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Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 24 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 10/24/2005 2:18:01 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category Three Major Hurricane Wilma is barreling toward the Southwest Florida coastline. The storm is packing wind speeds of 125mph, moving NW at 20mph, with an enormous eye 65 miles in diameter. Landfall is anticipated shortly in Collier County between 6:00 and 7:00AM ET.

Storm surge flooding of 9 feet to 17 feet is possible along the coast near and to the south of where Wilma makes landfall. Storm surge of 5 to 8 feet is predicted for the Keys. The storm has spawned tornados throughout the Florida peninsula since yesterday evening.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Melbourne Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Key West Radar Still Image w/watches warnings
Tampa Bay Radar Still image w/watches warnings

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24



TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; marcoisland; tropical; weather; wilma
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To: NautiNurse; laz; All

Any of you Floridians lose power, keep the faith. We won't forget you and help is already on the way.

Hang tough.


61 posted on 10/24/2005 3:01:58 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: NautiNurse

AP News Alert

MIAMI (AP) -- Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center say that Hurricane Wilma's outer eyewall has started hitting Florida near Marco Island.


62 posted on 10/24/2005 3:02:34 AM PDT by HAL9000 (Get a Mac - The Ultimate FReeping Machine)
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To: debg

Oops/ TV just went. Internet too, for awhile. Won't be long now before battery time!


63 posted on 10/24/2005 3:03:48 AM PDT by debg
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To: All

Checking in from Juno Beach/Jupiter. Starting to blow pretty good. Probably gusts nearing 50mph. Very little rain - my patio isn't even wet.

Local news has the eye over eastern Palm Beach County in a little over 5 hours from now.

Not looking forward to the eventual power outage.

Good luck to everyone on the west coast. I don't want to trade with you on this one.


64 posted on 10/24/2005 3:04:03 AM PDT by FlJoePa (Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good.)
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To: jeffers

Ha - just as I was reading your post, the electricity went out momentarily, followed by a brownout. Fortunately, everything here is plugged into battery backup.


65 posted on 10/24/2005 3:04:10 AM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: jeffers
Fresh info from the Hunters, pressure down to 950 mb as of 5:32 am -

044 
URNT12 KNHC 240946
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/09:32:30Z
B. 25 deg 43 min N
  082 deg 04 min W
C. 700 mb 2667 m
D. NA  kt
E.     deg     nm
F. 045 deg 084 kt
G. 296 deg 019 nm
H.         950 mb
I.  10 C/ 3051 m
J.  16 C/ 3047 m
K.  13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C60
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 /  3 nm
P. AF302 2524A WILMA        OB 15
MAX FL WIND 123 KT SE QUAD 08:28:30 Z
MAX FL TEMP 18 C, 283 / 12NM

Movement over the previous 53 minutes - northeast (44 degrees) at 25 mph. This puts Wilma 25 miles southwest (237 degrees) of Marco Island and 33 miles south-southwest (210 degrees) of Naples.

66 posted on 10/24/2005 3:06:02 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: FlJoePa

Channel 2 Orlando says Wilma will exit at Jupiter, the same place Frances and Jeanne came in last year.


67 posted on 10/24/2005 3:06:34 AM PDT by NonValueAdded ("Is there anything that I can do that wouldn't inconvenience me?" Adrian Monk)
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To: FlJoePa

Good luck to you too. Wilma will still be quite powerful when she gets to you.


68 posted on 10/24/2005 3:07:20 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: All

Local news has the eye travelling over Sewell's Point/Stuart on it's way out into the Atlantic. That would be amazing to have 3 hurricane eyes pass over you in 14 months.


69 posted on 10/24/2005 3:08:11 AM PDT by FlJoePa (Success without honor is an unseasoned dish; it will satisfy your hunger, but it won't taste good.)
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To: NautiNurse

You stay safe. Praying for all of you.


70 posted on 10/24/2005 3:08:14 AM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: NautiNurse

Good news folks, as good as can be expected. The eyewall is fitting near perfectly into the concave shoreline of SW Florida. That means max winds at Marco and Naples are coming from onshore, instead of driving the surge inland. Not much but it's something.


71 posted on 10/24/2005 3:08:35 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: debg

If you lose the connection, good luck, and stay safe.


72 posted on 10/24/2005 3:08:35 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: NautiNurse
We had some dimming but came back up. The PC never lost power. Thank God for the surge protector.

Gathering our supplies for our trip to the "safe room".

My wife got up early to cook up a hot meal for all of us. I ground up all our coffee for the next few days. Can you believe I look forward to each morning to try a new blend and this week isn't any different? That's addiction, amiga. ; )

So, getting blustery here. Prayers out to all of you from Boca Raton. May God see you and yours safely through this.

73 posted on 10/24/2005 3:09:42 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Democrats.. Socialists..Commies..Traitors...Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Caipirabob

And prayers back to you and yours.


74 posted on 10/24/2005 3:11:02 AM PDT by steveegg (Tagline withheld until we know whether Miers will be a younger O'Connor or Roberts' soulmate)
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To: All

Been out of the loop for several hours. Neighbor down the street started having chest pains and called. I went over- took one look at him and called 911. EMT arrived packed him up with O2 and an IV and off to the hospital. His wife has emphysema and was a wreck so I sat with her til her daughter arrived a few mins ago.

Rain heavy here- gusty winds- torando warnings everywhere in the area.

Going to get a cuppa REAL coffe- neighbors had INSTANT. There ought to be a law..


75 posted on 10/24/2005 3:11:30 AM PDT by SE Mom (..near Orlando, FL)
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To: FlJoePa

Thanks for checking in with the local update. Please keep us posted as often as you can. Godspeed.


76 posted on 10/24/2005 3:11:35 AM PDT by NautiNurse (So. Tampa Bay)
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To: laz
Some serious exploding transformers in my neighborhood. (Mid broward close to 441). The sh*t is starting to hit the fan here,wind wise. I'll probably be moving my family into our "safe" room. I shoulda left to my sisters house earlier, nice shutters all around.

Looks like this will be the worst storm to hit here since Andrew, and I remember that one quite well. This wont be as bad overall, but it sure is bringing back some bad memories..

77 posted on 10/24/2005 3:11:45 AM PDT by Paradox (Just because we are not perfect, does not mean we are not good.)
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To: NautiNurse

Lost power again four times in a row, for about five minutes each time. Of course, it would go out again just as I was getting online again. Let's see how long I can stay on.


78 posted on 10/24/2005 3:12:49 AM PDT by laz (Miami, FL (Cutler Ridge))
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To: steveegg

Any updated word on what Wilma will do to TD AlGore?


79 posted on 10/24/2005 3:13:27 AM PDT by NonValueAdded ("Is there anything that I can do that wouldn't inconvenience me?" Adrian Monk)
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To: steveegg

Thanks. Probably going to blow real soon. Power line right out front sparking.


80 posted on 10/24/2005 3:13:32 AM PDT by debg
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