Posted on 02/10/2006 4:00:21 PM PST by yoe
February 10, 2006, Greencastle, Ind. - "Hillary has become sui generis, now as much a celebrity as a politician," writes Ken Bode of Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. Writing in today's Indianapolis Star, DePauw's Eugene S. Pulliam Distinguished Visiting Professor of Journalism states, "in the opinion of those who set the opening odds for the 2008 Democratic nomination, she is definitely the frontrunner. Sen. Clinton is sure to win easy re-election in November. She is the best-heeled contender, with a savvy, loyal staff and Bill as resident braintruster. That's not a bad start. But the other part of the opening line on Hillary is this: If the Democrats nominate her, she is a certain loser. You hear this even from those who like Hillary, or want to."
Bode, former senior political analyst for CNN, contines, "The 'can't win' argument has footing because the 2008 election will not be decided on personality or competence, or experience. It will be decided on geography. The common sense derived from that fact works against Hillary. First, the Democrats must give up their post-Bill Clinton fantasy of winning in the South... The critical battleground for 2008 is the eight states of the Midwest. Some big states, some swing states. In 2004, four went for Bush, four for Kerry. Five were squeakers with margins of 1 to 3 percent. This is where the 2008 race will be decided and there is no reason to believe that nominating Hillary will add a single state to the Democratic column."
The professor believes other Democrats -- namely Russ Feingold of Wisconsin, Tom Vilsack of Iowa and Evan Bayh of Indiana [this spring's commencement speaker at DePauw] -- would run stronger in those key states.
Bode also believes that Sen. Clinton has "been so busy grabbing opportunities to establish herself as a centrist that she's losing the support of important voices who might have been expected to argue that she deserves a chance... Writing on the current Republican spin characterizing Hillary as an angry harpy, Maureen Dowd says: 'Hillary's problem is not that she's angry. It's that she's not angry enough. From Iraq to Katrina and the assault on the Constitution, from Schiavo to Alito and NSA snooping, Hillary has failed to take the lead in voicing her party's outrage... The Republicans can't marginalize Hillary. She has already marginalized herself.'"
In conclusion, Bode writes, "If you're tempted to bet that Hillary will be the Democratic nominee, let alone the next president, you should leave your money in your other pants."
If John McCain makes it through the GOP primaries, it really won't matter who the Democrats nominate.
What do you mean? That McCain will win no matter what, or lose no matter what?
...because none of them would possibly be worse than Judas McCain.
If McCain is the GOP nominee - any Democrat could win..
McCain at the top of the GOP ticket, will force lots of Republicans/Conservatives/Veterans to stay home.
Semper Fi
McCain is not going any where.
You got that one right!
That would be a problem for Mz Hitlery herself, since she owns only one pair!
brunhillary was, is, and will always be, A LOSER.
I will continue to pray against her potential presidency.
I think he'll run, health allowing. After the McCain/Feingold mess he'll have a hard time getting through the primary, however.
..since he's former does it count? Guess he lost his position with CNN after he picked Dean
I don't know how that could be. Dems like him; GOPers don't. We don't have many states with open primaries, do we?
The wicked witch of New York
"I am for our military and against their mission ... I am pro anti-abortion and for women chosing to kill their unborn babies ... I am for stopping illegal immigration and for amnesty to anyone who illegally crosses our borders ... "
Your Wrong. Nothing could possibly be worse than Hillary as President. I am no fan of McCain, but I would take him any day over Hillary.
"If you're tempted to bet that Hillary will be the Democratic nominee, let alone the next president, you should leave your money in your other pants."
That line just begged for a witty comment. I couldn't come up with one fast enough. I thought maybe: "there is only one pair of pants in the Clinton family, the other member carries a change purse in the event of a Big Mac Attack."
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