Posted on 10/05/2005 4:35:10 AM PDT by NonValueAdded
BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TAMMY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 730 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2005
...TROPICAL STORM FORMS JUST OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...
RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FORMED WITHIN THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS.
AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA AND ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.
TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF TAMMY WILL BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY. DUE TO THE ANGLE OF APPROACH TO THE COASTLINE... THE SPECIFIC LOCATION AND TIME OF LANDFALL OF THE CENTER ARE UNCERTAIN. ADDITIONALLY...MOST OF THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 730 AM EDT POSITION...28.4 N... 80.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
A carry-over from the teletype days? Maybe Karl Rove needs to upgrade the hurricane generator software to version 2.0 with the case sensitive adapter. Then again, it could be a conspiracy and that's for you to handle.
Good place to vacation, but now back to the hills of Tenn. for you. LOL
Not all of it, LOL. We're getting a lot of rain in NE FL. Jacksonville Webcams
Michael, check out the three day track from post #15. Get the guest room ready cause Tammy is coming your way (although I did hear a GOM track is possible - good for you, bad for the Gulf states).
For some odd reason, I woke up around 4:30 this morning. Saw the closed circulation on radar, and wondered when the rest of the world would notice.
There's also some speculation that Stan could regenerate off the western Mexican coast and become a Pacific storm. Which begs the question.
If it becomes a Pacific storm does it retain the name Stan or is it renamed to Pilar or whatever is next?
If it had remained a clearly-defined cyclone going across Mexico and into the Pacific, it would have remained Stan.
Since it didn't, if the remnants re-form, they will take the next available Pacific name.
BECAUSE ITS THE ONLY WAY WE CAN GET IDIOTS LIKE RAY NAGIN TO PAY ATTENTION TO APPROACHING CAT 5 HURRICANES.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/mlb_N0Z_lp.shtml
Thank you for the quick answer.
I KNOW THE REASON BUT IT IS FUN TO COMPLAIN ABOUT IT.
AT LAST A GOOD ANSWER.
This begs the question, perhaps for Steven Wright: So, if we get a Monster storm Alpha (or whatever), and they retire that name, are the folks in Greece forced to remove the letter henceforth and forever more from their alphabet, books, writings, etc? In some future year, after going thru the assigned storm name list, will then the first available letter be Beta?
Nah. We'll just have to use the Phoenician alphabet.
Cool. We need the rain here in GA, and especially ATL-area, and my lawn aerating guy comes next Wednesday.
That is the way the National Weather Service types it on their website.
This storm will stay an Atlantic storm, by what I have seen in the past and what I feel will happen.
That means Tammy must stay close to the Gulf Stream to keep any of her punch. These storms in the Atlantic tend to stay to a Northerly and Easterly trend, but that does not mean Tammy will not turn west...
Cold fronts from Canada are a factor -- one is supposed to push Southward later this week...
Blame your government's websites.
Awwww Fudge, it's gonna be wet and windy here in JAX the next few days!
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