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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma has formed in the NW Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast indicates she will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico as a major Category Three storm. Current forecase models indicate a Florida peninsula landfall.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
I have not talked to her today, but I constantly check the Cayman Compass for the current weather.
http://www.caycompass.com/CFPCCweather.shtml
From what I've seen, it looks like my parents down on Marco Island are in for a wild ride. And wouldn't you know that they took down their hurricane shutters last weekend. I think I know what they will be doing this week.
Look here for current updates. My daughter lives on Grand Cayman.
http://www.caycompass.com/CFPCCweather.shtml
Monitoring.
If Wilma stays steady on this track, it may be possible to deliver some very high resolution surge and wind field estimates in advance of landfall.
If she's bouncing around, it becomes a race between large data files and a dial-up connection.
In any event, I'll be here more and more as we get closer to landfall, whenever that may be.
Please ping me with any eyewall diameter estimates or measurements once she hits Cat-3 and above. Thanks.
You are so right about that. Gasoline, now. Do not wait.
LOL. I now have a generator. It's one of my most valued possessions. :)
Do you live in a coastal area which could be affected by a hurricane or have relatives or close friends who do?
Maybe you should have posted your post on one of the Rita threads where FReepers were reporting the damage to their homes and were checking in about where they had evacuated to and the losses they had suffered. I'm sure your making fun and laughing your a$$ off comment would have been greatly appreciated.
BTW, I paid no attention to Y2K.
Whoops! Here we go again!
I really, really, really don't want to test our new storm shutters!
PS Thanks for the post, although I'd rather read about most anything other than Wilma!
Just damn....... I will change my tagline now, why wait!
Not a pleasant way to wind down the hurricane season. This storm could impact virtually all of the peninsula.
...Reconnaissance aircraft enroute to Wilma...
a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Honduras from the Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Cabo camaron.
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for the Cayman Islands.
Wilma is forecast to become a major hurricane in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. All interests in western Cuba...the Yucatan Peninsula...the Florida Keys...and the Florida Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of Wilma.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located near latitude 16.7 north... longitude 81.1 west or about 180 miles... 290 km... south of Grand Cayman.
Wilma is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph ...12 km/hr. A motion to the west-northwest or northwest is expected during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher gusts. Wilma is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and Wilma is expected to become a major hurricane during the next day or two.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles... 30 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120 miles...195 km.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb...28.79 inches.
Wilma is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches over the Cayman Islands...Jamaica...Haiti...and southeastern Cuba...with isolated amounts of 8 to 12 inches possible. Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 3 inches...with isolated amounts of 6 to 10 inches...are possible over Honduras and Nicaragua.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...16.7 N... 81.1 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds... 80 mph. Minimum central pressure... 975 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
'canes DO turn this sharply late in Oct/Nov...
Gasoline containers were a major hole for me.
Have you actually participated in any of the hurricane threads? If not they are pretty informational and entertaining at the same time. I kept up with the latest information regarding where the witch Rita was going and figured out well in advanced of the local news coverage that I was in the bulls eye. It allowed me to beat the rush and get my stuff in order ahead of the vast multitudes. So I for one am thankful for the live threads.
Why?
It's bad luck?
YOu got that right!
LOL - ya think the logo caused every state in the GOM to be hammered by a major hurricane?
I prefer the Ch. 13 option.
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