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Let the games begin!
1 posted on 01/23/2006 8:03:30 PM PST by Aussie Dasher
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To: Aussie Dasher

Missouri is a solid Republican state. Talent will win easily.


2 posted on 01/23/2006 8:06:21 PM PST by TheRealDBear
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To: Aussie Dasher


I'm donating to Michael Steele.


3 posted on 01/23/2006 8:06:49 PM PST by onyx
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To: Aussie Dasher

Claire McCaskill is the current state Auditor. The article made an error.


4 posted on 01/23/2006 8:07:14 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Sam Alito Deserves To Be Confirmed)
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To: Aussie Dasher

Van Hilleary - what an unfortunate name.


5 posted on 01/23/2006 8:08:31 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken
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To: Aussie Dasher

Bill Nelson sucks. I'd vote for a Communist over that thief (the man stole from American taxpayers a free ride on the space shuttle)--at least you know the Communist is honest about their theft. And Katherine Harris is a great American.


6 posted on 01/23/2006 8:09:30 PM PST by LibertarianInExile (Freedom isn't free--no, there's a hefty f'in fee--and if ya don't throw in your buck-o-5, who will?)
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To: Aussie Dasher

They forgot to mention Jerry Zandstra in Michigan. Don't count him out.


11 posted on 01/23/2006 8:23:31 PM PST by Dan from Michigan ("What does a guy have to do to get fired around here?" - Darryl Rogers, former Lions Coach)
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To: Aussie Dasher

No mention of New Jersey, where Kean has a significant lead over Menendez. If the GOP takes NJ, MD, and MN, as is very possible, the Republicans can lose PA and MT and still gain a seat. Amazing.


12 posted on 01/23/2006 8:26:14 PM PST by denydenydeny ("As a Muslim of course I am a terrorist"--Sheikh Omar Brooks, quoted in the London Times 8/7/05)
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To: Aussie Dasher
Here is my take on these races:

1. Pennsylvania - Best shot with Rick Santorum
Most Likely Outcome: Casey (D) 53% Santorum (R) 45% Other 2%
Loss of Seat

2. Maryland - Best shot with Michael Steele
Most Likely Outcome: Cardin (D) 51% Steele (R) 48% Other 1%
Dimwit Hold

3. Minnesota - Best shot with Mark Kennedy
Most Likely Outcome: Kennedy (R) 51% Klobuchar (D) 47% Other 2%
Republican Pickup

4. Montana - Best Shot with Denny Rehberg
Most Likely Outcome: Burns (R) 51% Morrison (D) 49%
Republican Hold

5. Missouri - Best Shot with Jim Talent
Most Likely Outcome: Talent (R) 54% McCaskill (D) 45% Other 1%
Republican Hold

6. Arizona - Best Shot with Jon Kyl
Most Likely Outcome: Kyl (R) 56% Pederson (D) 44%
Republican Hold

7. Florida - Best Shot with Jeb Bush (not gonna happen I know)
Most Likely Outcome: Nelson (D) 55% Harris (R) 44% Other 1%
Dimwit Hold

8. Tennessee - Best Shot with Van Hilleary
Most Likely Outcome: Van Hilleary (R) 52% Ford (D) 48%
Republican Hold

9. Michican - Best Shot with Keith Butler
Most Likely Outcome: Stabenow (D) 58% Bouchard (R) 42%
Dimwit Hold

10. Rhode Island - Best Shot with Lincoln Chafee (to hold seat, but Stephen Laffey is the best candidate)
Most Likely Outcome: Chafee (RINO) 55% Whitehouse (D) 45%
RINO Hold

Overall No Change.
15 posted on 01/23/2006 8:38:43 PM PST by MassachusettsGOP (Massachusetts Republican....A rare breed indeed)
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To: All
Poll: Kyl Leads Big over Pederson in U.S. Senate Race

Not surprising.

16 posted on 01/23/2006 8:39:12 PM PST by AZ_Cowboy ("There they go again...")
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To: Aussie Dasher

I'll tell you this, Steele will win Maryland. Thank God Maryland can finally do something for the GOP nationally. I've met him, he's a great guy.


17 posted on 01/23/2006 8:40:04 PM PST by Vision ("You guys are literally the cream of the crop of political analysis")
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To: Aussie Dasher

Stabenow only won in 2000 after precincts in East Lansing stopped checking IDs and Detroit stayed open after hours. That one went down to the wire, and of course she won. It's almost worth moving back to Michigan just to vote her out of office -- it's not like Texas candidates need my help...


19 posted on 01/23/2006 8:53:03 PM PST by MikeD (We live in a world where babies are like velveteen rabbits that only become real if they are loved.)
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To: Aussie Dasher

With all the libs in Seattle, it may not change, but I think there's a slight chance Maria-Can't-Do-Well could lose (i they don't double-count, and don't count illegals, deceased, etc., etc. votes in King County).

Mike McGavick just kicked of his run last week. He's the former President of Safeco Ins. It may also help that Chris Vance, the state Pubbie chairman stepped down (nice enough guy, but should have done that a couple of years ago)

McGavick calls for "civility" in Senate

By Cara Solomon
Seattle Times reporter

STEVE RINGMAN / THE SEATTLE TIMES

Senate candidate Mike McGavick, with his wife, Gaelynn, listens backstage as he is introduced Saturday at a campaign-kickoff event at Seattle Center.

STEVE RINGMAN / THE SEATTLE TIMES

Mike McGavick, Republican candidate for U.S. Senate, talked about the Alito hearings, the federal budget and the war in Iraq during a kickoff event Saturday in Seattle.


Former Safeco CEO Mike McGavick kicked off his campaign Saturday for a U.S. Senate seat, saying he would bring a "Northwestern voice of civility" to what he described as a culture of infighting in the nation's capital.

The event at the Seattle Center drew hundreds of GOP supporters, including speakers state Attorney General Rob McKenna and U.S. Rep. Dave Reichert, R-Auburn. They described McGavick as a decisive leader and a great hope for the state's Republican party.

McGavick is considered the leading contender against Democratic Sen. Maria Cantwell this November. He declared his candidacy last autumn and has already raised more than $1.5 million in the lead-up to the Republican primary in September.

Saturday's event was McGavick's first stop on a six-day tour of 18 communities around the state. He talked in broad terms about the need for a balanced budget, more secure national borders and a win in the war on terrorism, no matter how long that takes. He emphasized the importance of safety and opportunity for all of America's children.

But mostly, McGavick spoke of the need for civility in the U.S. Senate. He pointed to the recent questioning of Supreme Court nominee Samuel Alito as evidence of just how embittered the Senate has become. He expressed sympathy for Alito's wife, who left one hearing in tears.

"I think all of us turned in shame and disgust at the sham the Senate has become," he said.

This is a first run for political office by McGavick, a 47-year-old father of three. But as a young man, he worked for former Washington U.S. Sen. Slade Gorton, R-Wash., first as campaign manager and later as chief of staff. Gorton, who was at Saturday's event, lost to Cantwell by a narrow margin in 2000.

rest of article here:
http://archives.seattletimes.nwsource.com/cgi-bin/texis.cgi/web/vortex/display?slug=mcgavick22&date=20060122&query=mcgavick


23 posted on 01/23/2006 9:01:06 PM PST by Seattle Conservative (God bless and protect our troops and their CIC. (Seahawks are going to the Superbowl!!))
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To: Aussie Dasher
"1. Pennsylvania
Easily the showcase race for conservatives throughout the nation."
Yes this is a showcase conservative race, but it will be not one little bit more of a showcase for conservative ideas than the campaign of John Spencer against Mr. Bill Clinton.
John Spencer is the warrior we have be waiting for. He is not afraid of the name clinton. http://www.joinspencer.com
29 posted on 01/24/2006 4:45:22 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (We will never murtha to the terrorists. Bring home the troops means bring home the war.)
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