Posted on 12/04/2005 6:44:30 AM PST by slowhand520
Along with the nation's highest unemployment but that doesn't matter to socialists.
FYI: The President's 52% JA on election day was based on LIKELY VOTERS while today's polling results are based on ADULTS.
According to Rasmussen, to estimate 'likely voter' opinion one need only add 3 points to the 'adult' result:
47 + 3 = 50% JA among likely voters -- within the MOE of election day 2004.
Bottomline: Statistically, the President's JA rating is where it was on election day 2004. To think otherwise, one must blindly accept manufactured MSM polling data that grossly OVERSAMPLES Democrats/Democrat-leaning Independents
among the 'adult only' population. [NOTE: AP/Ipsos Reid routinely bases its results on a sample comprised of 52% Democrat/Democrat-leaning Independents and 40% Republican/Republican-leaning Independents -- the other MSM-owned polling organizations to the same . . . BOGUS!]
unemployment only matters if there is a Republican in that governors seat. I hope Rove and Mehlman are working with Rich DeVos' campaign on getting the message out.
I never thought the President's JA was as low as the media proclaimed. A sign that his rating is improving is the silence on polls for the last two weeks. They were releasing polls every day.
Sure enough, there is clear evidence the approval is increasing.
The media could not stand any positive polling data and are now selectively hyping a Time poll. They ran out after the 10 Marines were killed so they could get a negative rating on Iraq.
Interestingly, Bush's JA was 5% higher than Newsweek's even in Time's biased poll.
The President must keep up his PR push though.
Polls are useeless and stupid. If they have any use it should be only during election campaigns.
Imagine if the country were to be governed based on weekly polls. The country would be directionless and chaotic. That's why the U.S. is not a direct democracy. Most people are not well informed to make the decisions which a president and a cabinet should make and are better capable of doing.
The polls that matter happen on election day. Continuing to query the public is fine, but just to understand public opinion at any one point. Major decisions cannot and should not be made using public opinion from a specific point in time.
People act more responsibly when their opinion really matters, and that's during elections.
Amazing what happens when you play offense. Hard to score points playing defense only.
Exactly!
Rass is the only poll i listen to. They nailed the last election.. They were off by only 1/2 of 1% in there polling data.
Fighting back is working. My hubby and I were just discussing that when W goes on offensive, people tend to remember why they liked him in the first place.
Most people don't actually believe he is a liar, and IMO, believe just the opposite.
Right on the money there joonbug.
Pray for W and Our Freedom Fighters
Great news. I know the Fox poll has his numbers climbing too. How does he stand on all the other lying polls? Just curious. CBS spiked their poll a few weeks ago.
DemocRATS should just go sit in a corner. Everything they try seems to backfire on them. No on second thought...Keep it up DemocRATS. Seal your destiny in the SCRAP HEAP of History.
HOO-AHHHH!!!
As I've said before...THEN we can rope the Republicans and yank them all to the right. At our present course and speed, and IFF we can be patient, that's only a couple election cycles away, IMHO.
This can't be true!
The Nation/Trotsky Poll has his approval at -27% of likely communists.
Hi DrDeb - I just saw this thread. I posted on the duplicate.....http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1533760/posts
I looked to see if you had posted. Not finding you I took a stab at it. What do you think? ;*)
Typically, a survey of Likely Voters would report a Job Approval rating 2-3 points higher than a survey of all adults.
The national telephone survey of 1,500 Adults
So, add 3% to the 48%. If 15% "somewhat disapprove" that means that 15% "somewhat approve." I say we split the difference and add 8% to President Bush's tally.
48% + 3% + 8% = 59% There we go, that's better, and every bit as scientific as this crap. ;*)
Bush Job Approval
Strongly Approve 29%
Somewhat Approve 19%
Somewhat Disapprove 15%
Strongly Disapprove 37%
18 posted on 12/04/2005 8:10:41 AM PST by Justanobody
Half of The Time's Poll and the Fox Poll were Taken before the President's Speech
11/29 - 12/1
http://realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/bush_ja.html
Also, opinion dynamics, the Fox firm is an awful polling company.
They had Kerry 48 - Bush 46 on Election day with leaners going 90% to Kerry for a Kerry 53 - Bush 47 spread.
Garbage in = Garbage Out.
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