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Locked on 10/24/2005 2:24:18 AM PDT by Jim Robinson, reason:
New thread: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1508056/posts |
Posted on 10/22/2005 1:25:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.
In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.
The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
Streaming Video:
WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Additional Resources:
Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24
At least it's not roasted capacitor :-)
That total puts me to shame; both IE (the FR pager and Key West radar loop) and 2 instances of Mozilla (one with a pair of FR pages and 3 looping satellites as the tabs, the other with 4 WUnderground, 3 or so NHC and a lat/long calculator), Google Earth, the MS calculator, and a Notepad file so I know the lat/long of various Florida cities.
taking a vote - new thread, or keep this one. Your choice.
New thread.
<><>taking a vote - new thread, or keep this one. Your choice.<><>
New thread before this one gets locked out.
My .5 cents
New
Right now Marco Island is just outside the 40 knot line. When it hits 70, which won't be too long, anyone there riding it out better have their swimsuit on, mask and fins if they have them, and know how to find Highland Road in the dark.
Good luck down there. Hope it doesn't have any long-term effects on the fishing down there.
I'm easy, either way. Whatever works for you all.
Oh, new thread, and throw in some Little Debbie's......TO GO!
533 URNT12 KNHC 240829 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 24/07:47:30Z B. 25 deg 25 min N 082 deg 35 min W C. 700 mb 2692 m D. NA kt E. deg nm F. 067 deg 080 kt G. 320 deg 020 nm H. 953 mb I. 9 C/ 3051 m J. 14 C/ 3050 m K. 14 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C65 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 3 nm P. AF302 2524A WILMA OB 04 MAX FL WIND 80 KT NW QUAD 07:41:20 Z MAX FL TEMP 15 C, 297 / 11NM
AF305 found 135-knot flight-level winds less than an hour ago. Also, this represents a movement of 25 mph to the northeast (39 degrees).
You must have a lot of RAM. No way I could open all that on any of my machines, it'd lock before I got halfway.
Hurricane Wilma Forecast/advisory Number 36
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl Al242005
0900z Mon Oct 24 2005
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For All Of The Florida
Keys... Including The Dry Tortugas And Florida Bay...along The
Florida West Coast From Longboat Key Southward... And Along The
Florida East Coast From Titusville Southward... Including Lake
Okeechobee.
A Tropical Storm Warning Remains In Effect Along The Florida West
Coast North Of Longboat Key To Steinhatchee River...and Along The
Florida East Coast North Of Titusville To St. Augustine.
A Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect Along The Northeast Coast
Of Florida From North Of St. Augustine To Fernandina Beach.
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Cuban Provinces Of
Ciudad De La Habana...la Habana...and Pinar Del Rio. A Tropical
Storm Warning Is In Effect For The Isle Of Youth. A Hurricane
Watch Remains In Effect For The Province Of Matanzas. These Warnings
And Watches Will Likely Be Discontinued Later This Morning.
A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For The Northwestern
Bahamas...including The Abacos...andros Island...berry Islands...
Bimini...eleuthera...grand Bahama Island...and New Providence.
Hurricane Center Located Near 25.5n 82.4w At 24/0900z
Position Accurate Within 20 Nm
Present Movement Toward The Northeast Or 50 Degrees At 17 Kt
Estimated Minimum Central Pressure 952 Mb
Eye Diameter 65 Nm
Max Sustained Winds 105 Kt With Gusts To 130 Kt.
64 Kt....... 75ne 80se 75sw 50nw.
50 Kt.......125ne 125se 125sw 90nw.
34 Kt.......200ne 200se 175sw 150nw.
12 Ft Seas..325ne 300se 200sw 325nw.
Winds And Seas Vary Greatly In Each Quadrant. Radii In Nautical
Miles Are The Largest Radii Expected Anywhere In That Quadrant.
Repeat...center Located Near 25.5n 82.4w At 24/0900z
At 24/0600z Center Was Located Near 25.0n 83.1w
Forecast Valid 24/1800z 27.9n 79.0w
Max Wind 85 Kt...gusts 105 Kt.
64 Kt... 70ne 85se 75sw 50nw.
50 Kt...125ne 125se 100sw 90nw.
34 Kt...200ne 225se 175sw 175nw.
Forecast Valid 25/0600z 32.9n 73.1w
Max Wind 75 Kt...gusts 90 Kt.
64 Kt... 70ne 85se 60sw 30nw.
50 Kt...125ne 150se 125sw 75nw.
34 Kt...200ne 225se 200sw 175nw.
Forecast Valid 25/1800z 39.0n 66.5w...extratropical
Max Wind 60 Kt...gusts 75 Kt.
50 Kt...100ne 175se 75sw 50nw.
34 Kt...225ne 250se 225sw 125nw.
Forecast Valid 26/0600z 44.0n 60.0w...extratropical
Max Wind 60 Kt...gusts 75 Kt.
50 Kt...100ne 175se 75sw 50nw.
34 Kt...200ne 250se 175sw 125nw.
Forecast Valid 27/0600z 47.5n 51.0w...extratropical
Max Wind 55 Kt...gusts 65 Kt.
50 Kt...100ne 175se 75sw 50nw.
34 Kt...200ne 250se 175sw 125nw.
Extended Outlook. Note...errors For Track Have Averaged Near 250 Nm
On Day 4 And 325 Nm On Day 5...and For Intensity Near 20 Kt Each Day
Outlook Valid 28/0600z 48.0n 40.0w...extratropical
Max Wind 55 Kt...gusts 65 Kt.
Outlook Valid 29/0600z 48.0n 29.0w...extratropical
Max Wind 50 Kt...gusts 60 Kt.
Request For 3 Hourly Ship Reports Within 300 Miles Of 25.5n 82.4w
Next Advisory At 24/1500z
Forecaster Pasch
Y'all should have spoken up earlier...will have it up just after the 0500 updates.
Your graphics are awesome. Thank you.
512 mb driven by an Athlon 2600+ (the early model).
That's perfect timing.
It looks like Katrina (maybe on steroids) in reverse to me...
I don't like that one either. It plots about 20 miles NE of the 0300 EST point, but it's timestamped 13 minutes earlier.
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