Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part V

NHC - NOAA ^ | 28 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.

Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:

http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518

Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[Figment]

"I didn't think of....all the poisonous

snakes will go to high ground"


Not just snakes. Fireants form a floating ball around the queen in floods and float till they reach dry ground.

[BurbankKarl]

The oystercam has been looted.

As for CH6....I took a look at their "new station" doesnt look too windsafe to me.

[firewalk]

.

[spectre]

Good reply. Thanks :(

[snowsislander]

Combining the possible effects of this storm with the flooding that just occurred in Europe, the insurance and re-insurance businesses may be seeing largish draws on their reserves.

[Rainmist]

Anytime there is a possibility that a hurricane is heading our way, we leave. Period. Fools who think that they can ride them out are just that - fools. People have to take it upon themselves to leave even before any evacuations are called for. IMO, any storm Cat 3 or higher we just go ahead and leave BEFORE we are told to. God bless those people.

[sonsofliberty2000]

Posted earlier on my blog:

http://www.nickqueen.com/archives/114516.php

[jeffers]

The vapor chart shows her punching into drier air. With the edges already over land this might be as strong as it gets.

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/east/latest_eastwv.jpg

No guarantees, just something to hope for.

[nwctwx]

At current speed, in 12-15 hours.

[flutters]

Please no Christy Lane...please no.

LOL That struck my funny bone. Laughter through tears are the best kind.

[pax_et_bonum]

dont be fooled by the slight decrease on winds was 166knots at flight level now "only" 160(184MH)...the pressure is still dropping rather fast..it ispossible once it levels off winds will be 185 MPH at the surface...and over 200 at flight level.. its picking up speed....will hit way earlier then they exected yesterday

I was wondering about that - thanks!

(Glad to see you back.)

[tet68]

I lived there for a while in the early 70s.
We used to go out to the paddocks of the racetrack
out Elysian Fields and pick mushrooms, but that's
another story.

[SamAdams76]

I can't even imagine 90 degree water. Up here in New England, the water temp is 60-63 degrees off Hampton Beach, NH. I've been swimming there the past four weeks and I never remember water so warm up in these parts. Ninety degrees would be like swimming in my bathtub!

[mjwise]

Max,

Please read the threads. This has been repeatedly addressed already -- short answer YES that is a real message from NOLA NWS office and while it describes the worst-case scenario, the chances of that coming to fruition are disturbingly high.

[MrNatural]

Spiff - Thanks very much for the Google Earth links and info - it is amazing -

[roses of sharon]

We got stuck in Emily a Cat 4/5, in the Yucatan in July, the morning of the storm the lobby had flute and guitar players, for the first time all week.

We asked them to stop, it was eerie.

And the longest day, waiting for it to hit. A nightmare.

[tomkat]

That horn in the French Quarter was playing Amazing Grace

  :-( ` ` `

[topher]

Yes, the roof could very well collapse or be ripped off. But there's no 100% safe place. There hasn't been a structure built that can withstand Nature at her worst, but there's hope. Better to be on a yacht than a pirogue, better to be in the Superdome than stuck in a riverfront house. There is a potential for great loss of life inside the Superdome and outside of it.

I remember walking in Galveston, Texas, reading some plaques about Hurricanes. A couple of Churches have withstood a number of Hurricanes there (with no damage).

It is my personal belief in God that God can intervene. And there are stories from World War II that I can cite.

One is the story about the Jesuits who got nuked in Hiroshima. They all lived to a very old age -- despite about 1/2 of them being within a mile of ground zero.

They also stayed in the harmful environment of radiation for months afterward helping people.

Scientists examined them at the time (1940's) and could not figure out why they did not suffer the awful effects of radiation poisoning.

The coastal animals were seen flewing last night. Someone up there was herding His animals to safety. Turning to a Good Shepherd at this time might be advisable...

[debg]

Florida death count is at 9 now.

[saquin]

what time is this thing supposed to hit

Early morning, 2-5am is what I heard.