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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: Crawdad

LOL!


2,101 posted on 09/22/2005 1:22:51 PM PDT by Quilla
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To: NautiNurse; SE Mom

We'll find out who won and who stayed at Holiday Inn last night in about a half-hour. Full update from the NHC is scheduled for 4 pm CDT.


2,102 posted on 09/22/2005 1:23:16 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: floriduh voter
The TSA employees didn't show up for work in Texas

They are probably stuck in a traffic jam.

2,103 posted on 09/22/2005 1:23:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: Quilla

This looks like a good place for a



PLACEMARK.


2,104 posted on 09/22/2005 1:23:33 PM PDT by cgk (When the BIG ONE wipes out Hollywood can we call it Bush's Fault instead of the San Andreas Fault?)
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To: gpapa

How long until it stops reporting?

Most of the rest in that area all seem to be GONE..


2,105 posted on 09/22/2005 1:23:46 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: NautiNurse

The hurricane.


2,106 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:15 PM PDT by Humvee (Beliefs are more powerful than facts - Paulus Atreides)
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To: Quilla

The London papers with a guy on the scene blogging now say 17 hour drive to Dallas from Houston.


2,107 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:18 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: Types_with_Fist

Meanwhile in Port Arthur, a two day old post.

http://www.panews.com/articles/2005/09/22/news/03news.txt

===
A seawall built to protect city in Category 3 conditions
By Marilyn Tennissen-The News staff writer
Posted: 09/20/05 - 10:36:23 pm CDT

If Port Arthur were to sustain a direct hit by a hurricane, officials are confident in the city's seawall and drainage system.

"The Port Arthur seawall was built and designed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers against a Category 3 hurricane," Doug Wright, administrative supervisor of Drainage District 7, said. "It offers protection against a 14-foot storm surge and accompanying waves."

Wright said that although Port Arthur is not assuming a direct hit, DD7 is making all preparations as if the city were in the eye of the hurricane.
===


2,108 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:21 PM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: cgk

Agreed

PLACEMARK


2,109 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:28 PM PDT by null and void (I'm a patient and peaceful man. Threaten me or mine, and that changes. Then, I am a vengeful man.)
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To: queenkathy

I think OR did lose his temper with the smarmy worm, but when he started calling OR Billy I had to laugh my butt off!


2,110 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:30 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: cgk

FOX news still hyping the demise of Houston. The storm is obviously not going to hit them as a Cat 4 or 5. Storm track is now much further away from them.


2,111 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:34 PM PDT by silentknight
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To: sheikdetailfeather
I am taping Bastardi but I am confused. It sounded like he said the storm would loop back and go south in TX. But maybe not???

Some of the models are predicting the storm will stall over west-central Louisiana and then get pushed to the southwest by a building high-pressure ridge - in other words, back towards Houston.

Which could set up some Alison-style flooding.

Or maybe not.

Which is how the forecasting for this particular storm has gone.

2,112 posted on 09/22/2005 1:24:46 PM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: Twinkie

Yep!


2,113 posted on 09/22/2005 1:25:01 PM PDT by Howlin (Yeah, I'm a BushBot.....so what?)
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To: cgk

Right behind you.


2,114 posted on 09/22/2005 1:25:16 PM PDT by greyfoxx39
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To: gpapa

2,115 posted on 09/22/2005 1:25:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (The task before us is enormous, but so is the heart of America.)
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To: twigs
If officials in NO had listed to Bastardi for days before Katrina struck, they would not have been able to say they were surprised. He nailed it exactly.

The Friday morning before landfall, Bastardi had it hitting Florida, as did NHC. That was when the 12Z models all shifted radically west, when they came out about noon to 2PM (which I was posting on as it happened.)

Then Bastardi put out a special afternoon column because of the model shift calling for a NO hit, at 4PM I believe. At 5PM NHC shifted the track west, to MS I believe; and then finally to the vicnitiy of NO at 11PM.

Bastardi demonstrated no special skill or insight and wasn't particularly ahead of NHC. He was simply following the models around, which he does most of the time, despite his model-bashing and shtick that he's got some sort of special pattern recognition insight.

2,116 posted on 09/22/2005 1:26:34 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: sheikdetailfeather

It's going into Texas, but a high in Oklahoma may push it back into Texas.


2,117 posted on 09/22/2005 1:26:39 PM PDT by Howlin (Yeah, I'm a BushBot.....so what?)
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To: gpapa

That's 112 MPH Waves at 34 feet, IN THE GULF!

That will put them close to swamping many of the rigs, won't it?


2,118 posted on 09/22/2005 1:26:48 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: silentknight

cnn is blaming Bush. This is all due to NOLA experiences and what we all saw on t.v. The hype is from people who know what they have been hearing on ALL t.v. staions and radio for over a week. Would you not be fearful??????????


2,119 posted on 09/22/2005 1:27:14 PM PDT by JFC (West Texas flatlander)
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To: tcrlaf

last wave and solar radiation data at 3 pm cdt, 2000 gmt


2,120 posted on 09/22/2005 1:27:18 PM PDT by gpapa (Boost FR Traffic! Make FR your home page!)
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