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Polling analysis finds GOP in the lead
http://www.washtimes.com/national/20060227-123359-5955r.htm ^ | 2/27/06 | Donald Lambro

Posted on 02/27/2006 10:08:01 AM PST by mathprof

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To: trubluolyguy
Great, Repubs stand a good chance.....

Now if we could just get some conservatives.... elected.

AMEN!! One can no longer assume it's one and the same thing.

21 posted on 02/27/2006 11:03:38 AM PST by OB1kNOb ("All you get from our media is controversy, crap and confusion.")
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To: RetiredArmy
Then these dead beats can vote from home while watching Opra.

Or, as is more likely, someone will mail-in their ballots for them.

22 posted on 02/27/2006 11:04:30 AM PST by My2Cents ("The essence of American journalism is vulgarity divested of truth." -- Winston Churchill)
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To: mathprof

My theory is that on average Republicans tend to be more civic minded. However, the way that Conservatives stayed home in California thus handing victory to the unions makes me question my own hypothesis.


23 posted on 02/27/2006 11:05:08 AM PST by winner3000
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To: mathprof

You mean the sky isn't falling.


24 posted on 02/27/2006 11:06:54 AM PST by dfwgator
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To: pabianice
1/3 of Dem "voters" never get turn-off the soaps, close the bag of chips, get up off their asses, and actually go to the polls to vote. A poll of "the public" is always useless because of this.

THERE IS A DANGER TO THIS:
the trend towards "2-week voting"...in places like Florida, like in 2004, we now have a week or two where the deadbeats can take their sweet time to come vote...absentee voting used to require someone to take the time to come down and vote, but now there is a huge two week window for the 'rats to get their pathetic voters in busloads to come to the polls.

That huge window ought to be closed.

25 posted on 02/27/2006 11:09:07 AM PST by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: My2Cents
And yet most pollsters still use "registered voters" as their sample.

He who pays the piper calls the tune.Pollsters are not stupid. If a pollster returns results his client does not want to hear, the client will get another pollster.

The only time polls get accurate is at election time. The pollsters dare not give fudged data right before an election, or the election will prove them wrong.

You will often notice that pollsters tell us that the voters changed or made up their minds in the final days or hours before the election. That is not my experience. But Pollsters have to explain how they had it going one way and then have results change a lot in the final days to conform with the acutal votes.

The internal polls of candidates do not lie. They are also rarely made public. But if you watch what candidates do... it will often tell you what is going on.For example it had been a gentlemans agreement for the 140 years prior to 2000 that presidential candidates do not campaign on election day. Al Gore broke that tradidtion and campaigned on election day 2000. Do you know where he campaigned? You guessed it South Florida.

Everyone in the media knew what Gore did on election day 2000 and why he did it. Yet they were quick to give the state to Gore when they knew quite well it was a state trending Bush and very very close.

26 posted on 02/27/2006 11:22:44 AM PST by Common Tator
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To: Common Tator

Good comments. I had forgotten that al-Gore had campaigned in Fl. on election day. Now that you mention it, I recall that Gore was on the phone to radio talk shows in the Pacific northwest right up to the polls closing on the west coast. He darn-near pulled it off. Scary.


27 posted on 02/27/2006 11:30:05 AM PST by My2Cents ("The essence of American journalism is vulgarity divested of truth." -- Winston Churchill)
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To: mathprof
I've never put much stock in the generic polls. As Tip O'Neill said, all politics is local.

OTOH, I'm worried Bush's unpopularity will be a serious drag across the ticket.

28 posted on 02/27/2006 11:32:35 AM PST by colorado tanker (We need more "chicken-bleep Democrats" in the Senate!)
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To: colorado tanker

Bush is, however, not on the ballot.


29 posted on 02/27/2006 11:54:10 AM PST by Palpatine (Every single liberal is now an enemy of the republic!)
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To: mathprof

It just goes to show that Bush's "approval" numbers are bogus.

Not approving of one's effort doesn't mean that one doesn't still love the GOP.. or hate the Democrats.

People will always have a difference of opinion regarding approval.

I may say overall that I approve of Bush but don't agree with him on immigration.

Others may say they disapprove of Bush because of his immigration numbers but if faced between McCain or Bush(let alone Kerry or Bush) they will vote for Bush everytime.


30 posted on 02/27/2006 12:36:33 PM PST by Almondjoy
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To: mathprof

"new independent polling analysis"

It appears the MSM pollsters are getting called out. These analyst have no vested interest in what their research concludes.


31 posted on 02/27/2006 12:36:56 PM PST by Wasanother (Terrorist come in many forms but all are RATS.)
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To: hsmomx3
"Now if we could only get rid of our governor, Janet Napolitano.......................

It doesn't help that the Pubs are not taking her to task in a big way over her absolute hatred of private and charter schools.

In addition the Pubs needed to come out and hang her "tax all services" idea around her neck. Even though the Pubs stopped her, it could be turned into the political liability Hillary's failed government health care idea was in the 94' elections. If there's one thing Arizona is, it's a small business mecca that's rich in service providers.

I wish they'd get on with it.

32 posted on 02/27/2006 12:41:15 PM PST by ALWAYSWELDING
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To: My2Cents

Put the stamp on it and put it in your on mailbox and the postal guy will pick it up for you. Never have to leave the porch to mail it.


33 posted on 02/27/2006 12:51:57 PM PST by RetiredArmy (America is doomed to be socialist. Way too many people with palms pointed up!)
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To: Recovering_Democrat
the trend towards "2-week voting"...in places like Florida, like in 2004, we now have a week or two where the deadbeats can take their sweet time to come vote...

That's what happened in Arizona. Janet Napolitano beat Matt Salmon by 20% points in the weeks leading up to election day. All done by mail in ballot. On election day Matt Salmon mopped the floor with Napolitano and came back to lose by less than 1%.

If it had to be done on election day and absentee ballots had to be sent in on the day of the election, we'd be sitting pretty with a GOP Governor right now. Instead we've got a liberal dem who was buddies with Anita Hill.

34 posted on 02/27/2006 12:53:42 PM PST by ALWAYSWELDING
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To: ALWAYSWELDING

I read that the popular sheriff in Phoenix, though nominally Republican, worked frantically against Salmon. Is that true? If so, why?


35 posted on 02/27/2006 4:04:00 PM PST by Theodore R. (Cowardice is forever!)
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To: Theodore R.
It is true that he worked against him, but not frantically.

Why? Because he's as unpredictable as John McCain. So unpredictable that he's now considering running against Napolitano whom he endorsed????

Sheriff Joe is a very egotistical man. He loves to run against the tide. Don't get me wrong, I love that in him when it comes to his hardcore stance on prisoners, but it comes with a lot of baggage.

I've done work in the prisons and it's no picnic in there. They all hate him. That makes most Arizonan's love him.

36 posted on 02/27/2006 4:14:03 PM PST by ALWAYSWELDING
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To: ALWAYSWELDING

Yea, I have heard that even some dedicated AZ liberals still vote for that sheriff on the theory that he is "controlling crime" so that they can safely practice their liberalism.


37 posted on 02/27/2006 4:35:07 PM PST by Theodore R. (Cowardice is forever!)
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To: Theodore R.

Yep


38 posted on 02/27/2006 5:28:29 PM PST by ALWAYSWELDING
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To: hsmomx3

I did get rid of her. I moved!!


39 posted on 02/27/2006 10:38:55 PM PST by GeorgeW23225 ("Grow your own dope. Plant a liberal.")
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