Posted on 10/14/2005 7:23:47 AM PDT by new yorker 77
I was listening to the John Batchelor Program on WABC Radio in New York last night.
He commented on the process that went into nominating Miers and added that the likelyhood of her nomination withdrawn has grown.
It has grown from 5% last week, to 30% end of last week, to 50% beginning of this week, to 75% last night.
Fund was on the program to comment on his op-ed piece:
How She Slipped Through Harriet Miers's nomination resulted from a failed vetting process.
Thursday, October 13, 2005 12:01 a.m. EDT Link: http://www.opinionjournal.com/diary/
The RATS cannot know and their masters, MOVE-ON, NARAL, People for the American Left, and George Soros, will in the end come out against her, it is slightly possible that she gets only RINO votes on the Committee but I see her being confirmed on a party line vote with a Filibuster to follow.
The 30% of the 30% of the Republican base that are solid conservatives will rejoice. The 30% who supported her will be mad that he gave in to the uninformed "chattering class" of the right. The 40% who wanted a hearing will think he backed down out of fear of his base, and won't trust him again.
I would not be cheering if he gave in to arguments like I've seen on THIS thread.
For some reason, the Ubers are dying for a fight with the GOP.
And they seem to think if they "win" this fight, we're going to all just say, "Oh, you were right, please lead us into the Promised Land."
They are trying to destroy the GOP.
Well, that will put the ball right back in the court of the Gang of 14.
I have no doubt they will agree to vote her down to avoid a filibuster.
Some deal they made, huh?
It wasn't the end of the world. It is far more important to get a GOOD, qualified person and proven conserative on the court.
If the President does nominate someone like Gonzalez it will show a lack of maturity.
P.S. I'm a mainstream conservative, NOT a reactionary.
This poll would "scare" me if I thought the GOP base was 14,000 people.
LOL! Well of course he's still obnoxious, that was the essence of zee General De Gaul.
Mr. Fund is trying to manufacture a result that matches his own predilictions. That's what pundits do.
But I think GW is simply too stubborn. He'll be willing to see Harriet Miers either confirmed or denied--and then the pundits better watch out lest they get what they asked for.
After all this, if Miers loses, the RINOs will be strengthened to oppose any conservative despite all the Gang of 14 stuff.
Re #68--excellent post! Thank you for posting it.
I hope this nomination is not withdrawn--I'd like the chance to hear her speak.
You are wrong.
But you forgot "reactionary" and "extremist" and "fringer." ;)
If she withdraws, I will never again vote for any candidate who puts "conservative" first.
****
You mean instead of "party" first?
You must not have gotten the memo that sanity is barred from the Miers threads. Please refrain from making common-sense remarks in the future.
That is all.
LOL! Way to go, Howlin.
My post was nothing more than a recitation of sterile mathematical fact, pointing out the relationship between "probability" and the outcome of an event. And you call that "backpedaling."
Your response speaks for itself. You want a fight. Well you won't get one from me. You get the last word. I am immune to your weak flames.
Let 'em try. The fact that they're unquestionably worse than the GOP doesn't mean we can't try to put our own house in order---it's high time for that.
Hey, that's MY line. You need to put his first name in though, for effect.
"Breaking News: Generalismo Fransisco Franco is Still Dead"
"Breaking News: We STILL oppose Miers, proving increasing days of opposition which should sink her nomination".
1) Senators want to be re-elected.
a) If you're a GOP senator from a very red state, Miers isn't going to lose you your seat and this can be largely a non event for you. So you will bargain for a vote if it looks close enough to matter. Maybe offer a YES in return for money to your state. This is easy in the Gulf area.
b) If you're a GOP senator from a blue state you're likely a RINO. The outcry from the Right has now provided you all the cover you need among your liberal constituents to vote YES on confirmation and earn the fundraising help an Administration can give you and that you always need to win in a state that dislikes GOP anything.
c) If you're a Dem senator from a red state, you have all the cover you need to vote YES on a Bush nominee, which will please the Bush supporters in your state. The hard core right wingers were not going to vote for you anyway so you have no reason not to vote YES.
d) If you're a Dem senator from a blue state, you can do anything you want. A vote NO is a pure anti Bush vote that your constituents will not argue with. A vote YES can be bargained for to get more pork for your state. The Dem senators in c) above will give you the cover you need to make this bargain.
Excellent analysis. So long as she doesn't make a fool of herself at the hearings, she gets confirmed.
Thanks.
I have posted it as a stand alone thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1502461/posts
Thanks for your insights to the Jihadist who is stepping down in Canada this past week.
Another gentlemanly comment for the catalogue. Didn't your Mommy ever tell you not to make personal remarks?
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