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Posted on 09/08/2005 1:46:25 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Ophelia is churning off the Florida Atlantic coast.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track Graphics, Satellite
Ophelia Track Forecast Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Melbourne FL Long Range Radar Loop
Melbourne Experimental Radar may experience delays or outages
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Ophelia Wind Field Graphic
Additional Resources:
Central Florida Hurricane Center
News4Jax.com
Hurricane City
Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
My watch says 16:13, and it's set for CDT. Drink 'em if you got 'em.
The models are worthless at the moment. The only thing they agree on is that it won't immediately move west into Florida.
Surf's up off the Florida/Georgia coast.
"Just sittin' and feedin'."
Kind of like my brother-in-law.
The chick on Fox says Ophelia can do the loopty loop. Didn't one do that last year?
We're getting drenched here in the Titusville/Merritt Island/Cocoa Beach area.
Benjamin Franklin noted this back in the 18th century. He devised a parlor trick where he dipped his cane (that contained an amount of oil in it) into turbulent water and calmed it.
<><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><> Oil on troubled waters may stop hurricanes
22:00 25 July 2005
NewScientist.com news service
Zeeya Merali
Sailors who traditionally dumped barrels of oil into the sea to calm stormy waters may have been on to something, a new study suggests. The old practice reduces wind speeds in tropical hurricanes by damping ocean spray, according to a new mathematical “sandwich model”.
As hurricane winds kick up ocean waves, large water droplets become suspended in the air. This cloud of spray can be treated mathematically as a third fluid sandwiched between the air and sea. “Our calculations show that drops in the spray decrease turbulence and reduce friction, allowing for far greater wind speeds – sometimes eight times as much,” explains researcher Alexandre Chorin at the University of California at Berkeley, US.
He believes the findings shed light on an age-old sea ritual. “Ancient mariners poured oil on troubled waters – hence the expression – but it was never very clear what this accomplished,” says Chorin. Since oil inhibits the formation of drops, Chorin thinks the strategy would have increased the drag in the air and successfully decreased the intensity of the squalls.
Preventing hurricanes
The researchers suggest that, during a tropical storm, aeroplanes could deliver harmless surfactants to the ocean surface – reducing surface tension in water and stopping droplets from forming – perhaps preventing a hurricane developing.
http://www.newscientist.com/article.ns?id=dn7726&feedId=online-news_rss091
Thank you for all that you have done.
I'll bet you are. Please keep us posted of local storm conditions.
If only some of that rain would make its way up to Wisconsin; we've got a drought going on here.
"She's is hanging out worse than a braless 70 yr old wearing a mini-skirt!"
That sounds rather Ratherite if ya know what I mean!
(and I think that's just the way you meant it,LOL!)
I hope your bil isn't on the ping list.
Unfortunately, I think she's sitting right on top of the Gulf Stream - so I'm glad she hasn't strengthened any more than she has.
The Savannah meteorologists were saying last night she was just going to go out to see, and they weren't mentioning the looping possibility at all....
Wow, that's really bad. One reason I don't watch my local TV mets at all.
NHC has never once forecast the storm to simply head out to sea and the overwhelming consensus of the model guidance has always been some sort of landfall eventually...may take a while, though.
That's nothing; look at the models. One's got this thing looping all the around Florida, another has this thing cutting across into northern Florida and Georgia, the others have variations on the official fish hook.
I pray that she hooks out to sea and stays there (and if she doesn't, we rename her Hurricane Oprah :-)
I am right on the coast, the ocean is quite churned up and angry, wind is blowing about 40 mph, with higher gusts.
Ophelia is trapped between a high-pressure ridge over the Southeast U.S. and the Hurricane Nate system to the east. Something'll break sooner or later, and then she'll get her groove on..
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