Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[CalRepublican]

Amazing slideshow here:

http://news.yahoo.com/photo/050829/480/laeg10408290634&g=events/ts/080304tropicalweathe;_ylt=AnKWjjtgYGLxroSNadLoA_9H2ocA;_ylu=X3oDMTA3bGk2OHYzBHNlYwN0bXA-

[onyx]

I'll tell you some funny stories one of these days.

[adam_az]

Louisiana Nutria Recipe

Chef Philippe Parola Commandeur des Cordon Bleu de France
Chef Parola Enterprises: Jackson, LA www.chef-parola.com
[now http://www.chefparolaconsulting.com/ -webmaster]

Heart Healthy "Crock-Pot" Nutria

2 hind saddle portions of nutria meat 1 tomato, cut in big wedges 2 carrots, sliced thin 1/2 cup white wine 2 teaspoons chopped garlic 1 cup demi glace (optional)

1 small onion, sliced thin 2 potatoes, sliced thin Brussel sprouts 1 cup water salt and pepper to taste

Layer onion, tomato, potatoes, carrots and Brussel sprouts in crock pot. Season nutria with salt, pepper and garlic to taste and place nutria over vegetables. Add wine and water, set crock pot on low and let cook until meat is tender. Cook for approximately 4 to 6 hours. Garnish with vegetables and demi glace (4 servings).

[Howlin]

It's not about ME; it's about how these threads run. During slow times or down times, we talk about a lot of stuff.

[onyx]

Nite mpls.

[spunkets]

"talking about the toxic soup on C2C."

Chem plant wreckage? What's C2C?

[eastforker]

Good analogy by reporter, the differance between a cat 5 and a cat 4 for is like getting hit by a Mack truck instead of a freight train.

[exhaustedmomma]

In all honesty, most people in these hurricane places (like me) keep stuff --- like more than 3 days worth of food, etc. We have more than that ready to grab and run for each family member. A lot of soft pack stuff is available.

[rdl6989]

http://www.nola.com/rpm/paradecam/paradecam.rpm

Thanks very much! I had to tinker for a minute but I finally got it to work.

[Teri0811]

"Same here! We stepped off the plane and it was like a wet blanket. Took the kids on a swamp boat ride and the guy said to look out for snakes in the trees. That did it for me -- not living around that kind of nature! :)"

The bugs did it for me. I drove through on my way to NM...never again. Some of those suckers were bigger than my ex. One got stuck in my windshield wiper...he stayed there for 2 weeks, I wasn't touchin that thing.

[Cboldt]

C2C -> Coast to (2) Coast

[Windcatcher]

Yikes. Cloud bands as far as WV, and that's only as far as the photo shows.

[onyx]

I'm night-owled out right now. GOOD seeing you.

Nite (for a while) everybody.

[Peach]

From #1736 update:

Rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches...are possible along the path of Katrina across the Gulf Coast and the Tennessee Valley.

When Katrina was a Category 1, parts of southern Florida got 18 inches, I thought. And the storm moved over much more quickly than it will move over NO.

[silentknight]

NEW RADAR

http://www5.wright-weather.com/bb/showthread.php?s=&postid=452596#post452596


About to hit Louisiana.

[BurbankKarl]

Coast to Coast AM...

They were talking about if the petroleum crackers and other refineries are destroyed, and the ensuing stuff going into the lakes and into the bowl of N.O., along with all the above ground graves mixing in with all of it.

[NautiNurse]

I posted this earlier in this seventh thread...seems worth repeating as we gear up for what appears to be a horrific day ahead.
-------------------------------------------------------

We are all very tired and stressed at this point. Honestly, my dedication to these threads is to provide support to the FReepers who may be in harm's path. That is #1, #2, and #3 on the list of priorities.

Speaking with way too much hurricane experience...once the rush to finish hurricane preparation is complete, there is little else to do but wait, FReep, and watch the radar blip around hour after hour until the electricity goes out. Talking about red beans and rice and Hershey's kisses are, frankly, necessary.

[adam_az]

" Without that I think you would have serious problems."

Soylent Green.

Or they could catch a Nutria as it floats by, and eat the sucker.

[PAR35]

Ft. Polk is 40 miles west of Alexandria.

Yes, but it is my recollection that most of the facilities are on the other side of the base, thus my reference to it being at Leesville. I don't think it would be very safe to put them in tents in the piney woods until after the storm passes.

[Diddle E. Squat]

I wonder, if it can just shift a little more east, and drop down a little more in intensity(which IIUC it should do a bit as it pulls even with with NO, as more of the large hurricane gets over land)perhaps the surge might end up being less and avoid the massive overtopping of the levees. The LSU engineer who did the studies said that if the eye of a Cat 5 came within 30 miles of the city it would cause the worst case storm surge. Cat 4 is bad, but a reduction in winds would reduce theat radius (though of course those distances are just imprecise theoretical estimates.)

I have no idea as to how accurate or likely that is, but at least there is still something to hope for. The far northeast side of the city may not be able to avoid it, but there are levees separating it from the central city that is further west. Right now the official track is slightly to the east of NO. This is the 11pm eastern path:

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=z&m=12

and the 3am eastern update said that it is now moving northward. So perhaps the actual path will be east of that projected line, and maybe even start on a NNE course, which would also help. Will it be enough?