Agreed. Let's hope it is less.
Storm killed in the hundreds in mississippi from the storm surge, storm surge was brutal in parts of southeastern louisiana.
In New Orleans parish on tuesday some of the flooding was attack level so people could have drowned. It was night time too which didn't help.
Some elderly disabled died at the superdome and convention center. There have been a lot of reports of floating bodies probably from the initial flooding.
I would think the number would be less than 9/11 but you know the state officials in louisiana will be counting every death even if they just died from old age to bring the number higher.
It's really hard to assess what is true and what isn't. It's like the media is sitting on any good news. Disgusting.
I agree that the 10,000 number is a bit far-fetched. I'd be suprised if the number of dead in New Orleans surpassed 500.
The Mayor is hysterically predicting there will be 10,000, which is repeated over and over in the media
It's going to go over the 250 mark , sad to say. There is a report of one nursing home where 80 died.
Well, you are in for a big surprise.
It's just that, hysteria hoping to feed upon itself, to gain national sympathy for himself (who by all accounts of his own words is an incometent simp) and stoke nationwide hatred of Bush.
350,000 homes were flooded in N.O. Accounts from suvivors reported water rising to roof level in a few minutes barely having a chance to exit the house with some not making it. Other parts of town the water did rise slowly. Deathcount sadly will be very high just in N.O. and many thousands more in Mississippi.
Speculation via a vanity is a waste of time.
That was a great post - one I hope is true. I was thinking the same thing myself today, and you've articulated it to a tee. The only zones of large amounts of dead people should be in the 9th ward which I think did have heavy flooding during the hurricane, and areas immediately adjacent to where breaks occurred, and where the water got deep fast. Most houses in NOLA, even in poorer areas - are built with walkways and basements that position the 1st floor several feet above street level. Even if it began flooding, most people should have had some time to do something other than sit and wait to drown. The idea of climbing into your 105 degree attic and sitting there for days is likewise a bit bizarro to me - I mean why wouldn't you at least try swimming out of there to climb on the roof? Sitting and waiting for help to hack through your roof or wade through your flooded house is the last thing most people would do.
I hope we are right - and the toll ends up in the hundreds and not thousands.
Last I heard, it was 71 in the city of New Orleans. I pray that it is as few as possible.
7,500+
And also predicting CIA hit teams are being dispatched to take him out. NUTJOB! FLOOD-INDUCED DELUSION!
The count in New Orleans according to CNN is 71 at the moment.
I've thought the same thing. I believe it is very irresponsible (but not surprising) for the mayor to just throw a number out based on nothing. This man just keeps showing what a true failure he is.
The figure of 10 thousand was my initial estimate. Now I think it is too low.
Initially my death estimates for the tsunami were very close to what they ended up being.
I have a nose for death.
I am guessing 10 to 20 thousand with final figures not known every
I don't know how they're coming up with the figure...my husband agrees with you that it will be far less than 10,000.
However, if you consider that many of the nursing homes were abandoned by the staff and now they are finding older people who have died, the people from hospitals that died during or after evacuation, the people that died in the airport after they were evacuated, etc. they may reach into the thousands.
I think the casualty figures will include all those that died in any storm related situation, like evacuation, traffic accidents, etc.
Also, to me it's unclear if they'll list deaths by individual parishes or clump the death toll from all the parishes together.
I did read a first hand count of some guy that had gone back into town to get his stuff and had seen 15 floating bodies and heard accounts on TV of people that lived close to the 17th Street levee break, and in their case flooding was quick and dramatic and people drowned.
Cogent analysis..I feel the number will be in the thousands. NOLA has a huge homeless underclass..BTW..you are absolutely correct that initial predictions ALWAYS are way off. In the day or so after 9/11, we had endless talk of 30,000 dead..
The mayor is hysterical.
That being said, I don't know whether his 10,000 figure includes surrounding parishes.