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1 posted on 01/17/2006 7:10:30 AM PST by 68skylark
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To: 68skylark

It looks like the future may be bumpy. Military affairs may play a larger and larger role in our future -- our Global War on Terrorism may be just a small, opening prelude compared to the conflicts in front of us.


2 posted on 01/17/2006 7:13:52 AM PST by 68skylark
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To: 68skylark
Even after September 11 the only question for many was how soon history would return to normal after a temporary inconvenience. Little did they imagine that the expansion of the European Union, the Kyoto Agreements and Reproductive Rights -- all the preoccupations of their unshakable world -- might be the least of humanity's concerns in the coming years.

Pure gold!

To paraphrase a very smart man many FReepers know and love:

The graveyard is full of people who make linear assumptions in a non-linear world.

4 posted on 01/17/2006 7:21:00 AM PST by papertyger (We have done the impossible, and that makes us mighty.)
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To: 68skylark
Ultimately, nothing less than creating moderate self-government in Iraq, Iran, and other states in the region will bring lasting peace and nonproliferation.

Actually, nothing less than the discrediting of Islam, on a massive scale, followed up by successful evangelization of the former muslims, will suffice. I suspect that this may happen after Mecca becomes a glowing crater.

5 posted on 01/17/2006 7:21:48 AM PST by TomSmedley (Calvinist, optimist, home schooling dad, exuberant husband, technical writer)
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To: 68skylark

> The basic premise is that it probably impossible for
> the US to stop an Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons,
> short of a full-scale invasion.

That might be a useful premise for some war game, but
I disagree with it as a broad conclusion.

If we act soon.


6 posted on 01/17/2006 7:33:09 AM PST by Boundless
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To: 68skylark
There is a pretty big assumption here that Israel won't act....

Mike

7 posted on 01/17/2006 7:37:54 AM PST by MichaelP ("Opportunities multiply as they are seized." Sun Tzu)
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To: 68skylark

Bump.


9 posted on 01/17/2006 8:08:13 AM PST by Rocko (Liberals -- filled with a compassion you always hear about, but never witness.)
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To: 68skylark

bump to read later


14 posted on 01/17/2006 12:10:05 PM PST by OldCorps
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To: 68skylark
This conceptual blindness prevented foreign ministries, academics or the United Nations -- the very name a testament to the limits of its sensibility -- from understanding that sub-national units under the banner of a world religion could arise to challenge the established international order. It was simply impossible, and yet it was. In retrospect all the signs were there.

Excellent article, as usual.

However, he himself fails if he believes that Islam will be content with another Cold War or stalemate situation. Either we attack them - represented by Iran - or they attack us, sooner rather than later. Anybody who believes Islam will simply hang out and wait doesn't know the history of Islam, which only retreats to its hole when it gets its teeth kicked down its throat.

15 posted on 01/17/2006 12:12:36 PM PST by livius
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To: 68skylark

This may require a full-scale nuclear attack. Boy, it's going to suck being Persian.


22 posted on 01/17/2006 2:33:52 PM PST by Cyber Liberty (© 2006, Ravin' Lunatic since 4/98)
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To: 68skylark

bump


25 posted on 01/18/2006 9:06:02 AM PST by GOPJ (A) Cub reporters acting as stenographers for a manipulative top FBI agent? Q) What is Watergate?)
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To: 68skylark
Second, an ever more nuclear-ready Iran will try to lead the revolutionary Islamic vanguard throughout the Islamic world by becoming the main support for terrorist organizations aimed against Washington’s key regional ally, Israel; America’s key energy source, Saudi Arabia; and Washington’s prospective democratic ally, Iraq.

BUMP

26 posted on 01/18/2006 9:10:18 AM PST by Dr. Scarpetta (Democrats would vote against Jesus Christ for the Supreme Court.)
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