Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:

WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

Thank you for the local update!

[dennis1x]

i suspect the pressure will be up some...storm looks weaker then it did 6 hours ago..

i do also, perhaps significantly....id guess 10-15mb.

[brothers4thID]

God Bless you for all you and other Freepers do. I read and investigated and read some more yesterday and sent an urgent heads-up to my uncle in NO. He asked me where I was getting my information because he was still seeing the Florida panhandle. When I sent him the links to this thread and others he began to see the light.
This morning he is working on evacuating his family.

Bless you.

[numberonepal]

YOI! That's quite a statement.

If the western outflow gets anything close to what it's like on that south east tail she's got, it will fill up the entire GM.

[Ellesu]

I wasn't, but will turn it on now. I had the weather channel on and Lyons said Tuesday landfall. I thought it was Monday landfall, what have you heard?

[juzcuz]

I wonder if cloud seeding could/will be used here with Katrina.


Seems that weather modification has been going on for a long time.
http://www.atmos-inc.com/weamod.html

Maybe Dry Ice could be dropped in the Katrina's eye.

[sheikdetailfeather]

Wow! Freepers save lives!

[NautiNurse]

TWC reporting hurricane watches going up now--includes the entire New Orleans metro area.

[NautiNurse]

Thank you for your kind words. We have a fabulous crew of dedicated and knowledgeable FReepers here to assist.

[janetjanet998]

new NHC forecast jus in...winds now forecasted to be 145 MPH vs. the 140 last night...give me a sec on the track

[janetjanet998]

same track..direct hit on new orleans

[NautiNurse]

lol-we've had some lively discussions about the futility of seeding and dropping nuclear bombs into hurricanes

[Ellesu]

Evacuations ordered St. Bernard, Terrebone, Lafourche, Grand Isle, parts of Jefferson, for all parishes south of the intercostal waterway, and those north of it should get ready. Just heard on 870 WWL. Blanco says "everyone with OEP is prepared,she is whining about last minute notice, we will be evaluating the highway situation as the day goes on, probably later in the day if it demands it we may start contraflow."

[abb]

Yesterday, someone on this thread advised that no one should rely on what was said here. They said you should pay attention to the NWS and local gov't.

Wonder wat everyone did before there was such a thing as the National Weather Service?

[numberonepal]

Nauti is just being naughty and bustin' my chops a bit. She probably needs a good ...

[Dog Gone]

Here's the rule of thumb for any New Orleans resident:

Any slow moving Category 3 hurricane, and all Cat 4 or 5 storms, that hit the city directly put the city underwater.

Not just up to levee level but above it because of the storm surge. It's a Galveston 1900 scenario.

[Coldwater Creek]

SHUT UP!!!!!!!!

[NautiNurse]

Nauti is just being naughty and bustin' my chops a bit.

Nurses are good for that...

[FarmerW]

Jeff Masters just blogged again. A small portion of it :

Emergency management officials in New Orleans are no doubt waiting to see where Katrina makes her turn before ordering evacuations. However, if I lived in the city, I would evactuate NOW! The risks are too great from this storm, and a weekend away from the city would be nice anyway, right? GO!

My prayers for all of you.

[NautiNurse]

Any recon data coming in yet?