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Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
NHC-NOAA ^ | 27 August 2005 | NHC-NOAA

Posted on 08/26/2005 10:25:04 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. Currently, the forecast models are converging upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. Throughout Friday, the official track forecasts moved west, as Hurricane Katrina delayed making the anticipated northwest turn.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi

Images:


New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Mobile Long Range Radar Loop

New Orleans/Baton Rouge Radar

Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop

Northwest Florida Long Range Radar

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:


Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics

Live streaming:


WFOR-TV Miami: http://dayport.wm.llnwd.net/dayport_0025_live
WWL-TV New Orleans: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
HurricaneCity.com: http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
WTSP-TV Tampa: mms://wmbcast.gannett.speedera.net/wmbcast.gannett/wmbcast_gannett_jan032005_0856_78183
WKRG-TV Mobile mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_jul072005_1144_93320

Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: byebyebigeasy; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; miami; tropical; weather
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To: AnAmericanMother
The clouds here in Central Fla are moving very fast this morning.

Forecast for today:

MIDDAY: Windy. A burst of Heavy Rain.

5pm: A heavy downpour is possible.

181 posted on 08/27/2005 5:55:25 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: alnick
Frank Lyons (TWC) just said "New Orleans" could be seeing a major hit. Not a prediction for a direct hit, still too early.

My fear is that Gulf Coast people are suffering from Hurricane fatigue and have seen predicted Force 4 go to 2 on landfall. So they will expect the same, and stay :(

182 posted on 08/27/2005 5:56:15 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: spectre
Many in Florida feel the same way....

..I evaucated twice last year, and tend to stay put if another one comes...

...but not if it's a category 4 and a direct hit...no way!

Our area didn't get a direct hit, but close enough...

..we are still rebuilding around here.....trees uprooted, many, many roofs damaged.

I felt like Scarlett O'Hara returning home....

..and my Tara was still standing!!

183 posted on 08/27/2005 6:02:34 AM PDT by Guenevere (God bless our military!...and God bless the President of the United States!)
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To: LA Woman3

Yes--amazing.


184 posted on 08/27/2005 6:02:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: pollyg107
Well, I'm glad she's taking action.

My parents made fun of me when I told them to get out ahead of Hugo. Of course, Hugo shifted north at the last minute and hit Charleston instead of my parents' house . . . but if it hadn't swung around they would have been really stuck.

But a couple of false alarms tend to make people complacent. I hope the traffic isn't too bad. Surely there are back roads out of town?

185 posted on 08/27/2005 6:02:49 AM PDT by AnAmericanMother (. . . Ministrix of ye Chace (recess appointment), TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary . . .)
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To: metmom

Yes, I do! It was Juan or Kate, I think....in the mid-80's. We went to bed thinking it had passed us by only to wake up to it coming back!
It looks like NW Florida has dodged Katrina. We were packing up to evacuate. Our good fortune means someone else will take the brunt of this one. We haven't even finished repairs on our dock from Dennis!!


186 posted on 08/27/2005 6:03:59 AM PDT by jch10
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To: NautiNurse

Update....per WWL
It is likely contraflow will begin this afternoon out of New Orleans "as early as 4:00 PM".


187 posted on 08/27/2005 6:07:34 AM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: NautiNurse
Here's the latest SST 26+ from Google Earth. This is a large file.
188 posted on 08/27/2005 6:10:12 AM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: NautiNurse

Did I just hear them say on the Weather Channel that the threat of wave action is today and tomorrow? New Orleans is going to be behind the curve if they wait until noon to make decisions.


189 posted on 08/27/2005 6:12:09 AM PDT by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they ever captured or killed.)
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To: Guenevere
If you own property in Florida, it's TARA to me! LOL.

That's the problem, Guen...they call for a 4, and well, we've seen less on landfall.

I don't know why, but this Krazy Kat scares me.

I'm sorry for your situation..Guen :(

190 posted on 08/27/2005 6:12:53 AM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: LA Woman3
"as early as 4:00 PM"

Thanks--of course, it's still too early to predict landfall with pinpoint accuracy. The predicament is the need to begin 60-72 hours ahead of the storm. An impossible situation.

191 posted on 08/27/2005 6:13:39 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Peach

Unfortunately, N.O. is already behind the curve due to limited evac routes and population.


192 posted on 08/27/2005 6:15:27 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
My sister lives in Diamondhead MS right near the border of MS/LA...she works in NO and was told at work on Friday not to even bother thinking about coming in on Monday. I spoke with her last night...she was at a Saints game in the Dome. Yep. She is making great progress in her concern over these storms.
193 posted on 08/27/2005 6:17:20 AM PDT by 4everontheRight ( Criminals feed on the indulgence of society's understanding)
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To: spectre

I mentioned earlier--this storm is giving me a sick feeling, usually reserved for a big storm headed toward Tampa Bay.


194 posted on 08/27/2005 6:17:45 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse
Received this last year from a friend....  Déjà vu, all over again...


195 posted on 08/27/2005 6:18:15 AM PDT by StoneGiant (Power without morality is disaster. Morality without power is useless.)
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To: NautiNurse

omG. this thing is turning into a real monster!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html


196 posted on 08/27/2005 6:20:10 AM PDT by bored at work (I feel more like I do now than when I first logged on . . .)
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To: MikeinIraq
The morning satellite pic looks pretty impressive.

Anybody in the area should already have topped off his gas tank on any and all vehicles (as everybody else will get the same idea later this morning) and already have the wife and kids on the road to relatives/friends inland while daddy finishes up securing the house before heading inland as well. The NO evac routes will be a zoo very shortly

197 posted on 08/27/2005 6:20:12 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor
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To: StoneGiant

I have that pic on the refrigerator. It really does point to my house...


198 posted on 08/27/2005 6:20:20 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: SauronOfMordor

excellent pik :) but ya outta see the movie . . . lol


199 posted on 08/27/2005 6:22:22 AM PDT by bored at work (I feel more like I do now than when I first logged on . . .)
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To: StoneGiant
We will Be taking no chances in Milton. Remember this?

Ivan is now about 120 miles south of the Alabama line and is expected to come ashore early tomorrow along the Alabama-Mississippi line.

200 posted on 08/27/2005 6:22:31 AM PDT by bluecollarman (A Muslim converted to Christ is no longer a Threat.)
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