I don't know whether DeLay will win the primary or not since I haven't seen any polling data. Campbell certainly isn't going to win outright.
If I had to guess, DeLay wins the primary easily. But it's possible that he might finish first with less than a majority, forcing a runoff.
It's a pity that you're allied with Ronnie Earle in trying to get rid of DeLay.
That's cleary less confident than you were a few days ago.
It's a pity that you're allied with Ronnie Earle in trying to get rid of DeLay.
This seems to be the primary argument in favor of DeLay. We should vote for him precisely *because* he has been indicted. That argument still seems very strange to me.
I also think it is unwise for DeLay supporters to attack Campbell supporters. DeLay will need Campbell supporters in the general election. Suggesting that good Republican primary voters are influenced by Soros or Earle is insulting. Why can't they offer a positive reason to vote for DeLay and basically say Campbell is fine, but DeLay is better? DeLay will clearly underperform in the primary. He and his supporters already have a lot of fence mending to do to bring Republicans home for the general. It will be interesting to see what the DeLay Campaign's strategy will be after weeks of insults.
Campbell 48%; DeLay 38% Link
Weigh this poll as you like. They pushed voters into choosing DeLay or Campbell, ignoring the other candidates, so its predictive power may only be limited to the chances of going to a run-off.
I have since learned that Campbell did not commission the onenetinfo poll as the article suggests. Onenetinfo did the polling on their own accord.