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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part V
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 5:44:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category Four Hurricane Rita continues to move toward landfall along the northwest Gulf of Mexico shoreline. Mandatory and voluntary evacuations continue across Texas and Louisiana coastal areas. Lake Charles LA is providing evacuations by bus for residents who have no transportation.

Traffic gridlock in the greater Houston area was compounded by gasoline stations without fuel, long lines at those stations still carrying fuel, and record breaking temperatures on the first day of autumn.

Offshore drilling platforms and rigs, as well as oil refineries, petrochemical and natural gas plants are in the path of the storm. Wave heights recorded by buoy have exceeded 38 feet. The refineries threatened by Hurricane Rita are on higher ground than those affected by flooding from Katrina. As a result, speculation abounds regarding future prices for winter heating fuel and gasoline.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KPLC-TV Lake Charles KPLC Streaming
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanerita; rita; tropical; weather
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To: Tuxedo
You riding her out DG?

Have no choice really. Wife works at hospital and is needed.

I was feeling pretty good about most of the day until Rita started moving west again.

But I'm prepared. I've got a plan to either stay at the home or got to a safe place in plenty of time, and I'll know for sure by noon what to do. It won't get windy here until mid-afternoon at the earliest.

641 posted on 09/22/2005 7:47:40 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: NCjim

Not to mention the original name of College Peaks, AZ...


642 posted on 09/22/2005 7:47:41 PM PDT by NCjim (The more I use Windows, the more I love UNIX)
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To: Flyer
Ever heard of Dime Box?

Oh yeah, those are my old stomping grounds. Lots of good dance halls in that part of the country. Schroeder Hall comes to mind, had WAY too may beers there in my younger days...

643 posted on 09/22/2005 7:47:42 PM PDT by cspackler (There are 10 kinds of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.)
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To: nhoward14

Cornyn has been working with Perry - but I've only seen him once, when the Gov told everyone to get out.

You'll also notice that *all* the pressers are short, unlike those multihour ordeals that they held in LA.


644 posted on 09/22/2005 7:47:42 PM PDT by Spktyr (Dallas TX (Overwhelminglysuperiorfirepowerandthewillingnesstouseitistheonlyprovenpeacesolution))
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To: NCjim

Here in Alabama our funny town name is Flea Hop.


645 posted on 09/22/2005 7:47:49 PM PDT by commish ((Montgomery, AL) Freedom Tastes Sweetest to Those Who Have Fought to Preserve It)
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To: prairiebreeze

I agree, but I don't have cable on the bathroom tv. (What a pain.)!!


646 posted on 09/22/2005 7:48:03 PM PDT by maeng
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping. I saw a 78 year old woman in Galveston say that she was going down with Rita. IMO, someone like that should be Baker Acted because she's a danger to herself. I hope her bravery or ignorance, call it what you will doesn't kill her.


647 posted on 09/22/2005 7:48:07 PM PDT by floriduh voter (www.conservative-spirit.org Daily Newsfeeds & Weekly Update RITA TRACKING)
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To: dawn53

Looks it to me. Of course, it may be temporary. Updates due out momentarily.


648 posted on 09/22/2005 7:48:23 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: commish

751
WTNT33 KNHC 230248
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RITA ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE RITA CONTINUES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND UPPER
TEXAS COASTS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF
LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN....AND
FROM SOUTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST OR ABOUT 350 MILES...
560 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 310 MILES... 495
KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF RITA WILL BE APPROACHING THE
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND UPPER TEXAS COASTS LATE FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RITA IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM. ANY TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE NEW
ORLEANS AREA ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONFINED TO A FEW SQUALLS
ASSOCIATED WITH QUICKLY MOVING RAINBANDS.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 917 MB...27.08 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE
LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY
KATRINA. TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE TO 3 TO 5 FEET AND BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE
COASTAL FLOODING.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AS IT MOVES INLAND.
SINCE RITA IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER MAKING
LANDFALL...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...26.2 N... 90.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 917 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB


$$


649 posted on 09/22/2005 7:48:38 PM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: Flyer
Ever heard of Dime Box?

That's a good one, but my personal favorite is...

Gunbarrel City, Texas

650 posted on 09/22/2005 7:49:13 PM PDT by handy (Forgive me this day, my daily typos...The Truth is not a Smear!)
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To: mhking
Hurricane Rita Advisory Number 22

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 22, 2005

 
...Extremely dangerous category four Hurricane Rita continues
west-northwestward toward the southwestern Louisiana and Upper
Texas coasts...

A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Port O'Connor Texas to Morgan
City Louisiana. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions
are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the southeastern coast of
Louisiana east of Morgan City to the mouth of the Pearl River
including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain....and
from south of Port O'Connor to Port Mansfield Texas.  A Tropical
Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected
within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

 
A tropical storm watch remains in effect from south of Port
Mansfield to Brownsville Texas...and for the northeastern coast of
Mexico from Rio San Fernando northward to the Rio Grande.
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Rita was located near
latitude 26.2 north... longitude 90.3 west or about 350 miles...
560 km... southeast of Galveston Texas and about 310 miles... 495
km...southeast of Cameron Louisiana.

 
Rita is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph...17 km/hr.  A
gradual turn toward the northwest is expected during the next 24
hours.  On this track...the core of Rita will be approaching the
southwest Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts late Friday.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph...220 km/hr...with higher
gusts.  Rita is an extremely dangerous category four hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale.  Some fluctuations in strength are
expected during the next 24 hours.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  80 miles...130 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 205 miles...335 km.  Any tropical storm force winds in the New
Orleans area are expected to be confined to a few squalls
associated with quickly moving rainbands.

 
The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
hurricane hunter aircraft was 917 mb...27.08 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 15 to 20 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be
expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.
Tides are currently running about 2 feet above normal along the
Louisiana...Mississippi and Alabama coasts in the areas affected by
Katrina. Tides in those areas will increase to 3 to 5 feet and be
accompanied by large waves...and residents there could experience
coastal flooding.

 
Rita is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12
inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches over
southeastern Texas and southwestern Louisiana as it moves inland. 
Since Rita is expected to slow down significantly after making
landfall...total accumulations in excess of 25 inches are
possible over the next several days over eastern Texas and western
Louisiana.  In addition...rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are
possible over southeastern Louisiana including metropolitan New
Orleans.

 
Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...26.2 N... 90.3 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 10 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...140 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 917 mb.

 
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 1 am CDT followed by the next complete advisory at 4 am
CDT.

 
Forecaster Knabb

651 posted on 09/22/2005 7:49:15 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: kcar

Nope - the last toll road ends south of the construction bottle-neck


652 posted on 09/22/2005 7:49:49 PM PDT by VRWCTexan (History has a long memory - but still repeats itself)
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To: sinkspur

Don't tell anyone that "cut and Chute" is a rodeo term not a wild west fight. LOL


653 posted on 09/22/2005 7:49:54 PM PDT by Texasforever
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To: pistola

GBC: Only town with the post office and gun store in the same building. About 3 miles down the road from me.


654 posted on 09/22/2005 7:50:10 PM PDT by John Jamieson (Hybrids are a highway around CAFE, that's all they're good for.)
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To: cspackler

Was that in Deanville?


655 posted on 09/22/2005 7:50:16 PM PDT by Rte66 (SW Houston - Meyerland)
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To: commish
Here in Alabama our funny town name is Flea Hop.

There's a "Crapo" and a "Waste Gate" on the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

656 posted on 09/22/2005 7:50:22 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: NCjim
Thanks Jim......I thought it might be something exotic. I thought Kentucky Burgoo was exotic till I found out what it was.
657 posted on 09/22/2005 7:50:23 PM PDT by BIGLOOK (I once opposed keelhauling but recently have come to my senses.)
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To: handy

Ever heard of Twisted Gun, West Virginia??

I've been there....

Thought I was going to get Black Lung from just the coal dust on the streets...


658 posted on 09/22/2005 7:50:54 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: Txsleuth

If the MSM keeps up with all this negative, Bush-bashing crap...I will give up MSM forever. I've had it. I think I've given myself an ulcer in the past month, it's upset me so much.

If they think Texas is doing a bad job evacuating over 1.5 million people, then the talking heads need to get out from behind their desks and microphones and GO DO IT THEMSELVES! They think they know so damn much!

Sorry for the rant........I feel somewhat better now.


659 posted on 09/22/2005 7:50:54 PM PDT by VirginiaMom (abortion is NEVER an option!)
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To: deport

72 hour warning. Can't have anything better than that in my opinion. And to have people cleared out nearly 24 hours before the storm is remarkable.

Yet, it seems the officials can't do anything right for the media. Come on, these guys are doing a fine job for what I see as an overwhelming task.

But, of course, I am in Ohio and didn't experience what occured today.


660 posted on 09/22/2005 7:51:04 PM PDT by nascaryankee
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