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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: pageonetoo
I stumbled across this on some haters blog, but thought it was kinda funny just the same.


1,361 posted on 09/22/2005 10:57:02 AM PDT by Capn TrVth
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To: ekwd

I was born in Burlington!


1,362 posted on 09/22/2005 10:57:16 AM PDT by Howlin (Yeah, I'm a BushBot.....so what?)
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To: Lazamataz

Sometime late today I may be asking for your help on Saturday's Powerball numbers...:-)


1,363 posted on 09/22/2005 10:57:20 AM PDT by Types_with_Fist (I'm on FReep so often that when I read an article at another site I scroll down for the comments.)
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To: Carolinamom
There was a woman on the phone to local Houston television a few moments ago. They left League City (southeast side of Houston near Galveston Bay) at 4 pm yesterday.

They just now got onto 290 from the Beltway now.

In other words, they've made approximately 35 miles in 20 hours, they're still in Houston, and 290 is the same sort of parking lot.

It's the same story everywhere, except that people are running out of gas and blocking the road.

And there's no gas to be found. The Governor has asked the Air Force if they can fly some in, but I don't know how you distribute it.

And more good news from Houston. The delay at Hobby airport is many hours long because workers called in "sick" or just didn't show up at all. And there's no room in ANY parking lot. You either take a taxi to the airport or you abandon your car in a bad neighborhood and walk to the airport.

1,364 posted on 09/22/2005 10:57:44 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: ekwd

BTW, Ophelia was a CAT 1, almost a CAT 2.

And I wasn't comparing them; I was making the point that we've been dealing with them for YEARS wthout raping, pillaging, and murdering.


1,365 posted on 09/22/2005 10:58:51 AM PDT by Howlin (Yeah, I'm a BushBot.....so what?)
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To: HoustonCurmudgeon; Flyer; humblegunner; Eaker; Dog Gone; kassie

I'm sort of with HC on this one . . . doesn't seem like there's as much to worry about, now that she's turning east and we won't catch the dirty side.

So I'm 90% sure we're staying. DG, the invitation stands!

BTW, just got back from five - yes, five - grocery stores. Have $150 in canned food, but NO bread. So the PB&J will go on Wheat Thins!


1,366 posted on 09/22/2005 10:58:51 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . sorta near where the Beltway and I-10 have that hideous intersection)
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To: Xenalyte

000
WTNT33 KNHC 221735
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT THU SEP 22 2005

...RITA WEAKENS A LITTLE FURTHER...REMAINS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO MORGAN
CITY LOUISIANA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PORT
O'CONNOR TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF
LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...FROM SOUTH OF
PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE TEXAS...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE RIO GRANDE.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT 435 MILES...700
KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 430 MILES...695 KM...
SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS.

DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT RITA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE WAS 915 MB...27.01 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 2 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE
MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COASTS IN THE AREAS AFFECTED BY KATRINA.
TIDES IN THOSE AREAS WILL INCREASE UP TO 3 TO 4 FEET AND BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...AND RESIDENTS THERE COULD EXPERIENCE
SOME COASTAL FLOODING.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM 15
INCH TOTAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF RITA PARTICULARLY OVER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS. BASED ON THE FORECAST TRACK...RAINFALL
TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE AFTER RITA MOVES INLAND.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...25.5 N... 89.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...915 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA


1,367 posted on 09/22/2005 10:59:24 AM PDT by frankjr
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To: frankjr
Did you see the weather girl on TWC in Galveston with that tight grey t-shirt? I can't wait until it starts to rain.

Do you have a screen shot? Was it Stephanie Abrams?

Cheers!

Prayers for those trying to evacuate!

1,368 posted on 09/22/2005 10:59:57 AM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: frankjr; NautiNurse

I'm not enough of a weather geek to know what that's all about - can someone knowledgeable break it down? Help a sister out! ;)


1,369 posted on 09/22/2005 11:00:16 AM PDT by Xenalyte (West Houston . . . sorta near where the Beltway and I-10 have that hideous intersection)
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To: dawn53
last year it seemed like the Panhandle was the magnet and every storm just migrated there.

Actually, if there was any magnet last year, it would have to be the Orlando area. Charley, Frances, Jeanne and Ivan's return all crisscrossed there.

1,370 posted on 09/22/2005 11:00:37 AM PDT by pgyanke (A government big enough to give you everything you want is big enough to take everything you have.)
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To: Carolinamom

I did that once with my cousins, neices, nephews, aunts and uncles. It isn't fun but sometimes you make do with what you have. BTW, I don't resent or blame people who have big cards/vans/SUV's.


1,371 posted on 09/22/2005 11:00:55 AM PDT by ekwd (Murphy's Law Has Not Been Repealed)
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To: grey_whiskers

"Was it Stephanie Abrams?"

That was the name. I couldn't see her face too well, she had a hat on.


1,372 posted on 09/22/2005 11:01:19 AM PDT by frankjr
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To: frankjr
Trust me, I have been exposed to weather for over 40 years

I've got you beat with 43 years, and I haven't a clue what is going to happen-- whatever happens, happens.

1,373 posted on 09/22/2005 11:01:29 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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To: abb

Drink


1,374 posted on 09/22/2005 11:02:03 AM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: steveegg
I sincerely hope more pay attention to the second sentence fragment of the advisory than the first....lower Cat 4 is still an F2 tornado.
1,375 posted on 09/22/2005 11:02:56 AM PDT by WoodstockCat (General Honore: "The storm gets a vote... We're not stuck on stupid.")
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To: DallasMike
As of midday, all lanes of I-45 were going to be turned northbound for an 80-mile stretch stretch between Houston and Buffalo,

A little late, and at this point they probably should have done it all the way to I-20.

1,376 posted on 09/22/2005 11:03:07 AM PDT by PAR35
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To: norton

A break.. are you kidding.. we are news junkies... this feeds our addiction.... we are multi-taskers with 3 channels on the coverage.... and headphones on..

Where is the 12 step help?


1,377 posted on 09/22/2005 11:03:19 AM PDT by JFC (West Texas flatlander)
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To: tx_eggman; All

Please don't ping me with this kind of thing.

Just too much going on, ok?

Before I exit, keep in mind that as I type this, Dean and the rest of the DNC strategists are plotting their next attack.

Likely targets include the national Weather Service for an inaccurate early call, the NHC, the WSR-88D (Nexrad radar) program, and the Texas contraflow system.

Have your replies ready and shut 'em down early.

Be back around dinner time.


1,378 posted on 09/22/2005 11:03:29 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: Howlin

My family lived on East Davis Street for almost 50 years.


1,379 posted on 09/22/2005 11:03:33 AM PDT by ekwd (Murphy's Law Has Not Been Repealed)
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To: Twinkie
Keep yourself a little bowl of chow-chow separate.

Poodle also adds a nice flavor to rice dishes.

1,380 posted on 09/22/2005 11:03:48 AM PDT by RobFromGa (Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran-- what are we waiting for?)
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