Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin conceded that as many as 100,000 inner-city residents didn't have the means to leave and an untold number of tourists were stranded by the closing of the airport. At this hour, people are still filing into the Superdome after security screening for weapons and contraband. National Guard have brought in 360,000 MRE (meals ready to eat) to feed the estimated 30,000 storm refugees in the Superdome.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/

1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT

Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast

.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[rwfromkansas]

what happened to the easternuswx forum?

[Gabz]

Go get some sleep.....you've earned more than just a 'cat nap'

[RDTF]

It begins. I think that means there is one sighted

[gpapa]

Missed you on the last thread
BURL1
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=burl1
0200 GMT on 08/29/2005
Wind Direction (WDIR): ENE ( 60 deg true )
Wind Speed (WSPD): 60 kts
Wind Gust (GST): 78 kts
Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.21 in
Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.17 in ( Falling Rapidly )
Air Temperature (ATMP): 80.8 °F
[no update since 9pm cdt]

[Dark Glasses and Corncob Pipe]

q = c GC V (2)

Comment: Per the equation for wind pressure, Katrina's strength is 4 times greater at 160 mph than it was when it hit Florida at 80 mph (not "twice as strong" as a Fox reporter said earlier this morning...note the "wind velocity squared" term.)

[bonfire]

May as well stay up with the rest of us!

[Sonar5]

Thank you for all the hard work you folks do.

[SouthTexas]

Prayers for all in the Southland and to all a good night.

[TypeZoNegative]

So when are all the other nations of the world going to help us? We helped them when their countries had tsunamis, earthquakes and hurricanes.

[GOP_Proud]

< ... you and me both, but my butt seems to be epoxied to this chair, ya know ? >

Me too. I've been glued here nearly from the beginning. I really need to go to bed, but I just feel so helpless. I want to be here.

[pax_et_bonum]

It is a well known fact,,any disaster discussion on FR is only done with recipes sprinkled in. I think in times of high tension, we turn to comfort recipes. Like chicken and dumplin's or lemon meringue pie or banana pudding with vanilla wafers. Pretty soon we will discuss grandma's jello molds. Then we will all go to bed.

It's a great stress-relief, isn't it?

Sort of like laughing at innocent jokes and family stories at funerals... it's healthy to laugh a little through the worry or the tears.

[jeffers]

The new (2200) +12 and + 24 hour estimated positions indicate the eye's center will pass over Port Sulphur, and pass 4.7 miles due east of Picayune. Closest point of approach to the downtown New Orleans center is 25.9 miles east of the city.

The 1600 +12 and +24 hour plots indicated a closest point of approach of 12.1 miles east of the city.

The 2200 indicated position of the eye's center shows either no indication or possibly a slight indication of a turn to the north. The 1826 plot was taken during a wobble to the east, and shouldn't be used for a course track by itself. The average of the 1255, 1600, 1826, and 2200 plots indicate landfall of the eye's center between Caillou and Moncleuse Bays.

[Coldwater Creek]

Someone was complaining about the recipes on the last thread, but us folks that have loved ones in the path need a little sidebar once in a while to relieve the pressure.

[easonc52]

Yowser--I am tired enough to think that was directed at me...

Thanks for keeping up the posts.

My main reason to keep watching is because my 3 aging aunts live in Hattiesburg, MS, and it looks like this time it may affect them.

I hope that the worse case scenario never happens to anybody.

[mhking]

Carl Arredondo - WWL-TV: Rotation around hurricane is increasing; tornadoes and severe thunderstorms being spun off more rapidly.

[Strategerist]

There is the potential of a tidal wave from that volcano in the Canary Islands that would devastate the entire east coast sometime in the next x number of centuries.

The majority of the tsunami research community has debunked this; avalanche tsunamis create jumbled waveforms that don't propagate thousands of miles like quake tsunamis.

However, I agree with you in the sense that people should take a good look at the more extreme natural disasters in their area.

However there's been an overfocus on truly exceedingly rare disasters like this La Palma thing, or Yellowstone Caldera blowing that 1) are so rare the chance of it happening in our lifetime is microscopic and 2) there's no evidence that they're even remotely impending.

What really needs to be looked at and publicized is realistic stuff like a 7.5 quake on the Hayward Fault in Oakland/Berkeley, a quake of the same size on the Salt Lake City section of the Wasatch fault (which due to the city dropping would likely permanently submerge most of the city under the lake), a major lahar heading down Mt. Rainier into the populated suburbs, etc. etc.

[RightWhale]

There is wind. Some of the webcams are rocking and rolling.

[Peach]

Thank you for taking the time to explain things. Sometimes I listen to the weathermen and they're talking Greek while you talk English. LOL