Ok....we need the picture with the guy and " Oh, no . Not this Sh*t again!"
This is so very sad....I had one of my best vacations ever on Cayman Brac a few years ago. Beautiful, idyllic island and wonderful people. There's a big cave near the center of the island that many of the people go to when there's a big storm coming, so they're pretty experienced at dealing with this kind of thing. They won't be having the crime problems that New Orleans did.....from memory I recall that the island is just a few miles long and very skinny. Three policemen are there who share one police car, such is the level of crime. When I asked a local lady in the village about crime there she said "oh, you need to look out for that bad boy on the bicycle over there."
Little Cayman is even smaller with even less population and infrastructure.
Grand Cayman is the much more heavily-populated island and has much more infrastructure, and so there's more to be damaged.
Let's just "wish it away" like in the Twilight Zone movie.
Tropical Depression TWENTY-FOUR Public Advisory
How does anyone really know if the "only other time" was in 1933? There were no hurricane hunters, no satellites and, no data collection buoys scattered around the earth. Record keeping was based upon what was seen by human eyes and therefore if someone didn't see it, then it could not exist.
000
WTNT34 KNHC 161737
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005
...Depression meandering in the Northwest Caribbean...Reconnaissance
Aircraft to arrive shortly...
A Tropical Storm warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
the Cayman Islands.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-four
was located near Latitude 17.3 North... Longitude 79.3 West or
about 195 miles... 315 KM... Southeast of Grand Cayman.
The depression has been meandering for the past several hours.
while a generally Westward drift is expected over the next 24
hours...steering currents remain extremely weak and some erratic
motion during the next day or two is possible.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...with higher
gusts. Conditions are favorable for the Depression to become a
Tropical Storm later today or tonight.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 MB...29.59 inches.
The depression is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to
6 inches over the Cayman Islands and Jamaica...with isolated totals
of 8 to 12 inches possible.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...17.3 n... 79.3 w. movement
...stationary. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 MPH. Minimum central pressure...1002 MB.
The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
$$
I think I'll call my daughter and see what she has to say.
She lives on Grand Cayman.
It's sunny on Grand Cayman, not windy but she expects rain because she looked on the weather map...lol.
ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005
...Aircraft data indicate Depression has not strengthened...
A Tropical Storm warning and a hurricane watch remain in effect for
the Cayman Islands.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 5 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-four
was located near Latitude 17.7 North... Longitude 79.6 West or
about 150 miles... 245 KM... Southeast of Grand Cayman.
The depression is moving toward the West-NorthWest near 2 MPH
... 4 km/hr...and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours. However...steering currents remain weak and some erratic
motion during the next day or two is possible.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...with higher
gusts. The depression is expected to become a Tropical Storm during
the next 24 hours. If it does so...it will tie the record of 21
named storms set in 1933.
The latest minimum central pressure measured by Reconnaissance
Aircraft was 1001 MB...29.56 inches.
The depression is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to
6 inches over the Cayman Islands and Jamaica...with isolated
amounts of 8 to 12 inches possible.
Repeating the 5 PM EDT position...17.7 n... 79.6 w. movement
toward...West-Northwest near 2 MPH. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 MPH. Minimum central pressure...1001 MB.
An Intermediate Advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 8 PM EDT followed by the next
Complete Advisory at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Franklin
$$
NNN
000
WTNT34 KNHC 162357
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005
...Depression moving very slowly and not yet any stronger...
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
the Cayman Islands.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 8 PM EDT...0000Z...the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-four
was located near Latitude 17.7 North... Longitude 79.7 West or
about 150 miles... 245 KM... Southeast of Grand Cayman.
The Depression is moving toward the West-Northwest near 2 MPH...
4 KM/HR... and this motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours. However... steering currents remain weak and some erratic
motion is possible during the next day or two.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph... 55 km/hr... with higher
gusts. The Depression is expected to become a Tropical Storm during
the next 24 hours. If it does so... it will tie the record of 21
named storms set in 1933.
The estimated Minimum Central Pressure is 1001 MB...29.56 inches.
NOAA Buoy 42057... located about 65 miles West of the circulation
center... recently reported a pressure of 1004 MB.
The depression is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to
6 inches over the Cayman Islands and Jamaica... with isolated
amounts of 8 to 12 inches possible.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...17.7 N... 79.7 W. Movement
toward...West-Northwest near 2 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 MPH. Minimum Central Pressure...1001 MB.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Knabb
$$