Posted on 09/11/2005 7:51:28 AM PDT by new yorker 77
Final Topline Results (9/10/05)
N = 1,009 national adults, 18 and over
Margin of error: plus or minus 4
Interviewing dates: September 8-9, 2005
SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS/
SUBGROUPS:
901 Registered voters (plus or minus 4)
SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR KEY SUBGROUPS:
300 Republicans (plus or minus 7)
334 Democrats (plus or minus 6)
331 Independents (plus or minus 6)
------------------------------------
793 Whites (plus or minus 4)
195 Non-whites (plus or minus 8)
THIS INFORMATION CAN NOT BE FOUND ON THE MSNBC SITE. THEY DO NOT PROVIDE A LINK IN THEIR NEWSWEEK SECTION AND NOW WE KNOW WHY.
Total Sample - 1,009 Registered Voters - 901
Therefore, 108 polled are not registered to vote. That means 11% of the people polled are not registered to vote.
Also, 40% of registered voters will not vote.
Therefore, 361 of the 901 registered voters sampled will NEVER vote.
This means only 540 of the 1,009 people polled will vote.
This means 53.5% of the people polled will vote, 46.5% of the people polled will NEVER vote.
-----------------------------
Now let's look at party affiliation:
Republicans - 300
Democrats - 334
Independents - 331
Other - 44
---------------------
Republicans - 29.7%
Democrats - 33.1%
Independents - 32.8%
Other - 4.4%
---------------------
Newsweek undersamples Republicans. 29% is 8 points lower than how many Republicans voted in 2004.
Much like the CBS poll, Newsweek buries people who lean Democrat in the Independent and Other columns. A useful trick for pollsters who bury their oversampling.
Today, Rasmussen has President Bush at a 50% approval among 'likely voters' and a 47% approval among 'national adults'.
FAKE POLLS DO NOT TRANSLATE INTO REAL VOTERS!!!!!!!
I meant to say 1,009 national adults.
Only 901 are registered voters.
Thank you very much for posting this. I have yet to be polled by any of these, even during election season...and with all the polls they've run, each person in the US, heck the world, could have participated in at least one of them. And THAT is why I don't bother listening to them.
WOW! So that's how they generate all their nonsense that never seems to ring true. What a scam!
Newsweek is also saying the hurricane "delay" was Bush's fault because Bush should have sent the army in under Rumsfeld, the person Bush most relies upon. This is the same Rumsfeld they all said is a total screw up who should resign. Saw Newsweek "reporter" Adam something reach this conclusion on MSNBC this morning.
My guess is that these pollsters still play with dolls and toy soldiers. Mostly dolls though.
This is bigger than just the FAKE POLL itself.
The FAKE POLL justifies the biased news coverage.
The FAKE POLL gives cover to reporters who say, "The American People think .... According to the Poll ...."
It is part of the propaganda structure of the MSM.
The MSNBC website does not have this data.
I went to Yahoo.
I did a News Search for 'Newsweek Poll'.
That is how I got the polling sample.
Is anyone surprised? I ALWAYS assume a bias against Republican in ANY poll conducted by the MSM.
Well, toy soldiers are attracted to dolls. Mostly the one who go into toy bars, though.
;-)
And the 33% who are registered Democrats - that's how much lower than the number of Democrats who voted in 2004? You might want to examine both sides of the equation before jumping to too many conclusions. It's to be expected that registered members of both parties are more likely to vote in an election than unenrolled voters.
When the dnc talking heads talk about polls always tell them this
EXIT POLLS SAY KERRY NEXT PRESIDENT NOTTTTTTTTTTT
You are clueless.
Independents who LEAN DEMOCRAT are buried in the Indpenedent column.
CBS does the same.
Enjoy TRUTH.
Does it bother anybody that so many polls, that at least claim to be ramdom smaples, have Reps polling 29-30 %? Could Rep party ID have sunk that much? Let's be objective about this. I recall when Rasmusssen was ripped on this board.
These fake polls or push-opinion polls worked well in the past - Problem for the MSM is they are working less and less anymore - More and more people now know these polls are junk and tweaked for the result the MSM want - (which allows them to run "news" stories about) -
And the fact is these polls are now being written for the people conducting them (more than anything else) - Which is the MSM - They want to believe it so much, that they go out and tweak polls until they are meaningless in terms of reality....but nonetheless they at least feel good about looking at the results of their "fake" poll.
The MSM (and Democrat Party) are imploding before our eyes - They know the polls are junk, they know the push polling method doesn't work anymore, yet they still go ahead and waste all their energies producing them.....just for the few minutes of false gratification it brings them.
In the mean time President GWB just continues to lead and move the Country in the correct course.
A sidenote I would suggest Rasmussen (old POA) has a few years to go (with shown results) before one can take his polls seriously -
And independents who lean Republican are...what? Like I said, look at both sides of the equation if you want to be taken seriously.
And for extra credit, get a copy of the literal questions.
Published polls are propaganda. The decaying Legacy Media
loves them because they can treat them as (invented) news,
and mold the results to support their agendas.
Sometimes they aren't even really polls designed to
discover opinion, but instead are "push polls" intended
to create opinion. And we won't even talk about polls
that include solicitations for contributions.
There is agenda in deciding to run a poll.
There is agenda in choosing the topic.
There is agenda in scripting the questions.
There is agenda in selecting the subjects.
There is agenda in conducting the survey.
There is agenda in processing the data.
There is agenda in reporting the results.
"Real" polls are run by people who intend to act quietly
on the results, rather than for publication.
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