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Live Thread - Hurricane Katrina, Part IV (Update: Now a Category 5 )
NOAA - NHC ^ | 27 August 2005 | NOAA - NHC

Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Buoy Data Florida

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:


WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; tropical; weather
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To: mware

Do you mean Shrove Tuesday?


1,161 posted on 08/28/2005 6:08:20 AM PDT by Tarheel ( Murphy's law #21--Internet flame wars are started by two cats who did not like their supper.)
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To: TomGuy
Take a closer look at that:


1,162 posted on 08/28/2005 6:08:36 AM PDT by Petronski (I love Cyborg.)
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To: 4everontheRight
It has been 36 years and I still remember it like it was yesterday

Events like those never leave your memory.

1,163 posted on 08/28/2005 6:09:58 AM PDT by tiredoflaundry (In Tampa Bay praying for all In Katrina's path.)
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To: mware
The incompetence of this mayor and governor is going to cause many people to be injured and lose their lives. The Director of FEMA said they have studied this scenario for two years and their models called for evacuation 48-72 hours prior to landfall. But he said the decision had to be made by the governor (state) and mayor (city). The evacuation has already been delayed too long. People are not going to be able to get out.
1,164 posted on 08/28/2005 6:10:43 AM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life, or nothing at all)
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To: LincolnLover

Severe earthquakes? Regular basis? Even San Fran doesn't get "regular" "severe" quakes. It's had two in 100 yrs. That's nothing remotely close to the regularity of the flooding of the mid-West or the near annual hurricane hits.


1,165 posted on 08/28/2005 6:10:45 AM PDT by newzjunkey (Cindy Sheehan: "All You Are Saying Is Give APPEASEMENT A Chance!")
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To: LibFreeOrDie
"Even if we round up the buses, where do we send people?"

When they rounded up the school buses to evacuate people from Savannah, they sent them to high schools in Macon (about 150 miles north).

It's not that hard, and there should have already been a plan in place for this.

1,166 posted on 08/28/2005 6:10:58 AM PDT by Amelia (Common sense isn't particularly common.)
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To: Strategerist

Yeah, but no one knows what the peak winds on the ground were. No data for that.


1,167 posted on 08/28/2005 6:11:04 AM PDT by Kozak (Anti Shahada: " There is no God named Allah, and Muhammed is his False Prophet")
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To: advance_copy

...and we're still waiting for the press conference.


1,168 posted on 08/28/2005 6:11:18 AM PDT by advance_copy (Stand for life, or nothing at all)
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To: Petronski

Sweetie check out the houses on the beach on Fox. Note to self: no beachfront homes in a hurricane zone!


1,169 posted on 08/28/2005 6:11:38 AM PDT by cyborg (I'm having the best day ever.)
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To: Petronski
Then the mayor ought to make a public declaration something like:

"I can't declare a mandatory evacuation, but it is just that bad. GET OUT. Do what you can to LEAVE NOW. If I had the power to do it, I would force you to leave. GET OUT."

And he should add "if you stay, write your name and next of kin's phone number in permanent ink on your body.."

sw

1,170 posted on 08/28/2005 6:12:29 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: Petronski

Why can't the idiot Mayor make a Mandentory evac declaration and wrangle over it later.


1,171 posted on 08/28/2005 6:12:44 AM PDT by Pointblank
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To: Strategerist

From Wikpedia

Andrew's peak winds in south Florida were not directly measured due to destruction of the measuring instruments. An automated station at Fowey Rocks reported 142 mph (228 km/h) sustained winds with gusts to 200 mph (321 km/h) (measured 144 ft (43.9 m) above the ground), and higher values may have occurred after the station was damaged and stopped reporting. The National Hurricane Center had a peak gust of 164 mph (272 km/h) (measured 130 ft (39.6 m) above the ground), while a 177 mph (285 km/h) gust was measured at a private home. In 2002, as part of an ongoing review of historical hurricane records, National Hurricane Center experts concluded that Andrew briefly had sustained winds of 165 mph (265 km/h) at landfall (Andrew had originally been classified as a Category Four storm at landfall). Additionally, Berwick, Louisiana, reported 96 mph (154 km/h) sustained winds with gusts to 120 mph (193 km/h).


1,172 posted on 08/28/2005 6:12:53 AM PDT by Kozak (Anti Shahada: " There is no God named Allah, and Muhammed is his False Prophet")
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To: cyborg

I was just looking at them. At least they're "low slung", for the wind to pass over. Too bad the storm surge will inundate them with devious glee.


1,173 posted on 08/28/2005 6:13:21 AM PDT by Petronski (I love Cyborg.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you for the ping. I'm praying HARD for those about to be hit with this MONSTER. Praying for those involved with public safety and emergencies. This is a monster hurricane.


1,174 posted on 08/28/2005 6:13:47 AM PDT by Alia
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To: NautiNurse
Thank You for this thread, and you and everybody for their prayers and words of encouragement. And your agreement about our public officials. I can't help but think Jindal would have handled this disaster differently. New Orleans carried the vote for Blanco, they elected Nagin mayor.
1,175 posted on 08/28/2005 6:13:50 AM PDT by Ellesu (www.thedeadpelican.com)
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To: Pointblank

Great point!


Mayor: This storm is so bad, I'm declaring a mandatory evacuation. Anyone have a problem with that? Sue me.


1,176 posted on 08/28/2005 6:14:14 AM PDT by Petronski (I love Cyborg.)
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To: NautiNurse

I just got an update from Ft. Morgan, AL (west of Gulf Shores). Surf is at about 10 ft and the water has already started coming under the first tier houses. Dauphin Island, it is said, is a mad house of pople trying to make the last minute preps. Locals down in Mobile and the coast remember the bullet they dodged from Ivan and are preparing for that possible last minute eastern jog from the storm. It seems that everyone on that side are taking things seriously.


1,177 posted on 08/28/2005 6:14:53 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: spectre
...name and next of kin's phone number in permanent ink on your body...

LOL Nice touch.

1,178 posted on 08/28/2005 6:15:00 AM PDT by Petronski (I love Cyborg.)
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To: spectre

An astute FReeper noted last night--on election day, they put all the voters on buses and promise them the moon and stars. now when their lives are in immediate danger, the poor people must fend for themselves.


1,179 posted on 08/28/2005 6:15:10 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

www.flymsy.com

Delta and United canceled flights.
Northwest 9:00 AM
American 1:00 PM
US Air 1:30 PM

There is still time to get out!

Also, long term parking is full. There is still some places left in short term parking.


1,180 posted on 08/28/2005 6:16:10 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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