Hurricane Wilma Live Thread, Part III (TS Alpha gets honorable mention too)

NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 October 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Wilma slowly drifts toward the Southeast Gulf of Mexico after relentlessly pounding Cozumel and Cancun for more than 24 hours. Early reports indicate extensive wind and flood damage to Mexico's resort-studded Mayan Riviera. Mexican officials said about 20,000 tourists were at shelters and hotels on the mainland south of Cancun and an estimated 10,000-12,000 were in Cancun itself. About 50 hotels were evacuated.

In preparation for Hurricane Wilma's anticipated Florida landfall, a Hurricane Watch and mandatory evacuation have been issued for the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. Mandatory evacuations for Marco Island and much of Naples are in effect, as well as high surf advisories and high risk of rip currents along Florida's panhandle and Big Bend coasts. Bus services are available for Monroe Co. and other counties for residents who do not have transportation. Additional storm watches for the Florida peninsula are expected later today.

The 2005 hurricane season altered the record books again today with the formation of Tropical Storm Alpha south of Hispanola. Preliminary forecasts indicate TS Alpha will not affect the U.S. mainland.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Florida Department of Emergency Management

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image

Streaming Video:

WBBH-TV/WZVN-TV Ft. Myers (WMP): http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo
WESH-TV/DT Orlando/Daytona Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24028.ram
WFTV-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:20361.ram
WKMG-TV/DT Orlando (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:23942.ram
WPBF-TV/DT West Palm Beach (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/7883/live/reflector:24035.ram
WSVN-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://216.242.118.140/windowsmedia/asx/wsvn_broadband.asx
WTVJ-TV/DT Miami: http://nbc6.feedroom.com/iframeset.jsp?ord=381015
WPLG-TV/DT Miami (RP): http://mfile.akamai.com/8660/live/reflector:23941.ram
WFOR-TV/DT Miami (WMP): http://wfor.dayport.com/viewer/content/special.php?Art_ID=612&Format_ID=2&BitRate_ID=8&Contract_ID=2&Obj_ID={obj_id}
WTSP-TV/DT St. Petersburg/Tampa (WMP): mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_sep252004_1915_64623
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Additional Resources:

Pet Friendly Florida Shelter Info
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
CrownWeather.com

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Wilma Part II
Hurricane Wilma Live Thread
Tropical Storm Wilma
Tropical Depression #24

[samantha]

Since I am 35 miles Northwest of The town of Okeechobee this does not give me good feelings.

[NautiNurse]

Thank you very much for your support. I really appreciate it, particularly when Wilma is going to be a little too close for comfort around here.

[onyx]

I hope all our Florida FRiends will post their respective locations in their taglines.

[NautiNurse]

I knew we had folks living in the vicinity of Okeechobee. Thanks for checking in. I'm getting ready to spray for bugs around the house perimiter. Just found a long line of ants entering the garage for shelter.

[2Jedismom]

I'm following the thread closely, although I don't post much. I'm part of the Oklahoma Southern Baptist Disaster Relief team and will be watching for activation.

[bill1952]

Same here. Port Saint Lucie with my last plane in Fort Pierce. (KFPR)

[SE Mom]

I just made hot potato salad (German) to have with dinner. Yum:)

Interesting point about the ants- will put anti bug stuff on my list for tomorrow.

[AGreatPer]

Just got a report via phone from Merida. Their EMS can't get through to Cancun. Just east of Chichenitza is a creek and it is 5-6 feet deep (about 70 miles from Cancun). It is near a town called Chemax.

Even the Mexican Army can't get through.

Although there was hard rain in Merida and Chichitza there are no reported fatalities except chickens. Get this, the electricity is still on in those areas. They were watching Notre Dame football and NASCAR Bush racingl.

This is indeed great news. But we have little to no reports from Cancun and the Hotel Zone.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Your potato salad sounds great. Email me the recipe sometime if you can.

[steveegg]

When the ants are looking for high ground, that's trouble.

Fresh Vortex Data Message -

551 
URNT12 KNHC 222210
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/2153Z
B. 21 DEG 27 MIN N
   87 DEG 01MIN W
C. 700 MB 2723 MA
D. 60 KT
E. 315 DEG 30 NM
F. 032 DEG 93 KT
G. 308 DEG 34 NM
H. 957 MB
I. 12 C/ 3057 M
J. 14 C/ 3055 M
K. 14 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C60
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA2 1824A WILMA OB 18
   MAX FL WIND 93 KT NE QUAD 2145Z
   REMNENTS OF INNER EYEWALL ON RADAR.

Motion over the last hour 11 minutes is to the northeast (55 degrees) at 3.3 mph. That puts Wilma just over 6 miles from the Gulf on that course, 9 miles from the Gulf going due north, and 23 miles north-northwest (328 degrees) of Cancun.

[elfman2]

Anyone know of a good visible satellite loop?

(Riding it out in Key Largo)

[steveegg]

Anyone know of a good visible satellite loop?

A rather exhaustive set of satellite pics/loops here (Wilma is Floater 1).

(Riding it out in Key Largo)

Good luck.

[laz]

Motion over the last hour 11 minutes is to the northeast

Beginning the turn...?

[sheikdetailfeather]

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/

[steveegg]

Beginning the turn...?

Possible. Could also be a wobble (speed is significantly less than the comparison over the previous 2 VDMs). The next eye fix should tell us more.

[laz]

I hope all our Florida FRiends will post their respective locations in their taglines.

Done.

[The Right Stuff]

New Smyrna Beach on the East Coast. Nothing yet, just high cirrus clouds. (They also mentioned them as harbingers in "Isaac's Storm".)

[AGreatPer]

Can you believe, the town of Mayapon played Labna today in soccer. Simi finals for a championship and they were not going to cancel this game for anywthing. I have no clue who won.

Between us all, when I talk with my friend down there who is a stewart on a bus tour, I understand why they are called a 3rd world country. Their priorities are not what we normally know. None the less, he has been my friend for 30 years and I will share this comment with him. Whenever I can get there or on the phone.

[jeffers]

Beef tips (plus shrooms, green pepper and onion) in burgundy wine here, followed by peach cobbler, in the oven now, ETA 2 hours.

[steveegg]

Talk about your devotion to sport.

I hope your friend made it through all right, along with everyone else down there.