What makes you think Campbell won't be accused of shady activities concocted by the DNC/MSM? All it takes is to receive a donation from a felon or lobbyist who money-laundered it through a credible PAC or organization.
If he wins, Campbell will be like a new prison inmate stepping off the prison bus and getting stares and wolf whistles from the hardened convicts. He simply doesn't know who or what he's dealing with.
I frankly don't care what accusations the DNC/MSM make. I only care about a candidate's behavior.
The local media are preparing us for a DeLay win with 60% of the vote. I sense this race is breaking hard and fast in Campbell's favor. Remember, Campbell polled only 6% in January.
Here is my current thinking:
Outcome: Campbell wins outright
Chances: As close to zero as it can be
Spin: Republicans, unlike Democrats, can clean their own house. Campbell safe in general election.
Outcome: DeLay and Campbell in runoff
Chances: 20%
Spin: Media goes crazy with Campbell's performance. Spin suspended during wild runoff race. Dems, who have been quiet, may monkey with GOP runoff.
Outcome: DeLay wins with 50-60% of vote
Chances: 30%
Spin: Voters in TX22 disapprove of DeLay's character. Lampson has good shot in general. GOP horrified at prospects.
Outcome: DeLay wins with 60-67% of vote
Chances: 30%
Spin: Gray area. Dems preen that GOP in danger. GOP convinced that DeLay can bring voters home in general election.
Outcome: DeLay wins with 67-75% of vote
Chances: 20%
Spin: DeLay generally considered safe for general election even though he'll be lucky to win 50% of vote.
Outcome: DeLay wins with more than 75% of vote
Chances: As close to zero as it can be.
Spin: DeLay safe. Even if DeLay wins 75% of vote, his opponents will have performed 25% better than any time in recent history.