Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[nwctwx]

New GFDL (which had shifted east earlier) is back over NO with the 18z run.

[gov_bean_ counter]

Ever been to Jeckle Island? Or is it St. Simons? Steepest danged bridge I have ever been over.

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

I watched part of that on Foxnews, noticing that the Weather Channel didn't bother to show the event.

If it takes 72 hours to really evacuate NO and the Hurricane can be there in less than 48 hours.....Governor....DON'T WE HAVE A PROBLEM?

[Types_with_Fist]

Lord! All of them right over Plaqueminnes Parish (river Parish). Yikes!

[Melpomene]

I can handle bumper-to-bumper traffic. It's when a truck blows past me at 65 MPH that I just about lose my bladder. I can't stand that thing.

[NautiNurse]

It doesn't help to have a Governor who suffers from leadership paralysis at times like this.

[SE Mom]

Blanco makes me realize how lucky we are to have Jeb Bush here in Florida.

---

Exactly my thoughts...Jeb has handled our hurricanes like what he is...a grown-up.

Blanco...is more like a caricature.

[CajunConservative]

She didn't win a debate, it's the stupid people who couldn't get past Bobby Jindhal's ethnicity and being.

[Dog Gone]

Any category 4 storm or bigger from any direction that directly hits New Orleans puts it under 20 feet of water. For smaller storms, the direction matters.

The computer models could hardly be more perfectly aligned.

View here.

The situation can't really be more serious than it is right now.

[Types_with_Fist]

I can't stand that thing.

Don't blame you. It's been a long time for me but I remember crossing on it going back to my grammar school years and through my 20s. I can't imagine that pile of rusted bolts has improved with age.

[highimpact]

Katrina has roughly 400 miles to travel @ 7mph before making landfall, wich means there are 57 hours before landfall if the hurricane maintains this speed. Subtract 8-12 hours before TS winds arrive. Best case scenario is 50 hours to evacuate 1,500,000 people. That's 30,000 people per hour. Is that even possible?

[pax_et_bonum]

You should try it in a car during bumper-to-bumper rush hour traffic...:-)

I can't imagine being stopped on that bridge.

Moving is one thing, but stopped... I don't know if I could survive that without smelling salts.

:-)

[LibSnubber]

"How did she ever get elected governor? She is weak and shows no leadership or confidence."

I believe it was the voters of New Orleans that got her elected. Not even Lafayette voted for the "Cajun Grandma". Which is quite ironic if you think about it. Because if something bad happens to N.O. (God forbid) and Blanco's lack of leadership is partly to blame, then the people of New Orleans would have no one to blame but themselves (which, of course, they won't).

[sono]

You are so right ... at least she didn't yell, "Everybody run!!!" lol

[STARWISE]

Sorry ... you'd have to give me a heckuva
lot more generic statement than that. But, do feel free to
blithely discount the aggregate of my first-hand knowledge,
contacts and info from 25+ years living there before...
and via common sense, and first and credible
second-hand info gained owning a destroyed property
at ground zero and living nearby for two years AFTER Andrew,
until I left the area.

[Types_with_Fist]

Any category 4 storm or bigger from any direction that directly hits New Orleans puts it under 20 feet of water.

Okay. I wasn't sure. All of the previously-posted trajectories put it anywhere from my hometown of Houma to over Plaqueminnes to just to the east of the river. I can't believe they have it that narrow that far out. I pray they are wrong.

[headsonpikes]

The situation can't really be more serious than it is right now.

This is scary stuff - if I was in NO, I'd be vacating today.

[SauronOfMordor]

I mean we could have had Bobby in charge and he would have definitely been in charge. Instead we have Maw Maw who can't decide whether or not she should go ahead and do something so that people won't die.

Since it was pretty definite yesterday evening that NO would get some amount of storm, even if not a direct hit, she should have been advising people to gas up, take preliminary precautions to storm-protect your house, and for those who haven't visited relatives inland in a while, that this would be a nice weekend to schedule that visit

[Torie]

The Baptists of North Louisiana got her elected. That was where the biggest swing was. Maybe they didn't like Jindal's complextion, maybe they didn't like a city boy, but they didn't cotton to him for whatever reason. Jindal ran well for a Pubbie in the NO area.

[mcshot]

I would like to be there when class begins as well.
I'm truly fascinated by these threads and NN's work to keep them organized.
Unfortunately, this cane one could validate the long standing and proven rule that "one should not fool with mother nature" i.e., NOLA.

mc