Posted on 10/05/2005 4:35:10 AM PDT by NonValueAdded
BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM TAMMY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 730 AM EDT WED OCT 05 2005
...TROPICAL STORM FORMS JUST OFF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...
RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS FORMED WITHIN THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS.
AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 730 AM EDT...1130Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TAMMY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... EAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA AND ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.
TAMMY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF TAMMY WILL BE MOVING NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY. DUE TO THE ANGLE OF APPROACH TO THE COASTLINE... THE SPECIFIC LOCATION AND TIME OF LANDFALL OF THE CENTER ARE UNCERTAIN. ADDITIONALLY...MOST OF THE STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
TAMMY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 730 AM EDT POSITION...28.4 N... 80.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT ADVISORY AT 1100 AM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB
Ping
"ISSUED FROM COCOA BEACH"
I hope Major Nelson and Jeanie get out ok.
Are you sure it's "Tammy"? Not "Tammy Sue", correct? Because if it was Tammy Sue, I don't think there would be any place you could run and hide. Many a trailer park has met their match when Tammy Sue comes to town...
Katrina, Rita, and Tammy. Women. ;)
I am still trying to process that the previous storm is "Stan." Somehow, that just doesn't seem like a proper name for a storm.
Outstanding!!
Maybe with the cold front coming from the NW and Tammy heading up the coast, we'll get a 2-3 day soaker in Virginia.
Good, just so the bitch doesn't go into the Gulf.
Well, I don't see any makeup on the storm, so it ain't Tammy Faye...
Here we go again.
I just looked at this satellite link.
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
Somebody who knows weather, look at it for me and tell me what that big "blob" coming off the Yucatan is? Isn't that where Stan was (I must admit, I didn't pay much attention to Stan, LOL); the "blob" looks like it's headed back into the straits.
They're all hot air, but man, can they blow!
That's a band of thunderstorms associated with Stan's remnants. And yes, there was speculation among forecasters that some of the energy from Stan could go back out into the Gulf.
Coastal Watches/Warnings and 3-Day Cone
Melbourne, FL Radar Satellite Imagery (Click TPA or CARIB on the Map after setting options)
Unfortunately, there's not much info yet beyond the public advisory and what you can see on Radar. Here in Daytona it's windy and showery.
TAF for 7:30am
KDAB 051053Z 06012KT 7SM -RA BKN019 OVC036 25/23 A2978 RMK AO2 SLP085 P0002 T02500233
KDAB 051150Z 051212 06015G30KT 5SM -SHRA SCT020 OVC035
TEMPO 1216 07020G35KT 1SM +SHRA BKN020 OVC030
FM1800 27012G20KT P6SM VCSH SCT025 BKN040
TEMPO 1820 3SM SHRA BKN025
FM0000 24012KT P6SM VCSH SCT025 BKN040
FM0400 24008KT P6SM SCT025 BKN060
WHY DOES EVERYONE YELL ABOUT THE WEATHER?
It could be worse; it could have been Stanislaw (or named after me :-)
Well Iguess it's time for the Nags Head vacation to wind down.
it's been great so far.
Thanks for the info. I'm in Tampa Bay area. This past TD didn't bother me because I figured not enough time over water to gain much strength.
A system coming off the Yucatan, across the Gulf headed toward the West Coast of Florida would definitely concern me because it has time to pick up strength.
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