch to a hydrogen economy, lowering the production of greenhouse gasses, and the long-held-at-bay ice-age roars in like a freight train. Greenpeace becomes the Green Police, technology is banned, sci-fi fans are persecuted...

However, if the reader has not read a lot of science fiction, or has not attended at least ONE convention, he/she will miss most of the really good gags.

You're right though, it's a riot.

20 posted on 04/04/2006 3:28:13 PM PDT by wyattearp (The best weapon to have in a gunfight is a shotgun - preferably from ambush.)
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