Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI

NOAA - NHC ^ | 28 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Torie]

25 feet surges at the mouth of the Missisippi as we speak. 50 feet 25 miles out from that.

[topher]

Agreed... Should not have posted what I did...

[lmavk]

Has anyone seen a Shep report lately?

[rit]

HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
0300Z MON AUG 29 2005

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 904 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.

[TheForceOfOne]

I'm not sure I understand the question, 901 MB would be stronger than 904 MB.

[Reborn]

If you find a thread that is more fact and less yak will you ping me to it, please.

Me too. ;-)

[txdoda]

praying for your family & all those in the path of this storm

[Arizona Carolyn]

MSNBC just said they think its shifted 20 miles to the East.

[bannie]

From what my uneducated self understands, Shep couldn't be in a WORSE place.

What is he thinking?

[RDTF]

Did they just show on Fox it iwll be down to a cat4 when hits land?

[Torie]

Futures for oil are up to 70 bucks a barrel.

[sageb1]

"What? No celery? [g]"

But...but...celery goes into everything! lol!

[andie74]

I guess we can all take comfort that it was green beans and not creamed corn.

*chuckle*

OR canned peas...

DH thinks that Durkee came up with the recipe to sell canned fried onions. Did you know that it is the state casserole of Indiana? Anyone can bring one to a church dinner and consider their offering acceptable. (shudder)

[tiki]

I read the reply you responded to and though you have a problem with it I remember Sodom and Gomorrah. You may not believe that the Wrath of God would come down to punish sinners but many do and it is their prerogative to believe that. Remember, this is America and there is freedom of religion whether you agree with it or not.

[mhking]

Per WWL-TV: Eyewall replacement cycle underway; if it completes the cycle while over open water, it could intensify even more before landfall.

[Strategerist]

Unfortunately, there have been reports that this may be in progress already... which would be completed prior to landfall.

It's physically impossible for Katrina to complete an eyewall replacement cycle before landfall. It's not nearly enough time. Like I said before, for reasons mysterious to me people have this incredibly wrong notion of how long it takes for an eyewall replacement; it's on the order of 18 hours.

[samiam1972]

Creamed corn is so ick! However, I do have a really great recipe for a corn casserole that tastes like dessert. It's the only time I buy creamed corn!

[Blogger]

That would be a good thing.

[Darnright]

I came across an account that the last bar in the French Quarter closed at 6:00 pm:

Party's over in the French Quarter
It takes a mean, mean storm to shut down the hurricane party at Molly’s at the Market, but Katrina did it, at about 6 p.m. Sunday.
The French Quarter bar, notorious for staying open during hurricanes despite dire warnings and curfew calls, was the last in the French Quarter to close, said Jim Monaghan, Jr., owner of the bar at the corner of Ursulines and Decatur streets.
“I thought about it long and hard,” he said. “But I don’t want 100 people in here if something happens.”
In the past, the bar has remained open and usually chock full of regulars defying the storm and soothing their nerves with drink.
“We would have stuck it out if it was a category two or three, but there’s 175 mph winds out there, and I don’t want to be liable if somebody does something stupid in here tonight,” Monaghan said. “And there’s a bunch of drunks wandering around here.”
At nearby Cafe Lafitte, Tip Andrews knew it was time to leave when he saw the green shutters on the mustard-colored building close.
“When they close, you KNOW it’s bad,” the Bourbon Street resident said Sunday as he took his two dogs, Gigi and Dijon, for a last walk before heading north. “They NEVER board up.”
The sickly sweet “hurricane” punch drinks that normally flow right up until landfall were nowhere to be seen as city workers did a last sweep of spent plastic cups and party debris. Purple, green and gold balloons fluttered forlornly on gas lamps in front of shuttered bars in the growing afternoon breeze.
“Where’s everybody going?” Edward Heyman shouted along an empty street. “It’s just a little storm.”
But despite his bravado, Heyman was leaving, too.
(additional reporting by The Associated Press)

[Hand em their arse]

One of the problems unfortunately, is when you bang out "Fox News Alerts" every time Cindy Sheehan passes gas, you DO have to show a different emphasis regarding something as serious as this is, in order to relay the importance of it...