That is clear, because you were somewhat wrong in your assessment. The wind damage would have been worse if this had hit straight on or to the west, but the real danger is the catastrophic overtopping of the levees by wind driven lake storm surge from the north and west filling the bowl to 15-25' deep with floodwaters. So far we don't know if that has/will take place, but the worst case for that, according to the LSU engineer who modelled and predicted this, is the eye passing just to the east of the city. Right now it may or may not be far enough east to avoid that, we just don't know.